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Everything posted by Decemberof2010
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Decemberof2010 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
JFF of course, but can someone with more knowledge than me tell me what temps that would produce at the surface? -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS is like that ex girlfriend who keeps on trying to get your attention, but then ruins it. But keeps on returning -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We are very close now to a SSW. NO, not that one, it's a Sudden Steve Weakening I feel a booooooom is imminent -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Decemberof2010 replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just had a quick scan of the GEFS. Some serious cold dropping down from the north on some. Here’s a few snapshots -
Model Output Discussion - Into the new year
Decemberof2010 replied to SMU's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Merry Christmas everyone. 10 years ago we had a month we will never forget. It was enough to make me join this fantastic forum a few years later, as I became more interested in how the weather is forecasted using models and other data. I've always been a lover of cold and snow and have experienced a fair few notable spells here in Yorkshire. Could we now be on the verge of seeing charts like the following popping up a decade later? We are massively in the game guys and gals. Here are a few from December of 2010
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So while it’s great having brilliant charts one after the other, spare a thought for us mere cherry pickers. We may as well swap allegiance and hunt out horror charts. So with that in mind I’ve been in the wonky veg section and here’s my Frankenstein chart just for Christmas. But we also have gifts So once again we have: Gold Frankenstein And Murr
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed, so yes your post highlights the huge variance and factors at play also. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyone concerned about uppers take a look at the charts below. Starting out as heavy rain. This produced 45cm of snow in 3 hours back in January 95 here in Leeds. Wrongly forecasted, it hit at rush hour and caused absolute chaos. For snow alone this beats anything since then -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Just had a quick glance at some day 10 GEFS. p20 says order your shovels. I think the uk is under there anyway -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Even though they’re utterly pointless after 6 hours, there are some nice GEFS members to look at this morning. -
Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As Mucka says quite a mixture in the ensembles, but I did find some that must be a sign, as it’s Christmas. We have Gold Frankenstein And Murr