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Everything posted by Decemberof2010
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I’m struggling to see what’s so great about this update! Very very similar to yesterday’s and if anything a push back of the very cold. I mean please correct me if wrong as I’m normally very positive about these updates. It’s ok for sure but not amazing
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Model output discussion - cold proper on the way?
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Removed the mild wording.
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And it’s an improvement
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Upgrade!!! I’ve just put my toys back in the pram. Let’s hope my fellow net weathers do the same. Onto the 12z’s where the toys are at risk again
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So if this is correct looks like the much championed EC46 from last night is a bust. Great
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Exactly. Let’s see if he’s still posting comparisons at the beginning of February!
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A little bit of GFS to start it off A little bit of ECM to calm the nerves A little bit of GEM now and then A little bit of GEFS is all I need Ladies and Gentlemen I give you Pertubation No.5 -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Am i on my own in thinking that the GEFS 6z suite is actually quite decent? Heres just a few examples -
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Mmmm. GFS was getting a lot of stick this morning. Of course it may still be wrong, I hope it is. However, the ICON has trended away from its 6z run. Let’s see what the GEFS and ECM show. -
The breakdowns happened yesterday as it’s exactly the same
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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It is, but some subtle upgrade points. Naming areas for wintry conditions for a start. They are never this bullish so far ahead. This update has a 2010 ring to it. I’ve read the 2010 met 16-30 dayers a while ago. These last few updates are very similar
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Hunt For Cold: Model Discussion - Heading Into Christmas
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Just dropped wife at the LGI. Roads were fine but that was 30 mins ago. May have changed but the 4 mile drive back home was also without problem. Hope this helps
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Yes and the very small change I like today is from snow showers yesterday to some snow.
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Yes that’s the type of wording they used in November 2010. Not that I’m saying this will be the same of course. Also that wet and windy possibility has been dropped on yesterday’s update from the day before that. So an improvement 2 days running
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The hunt for cold - Model discussion (late November)
Decemberof2010 replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Any link? -
You may be right. I thought the MO use their own models and also ec46. I could quite easily be wrong. I usually am
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Yes and i am a bit suprised. I was expecting a similar update to yesterday or a slight improvement. I was under the impression they use the ec46? If so that’s not exactly going on that latest forecast