[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

First few flakes here

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, Oaks said:

If Sevenoaks doesn't get snow today I'm gonna have a very disappointed 40 year old

love it 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

The front is definifely slowing down 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Snow knocking on the door of St Albans #bluearmy

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

Steady ..... too early to use those phrases .........could still ease back in that timeframe ......

Thats right the front will slow as it reaches stalling point before sinking SE later 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, paget said:

Can someone clever explain why the snow is little bits not big flakes?? Is it the very low dew points?? Could it turn to fat flakes!!? 
 

thanks xx 

Its because you have non-marginal snow you tend to get the big fat flakes when the conditions are more marginal for snow.

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Nice thick frosty sirface for it to lay on to

Also strange only a yellow warning from the met when the last snow event was no where near what could happen today and there was an orange warning out for that

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

4 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

That’s generally the best way to deal with possible snow ! 

Well good luck in St Albans and hopefully we get some a bit furrher north to

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

3 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

There is another tweet from a few minutes earlier ...... Stevenage was too far north of what that showed for snowfall .....barely made it north of London east of the M1 

So confusing with all the models, some going north some going south with the snow, all i know is the front is further north than i was expecting so in conclusion.....i have no idea who will or wont see snow tomorrow

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

7 minutes ago, Mark wheeler said:

 

Awful graphics you can hardly see the snow from the clouds and tbh looks like a very weak area of precipitation and a lot furrher south.... definitely radar and window watching from now on 

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Radar still looks a little naff but hopefully will pick up in intensity as it moves over the sea

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

Lools like a very fragmented front moving into Ireland lets hope it gets its act together

[South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards]

6 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

Monumental caking of ice here

1-3 cm of snow over 100m.....cosmic

[Winter so far-comments?]

My post was either deleted or moved can a mod pm me as to why please?

[Model output discussion - into the last third of January]

6 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

ECM keeping the dream alive for a bit of snow for much of England & Wales on Sunday 

Hopefully we will get agreement on this with other models by tonight/tomorrow

[Winter so far-comments?]

For me in Hertfordshire its been sooo frustrating like most of the SE with very little of falling snow let alone lying snow however i have enjoyed seeing reports else where across the country seeing some significant snowfall which has been lacking since 2018. I hate the north/south divide currently in terms of moaning and hope eveeyone gets a bit of what they want before spring! Sometimes the north does well sometimes the south does well and that is weather but in terms of synoptics and interesting output......what a cracking winter so far 

[Model tweets]

12 minutes ago, Griff said:

Yes, agreed, not without interest going forward. I hate having to be patient.

Dont we all i just hope this winter is one we dont look back on thinking it was full of promise but delivered naff all (to some) 

[Model output discussion - into the last third of January]

3 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

You're not wrong - at 174 it's lining up some fun and games

No inter-run consistency though, perhaps a positive!?

Thats got sliders written all over it.

[Model output discussion - into the last third of January]

12 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Looks like after 5 days of snow potential it’s 5 days of average before another shot at cold from 1st Feb...which is outside of ECM range. Pattern has been this way according to GEFS for a while so as long as it doesn’t keep getting pushed back then I’m happy with that. 

The concern i have is the sense of deja vu when there was trend to something colder a few weeks back and then it all backed away to what we have now. I just hope lightning doesnt strike twice on this occasion and agree the beginning of Feb looks interesting based on those ensembles.

[Model output discussion - into the last third of January]

6 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Haha you posted 6 mins ago when Friday’s chart was out. It was easy to see where it was going..can’t call you Nostradamus just yet a bit of rain fir Kent and that it in afraid. Lots to be resolved ! 

At least it will be cloudy preventing a decent frost

[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020]

1 hour ago, Vikos said:

For me, this looks good

 

 

Whys that then? 

[Model tweets]

3 minutes ago, Griff said:

I'm the one playing teacher to a 4 year old!  

But thanks I did ace my met exam for my cpl

Definitely could see my posts being passed off as school age though! 

Oh so sorry who feels lile a fool now any way love the posts and keep them coming now i know why you know your stuff

[Model tweets]

1 hour ago, Griff said:

Home schooling has really done me in today... 

(Strange what counts as personal time these days)

 

Hi Griff just wanted to say i like looking at your posts and hope you are looking at meteorology as a profession as i think your knowledge at a young age seems pretty good! Keep up the hard work....must be very hard for education right now

[Model tweets]

This all seems different to Marco's earlier tweet about major warmings coming to an end and the vortex coming recovering some what  

[Model Output Discussion - Snow for some, but what else is in store?]

1 hour ago, prolongedSnowLover said:

Weakly negative NAO with low pressure to the North East of the U.K. isn’t conducive to a severely cold spell.

Neither is it a positive NAO like you are saying!