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jonboy

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Everything posted by jonboy

  1. What everyone fails to understand when talking figures and trying to compare with the like of Spanish flu is that although corona -19 maybe more infectious and spread more quickly around the world our world is a far healthier place than 1918. Health care systems are vastly different as are poverty levels. This doesn't remotely under estimate the issues we face but lets not scare monger on figures that have little or no relevance to our society today
  2. It about the perception portrayed and more often than not these high temperatures are sold/portrayed in a manner to mislead or get people thinking that the Antarctic or the artic is melting faster than it actually is. As for the bit in bold isn't that just your normal approach to undermine and discredit someone who is providing info that's bucking the assumed trend
  3. This is from a friend of a friend who lives in New York giving their friend an update of what is happening in the city 'The Corona pandemic developments get more dire by the day, actually even by the hour. A state of emergency has been declared in New York State and in New Jersey. The National Guard has been called in to enforce a quarantine in a particular disease cluster in New Rochelle Both de Blasio and Governor Cuomo have been holding daily news conferences to update the populace on various measures that are being taken to control the spread of the virus. I believe they are doing their best to stay on top of this situation, even given the malfeasance of the federal government in providing access to tests, accurate data, etc. The business environment has been advised to establish work from home guidelines as much as possible. City commuters have been advised to walk or bike to work if possible, and to take earlier or later commutes if they normally commute on subways or buses during rush hour. Businesses have also been advised to stagger their work hours if at all possible to avoid a 9 to 5 rush hour crush. Most colleges in the area have canceled classes for the foreseeable future, such as Columbia, Barnard Fordham, St John's, and Juilliard, among others. Many group events have been canceled, even the New York City Half Marathon which was scheduled for this coming Sunday and is usually quite an event. Broadway is still performing, although to highly diminished audiences, and they are offering $50 tickets to try to boost attendance. The television shows Jeopardy and Wheel of Fortune are no longer performing with live audiences in the studio. Many sporting events are being played in empty stadiums because audience attendance is no longer allowed.,
  4. But the drive through is not a facility you can just go to it is by appointment only and is purely intended to keep potential cases away from the main hospital sites
  5. Is confirmed cases being miss represented!!! Public Health England, which has already carried out more than 25,000 coronavirus tests across the UK, is set to expand the number of people it can test a day to 10,000 - currently 1,500 are being carried out. So if only 1500 or less are actually being tested with most people being told to self isolate if they have certain symptom's when they call 111rather than go and get tested do we know the true picture and extent.
  6. We are at a stage when the government is talking about anyone with general symptom's self isolating in the next phase. If you go through nhs 111 website unless you have come back from an infected area or knowingly have been in contact with an infected person they send you into there general diagnostic tool which at best tells you to go to your GP for the general symptom's you might have. If you are using the tool because you suspect coronavitus there needs to be a specific tool and weighting given to symptoms. As an example a congested nose needs to establish the level of infection ie is an mucus showing signs of blood etc is the chest tight at times but not constricted, sore throat etc etc The present tool does not link each symptom so how can it come to a valid decision. It is difficult but they have now know about this for over 3 months
  7. I do work but the nature of my work means I can do it from home even though my contracts want me to attend their offices more and more. I believe that given the poor advice on the NHS website regarding what symptom's are relevant leads many with mild forms to think they are not infected. I have symptom's which could easily be covid 19 and as a result I took the decision a week ago to work from home and have as little person to person contact as possible and certainly no hand shaking etc. I have the occasional cough but always ensure I turn away and use a paper hanky if in the presence of others.
  8. extreme positive IOD events were rare before 1960. They were rare before 1960 because very low solar minimum' were rare. the very positive event of 1913/14 was again at a low solar minimum. we know the IOD goes through negative and positive phases but it is no coincidence in my opinion that such strongly positive events occur during vey low solar minimum. You can expect positive events to occur as we go through cycle 25 and given the low base we are coming from I fully expect SE Australia to be in a constant drought flood scenario for at least the next 10/15 years. They need to accept this and manage accordingly
  9. And in ten years time as we enter the next solar minimum expect the same
  10. The article talks about strong IOD causing hot dry conditions in SE Australia. If you look closely at the timing of these events you would see they occur at very low solar minimum. Is it any wonder 1675 is in the middle of the Maunder Minimum. The article is written in such a manner as to blame Climate change and CO2. Sloppy lazy research
  11. It is clear that you may have an underlying condition that might not be life threatening or any immediate danger to yourself but if you catch this virus your prognosis immediately changes to one of imminent danger to ones health and wellbeing. Not everyone knows if they have an underlying condition that could be nasty if you catch Covid-19. It is not the fact that on its own within a healthy population that covid-19 would be a mild disease but its how it interacts with other conditions. We are a long way from seeing the end of this and I fear that many of my disabled friends and acquaintances will not survive.
  12. Why would it be revised down. There has been nothing remotely resembling a sunspot in the last 33 days
  13. No to do so would suggest that minimum hasn't been reached and all indications would suggest we will start the uptick sometime soon. I fully expect something around the 74/75% mark come year end
  14. The problem GW is that the very mild symptoms are the same as every other viruses that go round at this time of year. The runny nose and cough associated with said runny nose you might or might not have a sore throat and you might or might not have a bit up and down temperature. (I've had all of those in the last week. I didn't feel ill just a bit deflated with the constant blowing of the nose. When it got going I stayed at home for three days but never seriously though I had the big C as I've not travelled overseas or knowingly been anywhere with the virus, unless you class the whole of York as an at risk area.) Unless we have a mass testing regime we will not know the true extent the virus is in our population already. Good to see your home town escaped this weekend.
  15. It is 9 days since the 2 York cases first came to light. You would expect the next few days will be crucial here if they have passed on the virus. Lets hope no further cases are identified.
  16. It has also been stated that they did not contract the virus in the UK
  17. But interestingly the sunspot number on each day has been 0 not 11 or 14 or any other number above the minimum number which I believe to be 11. Again the same applies today
  18. For the last 3 days sunspot number has been at 0 yet spotless days remain on 16 why?
  19. When Moria Stewart reported this this morning on Classic FM she reported the depth as 10mm so someone dropped a heavy weight!!!
  20. I believe the first 6 months will be very quiet with spotless days between 85 and 90% before we start to see an uptick in activity in the second half. A count between 285 and 290 is my guess
  21. Svensmark and others like Hamish Gordon and the work at CERN all go a long way down the path of 'directly attributing levels of cosmic rays to levels of cloud cover. In regard to volcanic activity and solar minimum but especially low or very low solar minimum there has been shown a direct link between the two. Yes the exact science may not be known but the link is there. So what 'kind of way' would you like it expressed in. No doubt your way or no way!!
  22. So no one is allowed to postulate a theory anymore. If it wasn't written with a believe in mind in wouldn't be written at all. The theory of agitating magma during solar minimum due to the weak magnetic field protection of the sun is not new and the word ignite can mean excite /cause greater chemical reaction etc etc.
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