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jonboy

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Everything posted by jonboy

  1. So no one is allowed to postulate a theory anymore. If it wasn't written with a believe in mind in wouldn't be written at all. The theory of agitating magma during solar minimum due to the weak magnetic field protection of the sun is not new and the word ignite can mean excite /cause greater chemical reaction etc etc.
  2. Nothing new or unexpected for someone who feels it necessary to capitalise in red and Laugh out loud. JUST PLAIN RUDE GROW UP And I don't change my profile name every two seconds
  3. Yes but also the night time temp has been low for this time of year in Victoria from 11c overnight to 40c during the day. The high temps are not the only story here
  4. There is a view point that next year will have fewer sunspots than this in which case we are in 07/08 comparison in cycle terms. Only time will tell
  5. When anyone puts lol (laugh out loud) at the end of a statement it just becomes rude unnecessary and bluntly offensive. You will never see me doing that but then some off you clearly think its funny I don't
  6. For a start December 2008 holds no comparison to this December and certainly the jan feb march period of 2009 holds no comparison to 47 so don't really get your point unless of course you are bringing in CC
  7. was December 46 not similar to know and then look what happened. All notable winters don't start until late December /early Jan
  8. Hi Roger I tend to agree with you. I don't think enough has been done to explain why earth has gone through warmer periods which cannot be related to man's activities. Once we explain that and understand properly the true natural climatic patterns then perhaps we can better understand man's influence and understand whether we can or its worth doing something about. From my own perspective not enough credit is given to the strength of the solar cycles since the Dalton minimum and certainly not cycles 21 and 22 which where the highest most active cycles for centuries. We must remember some said not that long ago that cycles 24 and 25 would be significantly stronger than they actually are or now predicted to be and those who actually got it right predict that we will return after cycle 26 so 27 28 to what we saw with cycles 21 and 22. So I have no doubt come 2100 we will see sea level rises and a warmer planet no matter what we do with CO2. That doesn't mean we shouldn't work to stop polluting or using resource recklessly and managing our activities better. Keep up the good work and I look forward to your study being shared here
  9. And we know that our runs have been broken by the fleeting sunspot with the lowest count of 11. You have to wonder if some of the runs noted in the table would have achieved the same number under today's observation methods?
  10. We don't need any more wet thankyou very much. What we need is cold and dry at least until the new year then it can snow as much as it likes
  11. I don't think my thought back on November the 1st will be far wrong probably nearer 280 than not
  12. 3.4c and a dryer month with only 95mm I don't know if there is a sunshine index that gives number of hours of sunshine within any given month. Ie if there are 8 hours of daylight then 100% would be 8hrs and 75%would be 6hrs of sunshine. I ask this as my gut tells me that at present our sunshine hrs must be below the average for this time of year. I would be happy to guess if dec had an average of say 50% then I would think this next month will be only 30%
  13. Do you know why there is a difference of 6 between the two counts?
  14. So what is your evidence for using the word 'Allegedly' in the manner you did and do to undermine any form of comment that might just might introduce an area that is not fully understood
  15. So you believe every solar max and every solar minimum are the same then and will always have the same impacts?
  16. It is the depth of minimum that is important not just minimum
  17. What a great way to demonstrate how icy it was at the end of the clip. If that was filmed today they would be crucified
  18. Why are we being so nit picking!!! It was the coldest so far this year as we leave summer and autumn behind
  19. Don't worry Ed scientific understanding will catch up and then who will be wholly mammoth/dino
  20. I work in the construction industry and attend economic briefings on a regular basis. Firstly we haven't left the EU so the impacts that the B of E talked about are linked to our future trade status with the rest of the world and the impacts tarrifs and custom arrangements would have. I can assure you the construction industry one of the main drivers of our economy is very close to the edge and we haven't left yet. The best case scenario sees at least 5 quarters of recession with little or no growth. the worst case see's at least 10 quarters of recession and a likely 10 year period to get back to were we where in 2010. Leaving the EU only benefits those who speculate on uncertainty Joe public can go whistle whilst the fat cats get fatter.
  21. Absolutely agree Blast. What people need to understand is that cycles 21 and 22 where 2 of the most active probably since the medieval warm period and cycle 23 started the process we are in. It is no coincidence that the ozone hole and the whole issue of warming from the late 60's occurred during cycle 21/22. I believe we are in for a period of Dalton winters over the coming 5 years. I also believe the rainfall etc is due to the cloud seeding effect of cosmic rays which could therefore increase snowfall in winter. The 15/20 years are going to change how we understand the influencers on climatic patterns and actually realise the strength of the solar cycles is what determines the deviation from what may be classed as normal
  22. I hadn't worked it myself but not surprised by the 90% and agree there appears to be no reason why the next couple of months won't be the same
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