Midlander

Of course, but it is still crushing to have your hopes dashed. I just needed to express my anger so I thought this thread would be best suited

I am completely devastated by the events of the last 12 hours. It is a travesty! I am shocked at the poor performance of these multi-million-pound supercomputers. Everything looked brilliant days ago, and now it has gone pear-shaped. I am becoming concerned about this Winter; people have suggested that this failure is due to the high solar activity that won't be decreasing in the near future. My only hope is that we have a significant record-breaking SSW in January. I pray/hope that this leads to masses of northern blocking and apocalyptic type snow events, with snow measured in feet. Overall, I am exhausted and saddened by the events of the past few days.

The ICON has been very consistent, but it could be consistently wrong, although the uppers initially look further south, as the precip moves in the cold uppers retreat northwards resulting in rain.

Not seeing that secondary low spawn on the 18Z, don't know if that is a good or bad thing, I'm sure others will know

We best make the most of the few days of below average temps then

MOGREPS 12z Headline for Xmas Day: Trended slightly colder Yesterday average for the 2 reading's in the Midlands (Time= 25th 15Z) were: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C Today's 06Z average temp 5.5*C Todays 12Z average temp 4.97*C

MOGREPS 12z Headline: Trended slightly colder Yesterday average for the 2 reading's in the Midlands (Time= 25th 15Z) were: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C Today's 06Z average temp 5.5*C Todays 12Z average temp 4.97*C

Let's not get carried away, there is no need for a warning at all at this stage

High RES UKV 12z UKV also showing a precip band, which has the potential to be wintry, GFS, UKMO, GEM also showing something similar, could all be wrong however!

12z UKV also showing a precip band, which has the potential to be wintry, GFS, UKMO, GEM also showing something similar, could all be wrong however!

UKMO 12Z

UKMO 12Z precip, not convinced

That's still the 0Z

102Hrs GFS, has blown up that little low to our SW, don't know how realistic that is but shouldn't be a problem

Hmm I wanna say somewhere in Shropshire, doesn't look hilly so don't think it's the Peak Disitrict

Yeah I agree high risk but high reward!

MOGREPS 06Z Headline: Trended milder Yesterday average for the 2 reading's in the Midlands (Time= 25th 15Z) were: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C Today's 06Z average temp 5.5*C

MOGREPS 06Z Headline: Trended milder Yesterday average for the 2 reading's in the Midlands (Time= 25th 15Z) were: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C Today's 06Z average temp 5.5*C

Oh wow ok thank you

How common is it to see settling snow in Flash but not at Buxton? Does it happen quite a few times each season?

We'll see how things progress over the coming days, depending on the timing of the precip it is still possible, although probably not probable that places could record a falling snowflake during Xmas day. Although at the moment it shows a snow to rain event, I doubt this will be the final solution

MOGREPS 12Z: Headline: trended colder The average for the 2 temps (25th December 15Z) readings for the Midlands were as follows: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C Definitely ending the day in a better position with this model

MOGREPS 12Z: Headline: trended colder The average for the 2 temps (25th December 15Z) readings for the Midlands were as follows: 0Z Average temp 5.5*C 06Z Average temp 6.02*C 12Z Average temp 3.81*C

Midday Xmas day on the UKV, I would personally say that high ground Wales and Peak District have a better chance of a white Xmas compared to Highland Scotland but that's just me