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East Kent Snow Desert

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Posts posted by East Kent Snow Desert

  1. 19 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

    Well that explains the warning for us, but I'm not sure about west of us. This low is not stable, could be rain sleet snow anywhere. So they've covered anything that could happen it seems. Mean while I'm quite sure ice will be a problem regardless.

    Yet the MO forecast summary (Fri-Tues) for the South East does not mention any sleet let alone snow for our area. This was the update at 4am so to then have a warning out a few hours later seems odd to me.  I guess the wording will change this afternoon to reflect an increased risk!   

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  2. 6 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

     

    We'll watch and see, the big if is, if it stalls, the first front just like last time, is a warm front, the cold would stay, then the cold front catches up, and ends up occluding the warm front, that could be good for us, but not what's expected. Something to watch tomorrow, if the warm front goes through, snow to rain, if it doesn't, much more ppn, which we don't need, but it could well be mostly white.

    Thanks for explaining. I wondered why the MO video showed snow an hour or so after the initial band came through and not immediately. We're certainly due a bit of luck after the 'wrong side of marginal' events in recent weeks!

  3. 10 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

    Oh yes. I remember it recently in Jan 2017 with slush here and a good cm or two around Herne/Wildwood. Mad really how much of a difference there is. At least a southerly breeze with this front might make the moderation less so for the snow which I'm hoping for really. The amount of times sea moderation has let me down is frustrating. Cooling down nicely though with 1.9°C

    Yes for once this set up might be quite beneficial for us on the north coast of the county if we get up early enough that is. Just a shame it won't be around for long

  4. 2 minutes ago, Jamie M said:

    Dew point dropped here to 1.5c during the shower and I'm practically right on the coast in Herne Bay. Shows how elevation makes the difference.

    Yep - just the 60m too!  I used to live nearer the town and worked in Canterbury and lost count of the times when there was nothing on the ground at home but by the time I got to Herne/Wildwood there was a decent covering.  

  5. 22 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

    I do agree but I am also under no illusions how difficult it is to get the right conditions for snow in east kent next to the sea, perhaps we will be lucky this winter

    I'm old enough to remember the 80s snow events in Thanet. The words 'marginal on the coasts' was rarely mentioned on TV forecasts from what I recall. Those days are long gone I'm afraid

    • Like 1
  6. 2 hours ago, Matty88 said:

    Indeed... I've seen it many times before too, the great 'rise' then 'fall' haha. I think you'll agree though the SSW ''seems'' to be having an effect on the charts though, just as it did in 2018, but I do for sure not want to curse it ! It is just as likely to flip to mild. 

    What gets my gripe is people (mostly newbies) on the model thread posting things like 'booom ❄️❄️⛄' along with a precip forecast chart at 300hrs  funny to watch.

    I'm only a lurker on the MAD thread or any other thread to be honest but more than ever I go straight to the date on any chart posted now and if it's 5 or more days away I tend to ignore it.  The good stuff is so often 8+ days away but hopefully the effects of the SSW start to come into a more reliable range this week.  

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