Eastnorthwest

Evening each and the snow has arrived today here with at least 2 more almost sub zero days to come with snow for most then the usual atempt of a push from the south of a low to create a battle ground setup giving heavy snow for inland areas and middle blighty and maybe nearer the coast as well depending on uppers ,but compared to 3 days ago the severe cold that was shown by most models seems to have all but deminished to the northern half of the UK by Friday Haven said that it's still the best setup we have seen for 5 years and one which could produce a re serge of favourable colder setups in the coming couple of weeks,let's hope so

How many of you can remember December 09 ? At the start the models kept changing daily hinting a breakdown But look how long it lasted ,so no reason why this spell won't go on and on for 10 days plus, and why because we have that beautiful reversal setup in place with a weakened atlantic and split jet stream thanks to the SSE Bring it on

I say all the models now struggling beyond T 96 today and will from now on in while the block holds ,and remember once the cold gets established it will take a lot of shifting All good I say for coldies

I'll repeat the drum bang this morning Beyond 5 days in the world of model watching is any forecasters nightmare 2 days ago the cold coming was going to be a spell, this morning it's a snap,later today or tomorrow ?,who knows, interesting or frustrating that's how it is If in the next 24 hours they flip back to a return to a spell ,then I won't be surprised cos that's how it goes with these models Fact is enjoy the next 4 days and hope by Wednesday the charts for the following 4/5 days will be what you hoped for

Still time for slight changes for the positives for Thursday onwards, if the incoming low track on a slightly more southerly track and more to our east the whole situation will be completely different come next weekend with all that cold to the north sinkongsouth

Evening each I say again look at the next 5 days ,and all the models are more or less in agreement ,severe cold ,snow heavy for some ,and a hint of a battle ground set up by next weekend which will see either more prolonged heavy snow for southern half of the British Isles or the north with less cold air to the south which I say will change probably change again tomorrow The models are usually hopeless at predictING cold continuing beyond 5 days and what we are witnessing tonight is just that So let's enjoy the coming 5 days and ignore the beyond cos I don't believe it will be all over that quickly

Good luck if that slightly less cold sector peps up your snow amounts m

Morning each Things look very nice this morning for the next 5 days with no downgrades for what could be a repeat and best setup since Feb 1991,maybe better as that one was cut short by low pressure moving in from the southwest Also dam line of 510 will be over us by Wednesday which is very rare indeed ,as for snow ,moderate falls for most and heavy falls where the troughs and streamers form in the very unstable air which will be over us by Wednesday Weather will be stealing all the headlines next week

Evening each Well the beast is coming,it's going to get in cold terms like Feb 1991 Now starts the fun ,looking at charts for where the snow will fall and when At the moment it's looking like Tuesday onwards starting in the east ,moving across most parts on Wednesday and lasting till at least the following weekend A proper cold spell coming for most of us with some seeing more snow than others ,bit early to say where but the east and southeast look favourite at this stage Injoy the coming weather and stay safe,

Or lower, don't get me wrong I'd love these models to come to fruition as they are some of the best for a long while ,but I think we are entering the most crucial 24 to 72 hours for the start weather charts up to 5 days which might get better and better for a while with no atlantic spoilers m but also I feel day by day beyond 5 days situations and setups will change daily as always in cold spells as the models find it harder to handle colder synoptics

Good post with some valid points,but beyond 5 days from any given day the models won't stay the same run by run and if anyone can work them out they should and I would use that power to win the lottery, how I see things from past experience is we should stick to the here and next few days until next weeks set ups are this side of 120 hours otherwise we risk ending up maybe being very disappointed like many times before. Don't get me wrong we ,I believe we are almost certainly going into a weather swing reversal but as for how cold with what precip and where we will have to wait a few more days ,so patience is still needed for a while longer

Yes indeed ,no atlantic influence after the next 72 hours for minimum 2 weeks What do most want ?the perfect b easterly What will we get beyond a few days time? Many possibly outcomes from the north to the southeast with either severe cold to not so encroaching up from the Mediterranean area as the models keep hinting Let's hope the former will win out and we all see at least a foot of snow before the month is out

Yep spot on as ever Daniel these set ups are very rare like the sudden severe weather set ups

Think back ,if this comes off it will be a welcome change to the last few February /March,s we have witnessed that for sure

Morning all, models still struggling as usual beyond 6 days gfs wants to suck up milder air by 10 bays time where as ec m reloads the beast with eye freezing lol temps in the southeast , Gfs will change run to run let's hope ec m doesn't

Looking good isn't it, best looking charts of the winter, as I said earlier we need the Ao and N a o to slide to negativity in the coming days and we will all be a lot happier

Hello all a Newby here with a similar name from a yesterday forum One or two members I know from that forum, Daniel for one May I say I watch the models every day a boy haven't they been cruel for coldies this winter and still beyond 5 days they continue to tease, I'm a strong believer that when the Nao starts to dive in the next couple of days and remains negative for a while we might at last see the SWW reversal and our weather coming in from a easterly point