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Drifter

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Everything posted by Drifter

  1. Drifter
    frosty ground I think he means it was cut way shorter than it initially looked to be.
  2. Drifter
    Even in to deep FI, it’s like someone at NOAA has turned on the ‘do not disrupt lows’ switch on the GFS server.
  3. Drifter
    Ice Day Don’t forget the golden rule is that whatever run is worst for UK cold is the one that verifies!
  4. Drifter
    Battleground Snow Up to 2cm on lower ground, then turning to rain. Doesn't sound too disruptive unfortunately.
  5. Drifter
    GFS - the winter killer run. Just wasting everyone’s time if that synoptic sets up.
  6. Drifter
    The disappointing downgrades (from the northern blocking nirvana charts) continue this morning. The usual suspects up north should get some snow, but for us in the south the odds are shortening on a largely snowless winter once again (probably get some in March though).
  7. Drifter
    WINTRY WALES behave! This is nowhere near resolved yet.
  8. Drifter
    Cold Winter Night That’s a very snowy chart!
  9. Drifter
    Well this mornings runs are a kick in the nuts. Back to hibernation…
  10. Drifter
    Many scandi highs of the past occurred during +ve NAO phase.
  11. Drifter
    Am I the only saddo that finds the formation of a Scandi high really fascinating? It’s highly satisfying watching the ridges shoot up along with the discontinuous trough disruption out west.
  12. Drifter
    A similar ECM tonight would see the mood improving in here!
  13. Drifter
    It is possible to get an easterly without strat warming you know…
  14. Drifter
    Yes, think we could potentially have ‘lift off’ on this run in FI?
  15. Drifter
    I haven’t had one since March! Hopefully it’s being noticed that snow is more widespread than the models initially progged for northern areas (as is always the way)….
  16. Drifter
    It seems to me that there’s ’always an excuse’ for when a cold spell flops that somehow explains away the teleconnections?
  17. Drifter
    Siri, draw me the ugliest winter chart imaginable.
  18. Drifter
    Ooh, the 144 chart could be interesting if that ridge can hold.
  19. Drifter
    Isn’t it an issue that the zonal winds then immediately shoot up to far higher than they are even now?
  20. Drifter
    Can’t help thinking this is once again due to the US having an epic cold spell that fires up the jet more than expected.
  21. Drifter
    I think that’s a very generous interpretation of the MetO and GEM runs!
  22. Drifter
    But the runs all start to fall apart at about the 72 hour mark. This isn’t turning around now. People just need to use this as a learning exercise - we have a lot to learn.
  23. Drifter
    Pretty remarkable collapse this morning - all the models so far reduce the cold spell to a 2/3 day toppler then the raging westerlies and flooding are back. Pathetic
  24. Drifter
    Nope it’s actually the worse of the lot at day 6.
  25. Drifter
    I do find the funereal atmosphere towards the cold spell quite amusing when it hasn’t even started yet! I’m sure a good number of you will have some pleasant surprises this week.
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