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Drifter

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Everything posted by Drifter

  1. Drifter
    No it isn’t. That is pure conjecture and will just spark inevitable panic on here this morning.
  2. Drifter
    Sobering In all seriousness, excellent run
  3. Drifter
    Well, I’d bank the 6z right now. Reload after reload!
  4. Drifter
    could be amazing with the new surge of waa out west
  5. Drifter
    Try the ignore list. Only a shame it doesn’t block from showing up in quoted messages too.
  6. Drifter
    Do I hang around on here and watch the knee jerk reactions? This won’t be the final outcome.
  7. Drifter
    Nope, don’t think it is?
  8. Drifter
    When you say ‘the output’, you mean ‘the GFS’ presumably because UKMO isn’t trending flatter.
  9. Drifter
    I doubt anyone would agree 18z is the most reliable run. It has the name ‘pub run’ for a reason!
  10. Drifter
    Don’t lows follow the jet stream, rather than control the path of the jet stream?
  11. Drifter
    I think it’s safe to say GFS is struggling!
  12. Drifter
    Yeah, just seen that elsewhere. Oh well, fingers crossed for tomorrow I guess.
  13. Drifter
    Which begs the question, what was that tweet I linked to earlier going on about?
  14. Drifter
    Something to worry about? https://x.com/raleighwx/status/1739737310273343778?s=46
  15. Drifter
    A very different 6z by day 8 with higher pressure over Scandinavia.
  16. Drifter
    Finally what?
  17. Drifter
    Not quite sure what that’s got to do with what I said? My point was, the runs haven’t been great all day so not sure why we’re so surprised at them turning out like this.
  18. Drifter
    What exactly were you expecting though? These runs are just the usual variations on a theme that you’d expect at this range.
  19. Drifter
    Unfortunately the spoiler low is now dropping south out of Greenland which will probably spin up and cut off the northerly / westerly flow.
  20. Drifter
    I think it’s looking better for the Christmas period?
  21. Drifter
    But apart from that, it’s great?
  22. Drifter
    Not sure if it’s been mentioned, but this run as an Azores low which I think is helpful to prop up the Atlantic high.
  23. Drifter
    Pretty much like this is hinting at
  24. Drifter
    I think our best hope for Xmas is to get this GFS northerly in place and then hope for a ‘wedge’ near Iceland to disrupt any incoming Atlantic fronts.
  25. Drifter
    Well I kind of should have included the phrase “or likely to lead to a white Xmas” too.
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