Drifter
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good spot. The main difference is ‘78 had a more robust area of high pressure towards the south east of Greenland. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Feb ‘91? Getting sick of these ecm op runs. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’m getting close to conceding on Xmas cold. There must be a reason why GFS and ECM keep churning out crud runs for their operationals. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Shame…! -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What is meant by ‘forcing’? How do we look out for that on charts etc? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Quiet in here, have people given up? GFS up and running. Slightly better forcing south from the Greenland high -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
One of those charts that you know won’t happen. It’s synoptic nonsense. Clear as mud then. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The good news is it’s still possible to get a scandi high even with a coupled pv. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Trying to visualise if this would be good for coldies? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
?? I’m in Hampshire! -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If we forget about a quick return to cold (think that’s off the table now) and focus on a white Christmas, quite exciting times with much potential from all models except UKMO. The icon is potentially very good if the complex low system moves away in time. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Icon 18z looks ok to me? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can someone tell me what the eps ensembles are? Are these another name for ECM ens? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And when we have been mild for the next 6 weeks we can start talking about ‘47. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
For them or us? Because severe cold for them usually means a strong jet stream for us. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s not hard to see why a lot of Americans aren’t interested in believing in global warming. They seem to get incredible cold each winter. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Drifter replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nope. That’s that until the 18z GFS. -
The 6z doesn’t look cold or even close to being cold right into FI. What am I missing?
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All over, see you next year according to ecm. Thankfully I think GFS has this nailed.
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You can’t really use ecm uppers to argue against an outcome on a Met Office fax chart.
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ouch! -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Very nice run that for the east especially. Basically this is what we want i.e the mild to have a really good go at getting in, then being pushed back at the last moment. So far we’ve basically either had the cold winning or the Atlantic winning. What we need is a very delicate dance between the two and we could still hit the jackpot yet. -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Edit: ignore, already answered ! -
Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’ve asked before and never been able to find them. No wonder people post them here instead. Mods - where *is* the correct thread?