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Drifter

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Everything posted by Drifter

  1. Good spot. The main difference is ‘78 had a more robust area of high pressure towards the south east of Greenland.
  2. I’m getting close to conceding on Xmas cold. There must be a reason why GFS and ECM keep churning out crud runs for their operationals.
  3. What is meant by ‘forcing’? How do we look out for that on charts etc?
  4. Quiet in here, have people given up? GFS up and running. Slightly better forcing south from the Greenland high
  5. One of those charts that you know won’t happen. It’s synoptic nonsense. Clear as mud then.
  6. The good news is it’s still possible to get a scandi high even with a coupled pv.
  7. If we forget about a quick return to cold (think that’s off the table now) and focus on a white Christmas, quite exciting times with much potential from all models except UKMO. The icon is potentially very good if the complex low system moves away in time.
  8. Can someone tell me what the eps ensembles are? Are these another name for ECM ens?
  9. And when we have been mild for the next 6 weeks we can start talking about ‘47.
  10. For them or us? Because severe cold for them usually means a strong jet stream for us.
  11. It’s not hard to see why a lot of Americans aren’t interested in believing in global warming. They seem to get incredible cold each winter.
  12. The 6z doesn’t look cold or even close to being cold right into FI. What am I missing?
  13. All over, see you next year according to ecm. Thankfully I think GFS has this nailed.
  14. You can’t really use ecm uppers to argue against an outcome on a Met Office fax chart.
  15. Very nice run that for the east especially. Basically this is what we want i.e the mild to have a really good go at getting in, then being pushed back at the last moment. So far we’ve basically either had the cold winning or the Atlantic winning. What we need is a very delicate dance between the two and we could still hit the jackpot yet.
  16. I’ve asked before and never been able to find them. No wonder people post them here instead. Mods - where *is* the correct thread?
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