Drifter
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is this the first op run to show a white Xmas? I suspect this would have snowfall in the uk before midnight -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
When are people going to realise the EC46 isn’t worth the paper it’s printed on (or the computer chips it’s generated on!). -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure I agree that the attempt of a ridge fails on ECM at day 10? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think a lot of it comes down to the latitude of Monday’s low. The better runs for future prospects all had a more southerly low. The milder runs all have this low further north which effectively forges a path for the next ones to follow. Probably not a meteorologically sound post but it makes sense to me. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Some bizarrely positive posts this morning! I think this morning’s runs are dreadful compared to last nights. The only crumb of comfort is the 00z runs are always over progressive. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
‘Warmer’ is an odd word to use this time of year too. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The euro models have been dreadful recently (and it’s yesterday’s chart). -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Far too far ahead to take notice of, but this must be the most dangerous storm I’ve seen modelled on nwp charts before. That would cause carnage! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What is LWP? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is looking similar to icon so may well extend the cold again… -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I’ve noticed over the last few runs this area of HP is getting more pronounced at the day 5 mark. If that can continue it may help to change things in favour of retaining the cold a bit longer. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Drifter replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What a weird, weird chart -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Drifter replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You’d think the gfs model would know the parameters needed… -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
Drifter replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No it isn’t. it might be the first run you’ve seen, but GFS has been modelling a cold spell for a while now. -
Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now I’ve had my snow (enough for a snowball fight with the kids yesterday) I want to start looking for some warmth in the charts now. Got plenty of jobs I want to do outside but too damp and cold for that now! Need to pin my hopes on an Azores ridge I guess. -
Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well if GFS is to be believed, plenty more snow chances to come this month. Wouldn’t surprise me if a mid month ‘mini Beast’ pops up soon -
Model Output Discussion - Snow Watch limited edition
Drifter replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I didn’t realise Newcastle was so far south. No wonder they don’t wear coats. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I guess it’s kind of a dumbelling effect. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
*Tuesday morning. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Patchy rain and hill snow according to the MetOffice text forecast. -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Day 7 UKMO -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Can we have a pinned topic at the top for everyone to tell us the snow won’t hang around long at this time of year, so we can keep it out of this thread in every other post? -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How exactly is it preventing snow in the south? -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It’s a bit of a tongue in cheek ‘in’ joke that’s based on some posts from yesterday afternoon. If you missed them you won’t know what it’s all about! -
Model Output Discussion - A cold start to Spring?
Drifter replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not seeing too much longevity on that day ten chart though.