DavidS
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM is obviously hungry as it picks up the high pressure ‘hot potato’ it dropped this morning. Moreover it hints at D10 as wanting to share said potato with Greenland. I remain for now, sceptical. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yep, GFS and ECM head off in different directions. But at least they are interesting directions. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Worldwide Mountain & Snow Sports Discussion 2022/23
DavidS replied to J10's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Always Obertauern. Due to the altitude the snow is always good. Even in the very warm week in February 2019, when much of the Alps were turning to slush, the snow stayed in pretty good condition. Although I think it’s location in the Eastern Alps, also helped on that occasion. -
Worldwide Mountain & Snow Sports Discussion 2022/23
DavidS replied to J10's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Still hoping to make our now regular visit to Salburgerland this winter. I’m sure the cold and snow will come. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Heights to the north again on the 00z GFS. Thats four in a row now. By day 14 it’s showing a tasty Scandi block. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Another interesting run from the GFS. While not as exciting as the 06z and 12z for UK cold, the theme of heights to the north continued. It was persistent as well and reached 1045. The PV also ended up over the Siberian side of the Arctic. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes I agree, heights to the north two runs in a row. Onwards to the pub run. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The NH profile looks different, although the push of heights is further west. There isn’t the open road it had on the 06z -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, most probably. Especially as the 06z is so different from the 00z. There was however a sliver of heights on 00z ECM, so maybe. Also the 00z GEFS mean as posted by NIck F is very interesting. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As others have mentioned, a tease from the ECM at day 10. Can we get heights To the north, or is it all too mobile? -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ECM 00z goes a similar route as the GFS 00z, with the favourable height rises now getting smooshed by the energy south of Greenland. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, lots to like, including lower heights over Iberia. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - Winter approaches
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, lots of promise, with the core of the PV shifted away from Greenland. More like this please. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.
DavidS replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Autumn 2020.
DavidS replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, certainly no extreme November warmth with those numbers.