DavidS
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Everything posted by DavidS
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Model thread discussion - cold spell looming
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 6z going for the Christmas tree formation at T288. Ok it’s February, not Christmas, but if the GFS wants to do this, I won’t complain. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Mmm, not dissimilar to The Independent story from 2000, when Dr David Viner of CRU said children just wouldn’t know what snow is anymore. -
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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What’s not to like. Amplification looks good. Well positioned low to our South East. Non-marginal uppers.
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The GFS 00z looks like it was bouncing around the mean to me. Not v mild or v cold. Plenty of rain though. Hipefully, it will find its way back to yesterday’s 12 and 18z efforts.
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Weak heights building to the north of the UK towards the end of the ECM. The central Med looks warm.
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Yes that’s a decent update, let’s hope the charts back that up as January comes to a close.
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Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That would be crippling. A snow enforced lockdown -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
After the milder period with heights over Iberia, the GfS is continuing to show these heights pull west. This was previously outside D10 but is now inside this period. -
Model output discussion - into the last third of January
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Past D10 The GFS 6z, followed the 0z by showing the tendency to move the Iberian heights back West. Would be good to see that continue, and come inside D10, (for all those that don’t like Iberian heights). -
Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
DavidS replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch 2020
DavidS replied to SqueakheartLW's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
- 1,801 replies
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- stratosphere
- winter
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Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
DavidS replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks similar to me. Trough not as deep -
Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - another cold spell on the horizon?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, the chances of reverting to something more akin to climatology is always there. However this isn’t your typical winter, so our chances for colder are higher than would typically be the case. -
Model output discussion - January cold spell ending, what next?
DavidS replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If it gives me over 6 inches of lying snow, like that chart does, you can call it whatever you like.