Hotspur62

The Chiefs game against the Dolphins forecast to be the 5th coldest in NFL history this weekend.Forecast high at 5pm Kick off is -2F and drops to -5F at 7pm.Hope Taylor Swift wraps up warm for that game!That is brutal.The coldest game in history incidentally was then the Dallas cowboys played Green Bay Packers in 1967- It was -13f for that one!!Insane

Been reading through the Mad thread(I know I can’t help myself) and some very well respected members(Tamara Queen of teleconnections and Catacol-both of who’s knowledge is awesome ) are suggesting we could be in for a very interesting January and February-The February of 1978 was even mentioned as a possible comparison .Even if we miss out on snow looks like we will be experiencing below average temperatures for some time!

Dropped to -3.2 this morning but has been a lovely sunny winters day but breeze still chilly but not as cold as yesterday.We maxed at 3.1 but @6.30pm temperature exactly zero.Going to be another cold frosty one.Tomorrow starts off clear frosty and sunny but clouds over by early afternoon so no frost tomorrow night.Friday cloudy and less cold than recent days with max temps 5-7 for this region and then temperatures start dropping on weekend,especially Sunday when a Northerly wind will start to come in .Next week looks cold with an increasing chance of rain/snow in later part of week but that’s a long way off! Latest GLOSEA run for February looks incredbile for cold if it’s correct!

That just looks very odd-look at the West of Portugal!!Just doesn’t look rightNever seen a chart like that for that neck of the woods!!

On this run GH disappears rapidly,artic heights have gone all seems different to recent runs? Could it be an outlier?

Tbh it was disappointing here Kentspur in Locksbottom as well.Never really got going as I thought it would but that’s the nature of showers/streamers you win some lose some.Others further down in Kent did better looking at the pictures being sent in.The chase for snow moves to this time next week!Maybe we get luckier next week?

Glad to see some here got a little snow and whilst we still have a window of about 3 hours left I feel a little underwhelmed what we have seen.Had a few heavy flurries here between 10am and now leaving temporary deposits but think the theme for next few days is frosty nights and sunny days which will be most welcome after 10/11 weeks of heavy rain.Looks a little milder Friday and Saturday before colder weather moves down from the North on Sunday and with that maybe another cold shot/spell could be on the cards.

If we are to get any settling snow don’t think it will be till 1-2pm in the areas I mentioned last night(SE London NW Kent,east Surrey and Sussex).Colder air is approaching and shower activity seems to be strengthening.That said we are only looking at 1-3pms so not exactly disruptive

Light snow Orpington/chelsfield border and 1 degree but with windchill feels much colder than that!.Could get interesting if that lot from Belgium comes over and hits us.my best mate lives in Belgium saying snowing heavily in Brussels as at 9.45.

And back in the MAD thread all is well again after latest GFS run shows a very wintry outlook from 14th Jan.TBF the runs from this afternoon and tonight have reverted what they were showing about 2/3 days ago then it started going Pete tong till this morning and now we are back to square one!!As I mentioned on that thread I am due to fly out on 18th from Gatwick so hopefully I can get out and then the snow will come for you all

Meant to be flying out of Gatwick on 18th!Hopefully the snow will hold off till after then.Torn really as I love snow but equally been looking forward to this getaway for 6 months.Would be Sod’s Law if snow ruined getting away as we know it only takes about an inch of snow to screw the airports upTbh think latest GFS May be an outlier but let’s see.Either way I think period of 15th-20th will be most interesting period of winter so far in terms of snowGot my optimistic hat back on again.

Hands up I was feeling pessimistic after 36 hours of things trending gradually for the poorer in terms of cold.Roll on 12 hours things seem back on track again and the countdown is well and truly on as we are within 7 days of the potential cold shot/spell startingWill be interesting viewing this week and compulsive viewing .May even get a little sprinkling in my neck of the woods tomorrow which would be a bonus.Watched Big Joes Weekend summary and I know he likes cold like the rest of us but he was talking about Europe as a whole and mentioned that most of Europe will trend below average for Next 46 days and Blocking will be apparent in this timescale which is in keeping with what quite a few on this thread have been indicating.After a disappointing December on the whole hopefully the next 2 months will give the U.K. many opportunities for snow as the blocking meanders between Greenland Iceland and Scandi

Currently 1.2 degrees outside and the cold 850s will be moving in overnight and tomorrow.My current thinking is SE London,NW Kent and E Surrey may well get 1-2cms tomorrow but other parts of Sussex,Surrey and maybe Essex could well get a light covering.As ever with these type of situations it will be a Nowcast sort of situation but good luck to everyone in this thread who want snow,and if you get any send in the pictures.I read earlier that some of our Northern friends have made some unkind comments re possible snow in the SE-Never understood that personally as when there is a chance of snow anywhere in the U.K. I just hope everyone gets in the actionEach to their own I suppose.

Yes gradually over last 36 hours been a general trend from the models to back away from a GH which is a real disappointment.Think what has been popping up in Met office outlook will be on the money and reckon push of cold air from north will stall sadly so the South and maybe South midlands may miss out and here more rain could be on the cards w/c 15th January.Think Scotland northern England and North wales should see some wintry precipitation though.Still time for some upgrades but looking less likely though as time moves on.In the short term may see some snow in SE tonight and tomorrow with streamer activity

Just gone in mad thread.I looked this morning and just been in there again at 10.30 but there have been 30 pages on the model runs since 8.30 this morning !!I have skimmed through the posters who I feel are balanced and level headed and think we are in for a 2 week below average temperature spell with period 14th-18th Jan earmarked for possible U.K. snow events.ATM I feel those in Northern U.K. are more likely to see snow but hopefully this region will have a shout 16th-18th.Obviously in metrological terms ,that is a long way off but good to see this winter is finally showing its teeth after a mild and wet December .And we are getting into the timescale of Higher resolution models to see if these Streamers can come together Monday.We will know more by tomorrow morning but let’s hope for some slight upgrades

Things starting to look a little more interesting Monday into Tuesday for possible streamers.They won’t be as strong as some of the past as Tom has highlighted in the above posts recently but some in Kent,SE London ,parts of E Surrey and Sussex may get a light covering.Overall though next week fairly cold but dry with max temps in the 2-5 range and lows in the +1 to -4 range in clearer spells.After the last 2.5 months of continuous rain I will take that all day.Still likely that this time next week we could see temperatures fall a little further and snow threat increases but that is a long way off and we will know more by middle of next week.In meantime let’s see if some in this thread will see their local landscapes turn white early next week.Good luck to everyone

Guessing the 18z is an outlier days 11-14? Very odd looking chart for 16th January ( would post if I knew how)

But at least the Heights over Iberia are lowerThat will please Kasim .ScottIngham day still on track

Well things have certainly gone up a notch or two from a cold perspective.Got one more deluge to get over tomorrow down here and then we should all start to dry out a bit!Certainly gets colder from Saturday but mainly dry(still a chance of some light snow in East/South East but depends on how north the high gets on Sunday /Monday but not going those details until Friday night/Saturday morning.In the meantime it will be very interesting watching over next few days and all eyes on 14/15 January which seems to be start of possible snow potential for a lot of the U.K.!

Yes absolutely horrid start to the day.New Year but same old weather!!️My optimism of last night for the latter part of weekend bringing possible wintry weather was short lived.The high has reverted back to its original position and sunk so it seems a cold and frosty high.Looks like a dry spell from Saturday hopefully and a gradual cooling down week commencing 8th January.The big period of interest and of a Greenland High ala December 2010 is 13th-15th January according to latest model runs.Snow?Maybe we shall see

Yes just been in and gone through about 8 pages of interpreting the last ECM run!Today seems to have trended the high further North which is massive for the SE and means either a cold sunny frosty high if High centred over say Scotland but if further North by 100-200 miles could potentially mean snow showers and or streamers to Essex,Kent,Greater London and Sussex/Surrey.We just want a little more trend Northwards in next 24/48 hours and we could be in business in this thread.Its just nice to be in with a chance of a bit of snow as apart from that cold snap late November early December it’s been rain rain and more rain for last 4 weeks(as the rain is belting against the window as I write this)!!On top of this a lot of well respected members on Mod thread are gaining confidence on a U.K. cold spell from 15th-22nd January !Exciting times but need to see how developments go for this weekend first before I get too ahead of myself

UKMO latest run just a U.K. HIGH and about 150-200 miles further south than previous 2 runs.It just shows what a small adjustment can make to possibilty of wintry showers in E & SE or just dry and frosty.Knife edge stuff but tbh I just would be happy with sun and frost after another deluge coming for us again down here in the next 18-24 hours.Getting on for 3 months of this pattern of pretty wet weather(it started here on 13th October !,)

Looks like the Met office have had a good handle on this for last 5 days to me.Getting colder by weekend and mostly dry and then the potential for colder and maybe snowier weather from 15th January.I would add that I am having my first winter sun holiday from 18th-25th January for 30 years so you can bet your bottom that’s when we will have some snow!!Still the background signals still look positive for February do if I do miss all the action then hopefully February will still produce. Wishing everyone a Happy and Healthy New year and those who want it a snowy January and February

Think the Met office from last night will be a good call.Colder from 6th/7th but mainly dry.Chance of sleet/snow showers in east/south east but not significant.That will take us till about 10th.After that all options on the table.Still positive January and February will give us at least 1 significant wintry spell to the U.K.

Just a quick one hopefully someone can answer.If models are showing a possible SSW around 4-7 January isn’t there a time lag of about 10-14 days before we feel effects of this if we are lucky enough to feel the effects coldwise(about 60% chance?).Would that mean we would be looking at 15th January before any chance of cold weather?Remember something of 2018 BFTE but can’t exactly remember all details.Do we still have a chance of colder weather before then with the teleconnections etc?I am more confused than ever now after 12 years of being on this forum as this season seems to be so many different views on things I am confused.com!