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Polaris

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Everything posted by Polaris

  1. Looking at all models and ensembles (with the historical shift south on these situations) This is where I think could catch falling snow/snow cover Wednesday into Thursday providing no more shift south.
  2. Rain getting a little heavier now. What a shame if was just a couple degrees colder could have been snow
  3. Ha. Brilliant Was thinking today that the snowfall the U.K. has had past few days wouldn’t even get a mention in America/Canada/North Japan etc But its breaking news here. you have to laugh.
  4. Raining turned moderate here and everywhere soaked again. Best of luck those south of London tomorrow. Hopefully coming in at night will up the chances. Chances for northern Home Counties has vanished but if there is no more southerly corrections then areas south of London are ok providing PPN is heavy enough. Anymore diving south of the front will give snizzle/drizzle at best with cold grey skies.
  5. Moderate drizzly rain here now that’s soaking everything Slate grey skies and cold
  6. Absolutely. I personally don’t see any ppn getting north of M4 Southern Home Counties and Kent look set for a covering
  7. I think they have the ppn chart for Wednesday way to north on those maps. I would imagine Greater London/ Northern M25 being the most northern extent.
  8. Frost only just starting to lift here. A white (frost) morning here and very seasonal. So glad the rain stayed away, need a good drying out, those muddy dog walks are no fun.
  9. Cheltenham down to Salisbury looks sweet spot if ppn moves as slow as predicted by BBC Mainly dry for our region tomorrow
  10. Just watched the Evening BBC news weather forecast with Ben ridge. No snow graphics in our region with the white stuff (if very poor) staying west of Oxford pushing SE exiting the Portsmouth area. Meto also has my location as dry and I’m the NW of the region. You can be sure that if this was just Rain then I’d get soaked tomorrow. Always the way.
  11. It’s 1.8c here and just had a rouge light rain shower for 5 minutes Highly unlikely that anything gets heavy enough to fall as the white stuff this evening/night let alone getting PPN even making it past Oxford.
  12. All pretty rare to catch snowfall in our region with the current set up from tonight onwards. Everything remotely possible is coming from the North/ North West. Historically it undelivered, unless some active embedded fronts cross from West to East Fingers crossed lots of Into Jan/Feb
  13. Just watched the latest BBC weather TV forecast. After a possible sleet/snow mix tomorrow, snow mainly over the chilterns the forecaster said “The rest of 2020 looks cold and dry” I’ll take that over the relentless rain here over past couple months. We are in need of a good few weeks drying out in my area.
  14. Get these ECM ppn charts to T24 then I’ll sit up. Countless times those gave me burial only to have cold rain. I’ll take a punt and say those areas get cold rain/sleet at best come 29th - hope I’m proved wrong. 5 days ago I was set for Snow Christmas Day. Enough said
  15. Chucking it down here and very mild. The ground is taking a battering, already flooded and bogged throughout. If no snow & cold, then roll on a Dry, Hot Summer 2021
  16. Ah ok, sounds good for hills in the north then. Still pouring down here, ground saturated here already and more water continues to fall.
  17. Evening all, Caught the BBC evening forecast with Louise Lear. ‘Quieter couple days for Christmas Eve &?Christmas Day, before more wind a rain on Boxing Day” At least, me an my old man can smoke our Christmas Day cigar without pouring rain ??
  18. Woken up to... yep you guessed it - More 10 day chart posting. UKMO still not wanting a mince pie, until that model is on board with GH heights and any potential snowy weather isn’t 10 days away then I’ll join the ramp. Extremely mild here overnight, temps into double figures again today.
  19. There’s no moaning (as you call) about any posters I’m merely commenting on the very fact that we can post post post inspirational posts on 10 day charts... that never materialise, to the same posters you say to stop whining about. Struggling to see your point
  20. Chasing something that never materialises is your own preference. Good luck with that I’ve seen T240 once in 10 years = 2010
  21. Get a grip it’s always a 10 day chart, hence why we are here on 18th December basking extremely mild conditions despite the GFS and ECM throwing a dice 12 days ago But of course, let’s be quiet to let the dreamers dream and the MOD posters chase rainbows Someone needs to give a bit of realism and I’m happy to take the heat from fantasists
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