Frigid

feb1991blizzard Mean going below 0 again in March.. laughable really. The strat has been trolling us all winter, only about time it delivers the goods

WYorksWeather Thought the same too, the mild regime is becoming quite established atm. Haven't seen a below average month since Dec 22, and that month featured a lengthy mild spell. The streak of mild months is going to have to break at some point.. Perhaps it be this spring. I genuinely think its more likely we see air frosts in Spring than this month given zonal winds weakening and a higher likelihood of blocking. April has seen it's fair share of frosts lately, wouldn't be surprised if April was cooler than February this year..

On the plus side, GEFS 6z does lower the mean uppers. Nothing spectacular but it's a start.

WYorksWeather Did feel a bit like 31st March 2017, but six week earlier. Got quite stuffy last night had to open the windows. The spell we got in Feb 2008/2019 featured mild days and frosty nights which is what I expect from a mild spell in February. Yesterday felt like early June, you usually do get lower temps around here in summer.

Atmogenic Maybe because we hardly had a winter?? Mid August people are still searching for warmth so it only makes sense. Winter can still show it's hand way into March, still some chances of cold albeit increasingly small.

Three months of April 2021 synoptics in spring would be the dream tbh. Driest April since 2011 that was, and coldest since '86.. what an excellent month. I do enjoy some warmth in May and June as it's quite pleasant around then, come Jul/Aug then it becomes a humid mess.

Vile weather for late winter, happens year on year it's been ages since we've seen a cold second half to February. Very frustrating.. Looking forward to some cold in Spring, you just know there's a better chance of it than in winter. A largely cool, anticyclonic with a few warmer days scattered about would make a great Spring

In Absence of True Seasons Thought so too, currently 13C but it doesn't feel as mild as I expected. More like experiencing low teens in September after summer..

East Lancs Rain First option.. no questions asked. Possibly the perfect climate imo.

Looks like after an initial rise in zonal winds, another dip is forecasted with the mean sticking around 0m/s.. quite a strong signal that. The SSW occurs on the 20th it seems, wouldn't be surprised to see wild swings in the MO this spring. Could be an interesting season ahead of us.

That weekend was incredibly chilly for the time of year, the 3rd June saw single digit maxima. Interestingly, the Platinum Jubilee 10 years later saw almost the same weather. 2012 did have its fair share of warm weather though, with its March and May heatwave. End of July saw some warm days and August during the third week. Can recall the first 10 days of September being quite warm at times.

baddie Would love a March version of April 2021. A largely anticyclonic, cold spring would be great after this sad excuse of a winter. It's an almost certainty that it'll get warm sometime this year so plenty of time for some cold

Horrible output. RIP Winter 2023/24.. you just know it'll deliver in March-April.

A lot of anger circulating around, and rightfully so. This is up there with one of the most disappointing winters I've ever experienced, not because it was mild and wet throughout but the background signals were all favouring a cold winter and yet we're set to get one of the mildest in living memory. For the longest time, Jan-Feb was looking to be quite cold. A month ago, the GLOSEA had the strongest signal for northern blocking I can remember for February but it's all come to nothing. Reminds me of last summer when July was looking quite promising for warmth, but what we got was the opposite. The MJO in a favourable position, very negative AO and weak jet yet we still get a mediocre month. I'm this close to giving up on winters in general, summer doesn't really interest me so it's either spring or autumn.. and we know how boring they can be. Hopefully we get a BFTE ending, or a cold March. Coldies have been deprived for years..

reef I still think months like July 1988 are possible. Great example would be July 2020, was very cool for the first 25 days until the heat spike pushed it well into the 15s. That month in general reminded me of the cool summer months we had from 2007-12. Pretty sure the CET was hovering around the upper 14s for a while.

East Lancs Rain June 76 was quite cool at the start and middle. July turned much cooler in the last 10 days which stretched into the start of August.

raz.org.rain A summer that's entirely hot and sunny would be impressive, but incredibly hard to achieve in our climate. All of the hottest summers we've endured have had their fair share of cooler spells. In Summer 22, it was cool for the majority of June, July was cool and damp in the north for the first 10 and last 10 days. August 2018 was predominately cool, especially the final 10 days. June 2013 was quite chilly, June 1995 also.. I can go on. There hasn't been an instance where the entire summer was warm, but individual months completely devoid of cool weather yes. Recent examples such as August 2022, July 2018, June 2023 etc. Interestingly, if we put June 2023, July 2022 and August 2022 together we could be quite close to a summer without cool and wet weather.. so I wouldn't say it's impossible. That combination would be wild though, easily being the warmest on record.

Hilarious . Don't think it'll be as good as the spell last month. The temp was -1C for the whole time it snowed, looks quite marginal at 3C.

bluearmy The no of members going for a reversal has increased significantly today, of course it can revert back to previous showings but I'd like to think this trend will continue. Positive signs..

I don't buy into this 'record mild February' theory. Yes the models are showing a mild outlook but anything from the 15th is pure guesswork.

Mike Poole The best chart I've seen all day, perhaps it's not all bad. That really is a sharp decrease in zonal winds, especially since a few days ago it was showing nothing like it. GFS also playing with the idea of a reversal, many members dipping to -15m/s. Seems like it'll be a lot more notable than the one we had in mid January.. question is will it deliver the goods or another mild borefest. Still got hope we'll see something special this month.

Dreadful 12z's today, no sign of anything cold.

Every time there's a cold signal it rapidly deteriorates into something insignificant and nondescript. Again, it looks like another failed cold month after so many supportive signals for cold. I know it's not ideal but I hope we see a March belter, cold and snowy throughout would put all winter sorrow to bed. Wouldn't mind another March 2013 or 2018, though of course they are exceptionally rare.

Could be a lot worse.. Thursday may have a bit of snow too. Certainly a better outlook than from a few days ago.

I find it remarkable how cool and dry the summer was, quite an odd combination. Must've been a horror show for warm fans, with the only appreciable amount of warmth being a 2-day spell at the end of June. The heatwave at the end of September into October was more prolonged and warmer.. and with a record breaking warm April, such a strange year for weather. You could make some comparisons with 2011 and 2023, as all the warmth was outside of its usual months being July/August. 2023 also had a CET record for September, same with April 2011. Big difference is the rainfall, 2023 being exceptionally wet.