TheOgre

Bleedin’ hell this is probably the best run I’ve ever seen. It’s probably too good to be true though surely Hot all the way out to 20 September:

I personally think the solar seasons only work when talking about daylight. If we used them as our main seasons we’d be a month into autumn now and it’s going to be 28-32C all week with trees fully green! In a warm autumn like 2022 we’d still have green trees in early winter! Also May can still be quite cold at night and some trees are still bare like ash, hardly summer. Whether you use meteorological or astronomical seasons is down to your location. If you live near the sea, there can be strong seasonal lag. Many places in Atlantic Canada and Japan have September warmer than June so astronomical would probably be best there. Some places in the subarctic have strong continentality and are warmer in May than September so meteorological seasons would work best there. So I’d say solar seasons when talking about daylight, meteorological in areas with normal or weak seasonal lag and astronomical in areas with strong seasonal lag.

Great sunset tonight after a pleasant day and looking like a stunning period of weather coming up. You can really see the difference with the daylight now with this sunset at 7:45pm.

One of the strangest summers I can recall this year I think. My take on Summer 2023: June - 9/10. Cold start but mostly sunny with cold misty interludes. Fantastic from 10th onwards with constant warmth and sunshine with some great thunderstorms. July - 1/10. Terrible throughout. I was in the far north the first week and felt extremely cold for July (we were in winter coats). Very wet and dull throughout with no redeeming features. August - 5/10. Horrid start especially 5th. Improved to a decent middle third, fairly dry and warm but then descended to a miserable last week. Overall 5/10. Felt worse because of the lack of sun from end of June onwards and that July is the most important summer month.

I mean it is a bit cooler on average than high summer but it could easily be hot and sunny. September is even later but can still bring in the heat.

Why is it always cold at this time of year?! Well I don’t know about always but it seems to be a common theme for the last few days of August to regularly be colder than average. Last year was warm but 2021 and 2020 were really dull and chilly around now and I remember 2015 and 2012 were really cold in late August.

More rotten weather from Thursday and onwards. June is the only nice month in the sun high half of the year so far. The GFS looks awful going into September as well. Longest period without a plume I can think of in July and August and we’ve only got a month or so left of heat potential.

If this summer comes out as a top 20 or so summer you’re going to get a lot of climate change denial all over social media with ‘hoax this summer’s been rubbish’ type of comments. You see it all the time under the Met Offices Instagram. That June’s a distant memory now!

I think we’ve seen a flip to August being the warmest month in the 2020s. In the 2010s July used to be the month you’d most expect hot weather and June and August typically poor or benign.

I hope that northerly doesn’t come off, what a disgrace that would be in August especially after what we’ve endured since early July! Looking forward to the potential warm up next week though.

I don’t see how this summer could be seen as worse than 2012. July yes, that was awful but June was great at least after the first week and we don’t know what the rest of August is going to be like. Summer 2012 was terrible in June and July and was extremely dull and wet throughout.

When will this nightmare end? you know this is a bad summer when we’re excited for one measly 25C day on Thursday.

Yesterday was probably the coldest day we’ll have until October here, topping out at 13C!

Well we’ve come to the last day of this dire July and good riddance! I do think August will be better, not because I think it’ll be great, but more because I don’t think you can get much worse than this July. Not only that, I can’t think of a two month period in summer without at least some hot weather so surely August MUST provide something. This pattern can’t go on forever…

August 2021 was awfully dull and drab though, so even high pressure isn’t a guarantee for good weather.

This is turning into an iconic stinker now I think. I can’t think of any other July with such suppressed temperatures and lack of warmth. I can imagine in a few years if the models are showing dross people will be saying ‘July 2023 vibes from this chart’ and then gasping in horror It’s also turning into one of those stark contrast months like July 2006/July 2007 and July 2012/July 2013. July 2022/July 2023 but also June 2023/July 2023.

I don’t know. It would be an absolute classic if it has.

God this July keeps getting worse and worse. Take me back to last year! Imagine having a summer with June 2023 and July/August 2022.

2022 had a long period of sunnier than average months from March to August (except May and without the larger sunshine anomalies) and all three summer months were warmer, drier and sunnier than average. 2022 wasn’t as good as the classic May to July 2018 but for meteorological summer when’s the last time we had that?

Hopefully we do a 2020 and get hot in the last week! If not, worst July possibly since at least 2012 or maybe the 21st century as a whole. Even 2012 has a heatwave around 23 July. Can’t remember July 2007 in detail.

If it occurs in May or early June after months of colder weather then yes. In high summer it is just pleasantly warm unless you’re working it in.

I’m my area 2018 had a good June with a dry and warm first two thirds and then an amazing hot final third which lasted all the way to the end of July. August 2018 was very average. 2022 had a mixed June with plenty of heat as well as crud. July started a bit dodgy but after around the 7th ish was very hot and sunny until the 19th and was warm and cloudy for the rest of the month. August was wall to wall sunshine for the first half with a length heatwave. The second half was more benign pleasant summer weather. Overall 2018 was a more front loaded (June/July) summer and featured one very lengthy spell and 2022 was more back loaded (July/August) with two major spells broken up by benign weather in between.

I’m up in Northumberland at the moment and I can positively say this is the coldest July weather I’ve ever experienced! With the bitter wind and locals with their fires on it feels and smells like November.

June 2023 has been a great month which was a surprise after the cold start. The middle third of the month was a classic with wall to wall sunshine on many days and intense storms on the evenings. Over the last 10 days or so it has been much cloudier and wetter however which is why I think some people don’t rate this June as high as the likes of May 2020, July 2018 or August 2022 for example, all of which featured lengthy dry and very sunny periods. July does look bleak but last July wasn’t good at the beginning so who knows…