Richard Lake

Yeah true I've been glued to the radar myself. Its funny since that pasting we got just before christmas practically all precipitation has been snow aside for that brief period of rain after Xmas day itself. I keep seeing Snowfall over the North Sea and say what a waste! Although Snowfall over the sea surely has to be a good thing in lowering SSTs, I wonder what the record low temp for the North Sea is? Secondly in the classic winters I wonder what the SSTs have been... hmm

I am finding it increasingly frustrating myself.

The only good thing about these showers is that they appear to be very slow moving so anyone getting snow must be getting a right pasting. Having looked at RainToday? there are tentative signs that band currently over Sunderland is beginning to pivot, possibly not enough for my area - so once again anywhere west of Doncaster.

Morning all, So what the chances of snow in my location today? Poor over the last two nights, very low overnight lows, but just a couple (literally) of heavy snow showers that have given nothing more than a dusting. Grimsby seems to be missing the snow this time around.

Hi Graupel, whats your thoughts on that band of snow to the east of Scotland?

So I am looking at the RainToday? radar atm - it shows a semi-organised band East of Scotland heading directly South. Is this expected to keep on heading directly South or will it suddenly at the last minute change and go West or East?

Well this week has been really poor. On numerous occasions I have geared myself up for some good snowfall, the usual stuff glancing outside the window far too often, peeking through the curtains and watching the lamp-posts and its been crap compared to what was forecasted. It seems that whenever it rains - it rains for hours and hours in organised bands and the radar is awash with activity. Whenever it snows it comes in pitiful so called 'heavy showers' that last (at best) half an hour and give a meager covering and we look for the next so called 'heavy shower' and monitor the radar for the illusive red and grey blobs on the map with a magnifying glass that are that tiny someone a mile away could miss out. Are we gonna see proper organised snow this winter? Like take a look at the radar at the moment, everyone has been making a fuss over that band that has gradually filtered south from the NE - that when/if it arrives will probably deliver nothing more than 1-5cms. If it was rainfall the entire map of Scotland would have one huge purple blob on it, but if its snow its a NOT organised and 9/10 nothing more than scattered showers.

Brilliant, less than 5 minutes of powdery snow and everything is covered.

I keep looking at the RainToday? radar everything is missing me about 2 miles lol

But 10123 the issue is not over whether its gonna be sleet/rain/snow the issue is lack of shower activity.

I agree, all precipition so far has been snow and the best kind - powder snow.

Happy new year !

A few more powdery flakes here. I love seeing powdery snow - not a common sight around these parts.

Evening all, Just stepped in the house after being out to town. Just a couple of fleeting light snow showers - and wow proper powder snow.

So whats the average of those having a punt? I'll have a guess at a CET of 4.0. First half of the month very cold, second half very mild - months always seem to average out again

Often easterlies produce nothing more than cold dry conditions. Ideally want we want to be looking for is continued easterlies cooling the UK and Ireland reaching beyond were the Gulf Stream splits North and South. Then we need to see some activity over Scandinavia and see winds turning to a NE. If cold conditions persist further and continue to block any attacks from the Atlantic a Northerly would be most welcome (without any Westerly element) and eventually would lead to widespread snow. Someone posted a chart yesterday showing how far the Jetstream has travelled South this winter with low after low hitting Portugal and Spain - a great spectacle in this day and age and long may it continue through Jan-April.

Looking at the radar I am unsure in which direction the expected snowfall is to reach us here in Lincolnshire. There appears to be nothing within range coming across the North Sea, but some activity over Scotland that could drift this way I guess.

Just started snowing here, albeit very light just blowing in the wind. A rogue cloud over Cleethorpes as we speak giving nothing more than a tease of what could be to come?

Well its just started raining lightly here in Grimsby and that very small pile of snow looks like seeing its last day. :violins:

Hard to explain as I know very little has the Blue and Purple ever completely surrounded the North Pole - historically speaking? I assume they are cold high pressure systems.

Well now that Models are depicting snow/rain for the SW and SE within the next few days and there are separate threads for this purpose. Does anyone have an idea what will follow this?

I think its more coincidence more than anything else SnowLover 2009. Its easy to sum up a decade as time passes. The 90s - hot summers and drought and average sometimes mild winters. The 00s less hot summers and generaly less mild winters with slight-close-to-call winter synoptics.

As has been stated many times we need the LOW to miss the UK or stay as far to the south as possible to allow to allow cold from the NE to build and come towards the UK. The further south this LP dives into Southern France, Northern Spain and Portugal the better are chances are of prolonged cold as the Jet to the south becomes 'distracted'. Oh Kold just posted the same thing.

Hi, I'd like to have a brief comment on the angle that many posters take within the Model Discussion thread. Often I read on day X this may or may not happen, this needs to happen, hopefully this will happen; people always looking to the future; there often seems to be a distinct lack of 'the now'. What did happen against what was projected? Are we experiencing weather today that was projected 3 days ago? If today's weather was forecasted to be 5c, but actually turned out to be 2c surely this has some bearing on upstream developments and could be viewed as a good thing for an upcoming cold period being progged. Surely the journey is just as important as the destination?

Yeah I wanted to wish everyone a merry christmas at the stroke of midnight, but some scrooge removed my post TEITS!! :lol: :lol: Keep up the good work folks, I don't know very much about forecasting, but reading the posters here is always such a delight.