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Everything posted by snowray
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes of course Lass, well it's called Climate Change now. Don't seem to effect anywhere else globally, just us! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
They will be soon enough, trust me. Why has February become such a warming month, I don't get it, my birthday is in middle of the Feb, and I always remember snow either before, during of after. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It will be the white Easter next, then showers in May! I don't mind early March snow, thats about it though. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Strange how this little corner of the SE does so well for sunshine, and I have not seen any fog, maybe further inland. I was thinking about sea fog the other day, used to get really foggy under HP. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, they have had that cold easterly all week, even colder in Italy. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think there was one cloudy day here too come to think of it, but you must have also had the clear skies where you are since Monday? Looks a little cloudier from tomorrow though but turning milder now so should see temps rising above 10/11c maybe. -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
snowray replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Well February has so far been wall to wall sunshine down here, today was like mid Spring not a cloud in the sky. Is this the south coast of the UK, someone said to me, or the South of France? -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
its as bad as it gets. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No forgiveness for the GFS model from me, it was a wind up last winter too. At least the other models correct themselves pretty fast, in fact it was ECM that first had more amplification a few days back back at T 240, but it was only one run. I posted this earlier......this was the GFS Ens just yesterday, and I'll post it again, not even a half way house, what a joke!!!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS is junk, it was last Winter too. Winter for Easter? No thanks! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What a difference a day makes 24 little hours brought the sun and the flowers where there used to be snow showers! Yesterdays 06z Ens..... -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes your probably right, everything seemed a little further north on the Fax. Anyway, I hope this gets resolved by tomorrow morning runs, don't think I can handle another day of this! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not so sure that it's a complete outlier, here is the mean which has upgraded the movement west of the cold again. Shocking stuff! -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Op coldest run but not without some support, not really an outlier. Well what a sorry state of affairs for the GFS if it has to backtrack later on this afternoon after such an epic run, hold your nerves gang, only another 3 hours or so to go. Although it would probably be chaos for the country if anything like it were to confirm so not sure I'd want anything quite this extreme, thinking of high energy bills, the elderly, homeless, ambulance strikes, etc. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Here we go blinding run, to coin a phrase, snow showers now piling in from the east coast.. We can still dream, make or break for the models on 12z runs later on. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it's close to being the classic Genoa low, need that to deepen a bit move now, and ideally a bit further north too. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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February 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
snowray replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
5.1c and 37.5mm please. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
snowray replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would happily bank this run, and there would almost certainly be a lot more snow around than this shows! In the past I have noticed the UKMO to be rather reluctant to jump on board with extreme cold scenario's for the UK, so not that worried for now, I think it's going to be all eyes on the ECM now. -
January 2023 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests
snowray replied to Roger J Smith's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Very mild today, I noticed temps of 10-12c this afternoon, guess it may still rise by a fraction.