Catbrainz

Awful sunshine figures. It seems a number of locations may finish July with double digit sunshine totals. Could pass for October sunshine totals

Overcast this morning but started brightening up about 3ish and now sunny spells. Even with a temp of 18 it feels like Arizona after the poor weather lately

Temperatues around here in the forecast are looking like late Sept/early Oct with highs of 18-20. That's a good 3 degrees or so colder than normal for this time of year going by 1990-2020 averages.

I don't think snow is possible anywhere in lowland UK in July, hard enough getting it in mid winter he he he but under this months synoptics Scottish peaks could have very well gotten snowfall and maybe even Snowdonia/Peak District peaks at a push.

This month has the trifecta of below average high temps, above average rainfall and below average sunshine. Wouldn't be surprised to see September warmer than July at this point

I am wondering how would this Julys synoptics had played out were it January? I would guess still pretty poor for the lowland south lots of cold rain and 4-7C but as a fair few days had cyclonic NW/N winds and deep lows I could have seen the north and highland areas getting decent snow.

Going for 17.0C and 54mm. Im feeling a benign westerly/southwesterly August but not overly cyclonic and with less troughing than July.

I have had enough of this crap weather cant even do the normal summer activities one enjoys at this time of year. I wouldn't moan if July was meh something like July 2011 or 2020 rather than outright awful but I swear October is LARPing as July did someone mix up July and October on the 2023 calendar (Only sign that its not October is longer daylight hours). This wretched pathetic excuse of a July could pass for a unsettled Atlantic driven October I am not kidding. This July joins Julys 2007 and 2012 in bogeyman months.

Not a experienced chart reader but top chart seems not that bad for the south. Not heatwave conditions with a slight northerly influence but room for some drier and sunnier spells with high pressure influence. Still poor for Scotland and possibly northern England though with that green blob. 2nd and 3rd are nightmare charts though for sure.

As a snow lover any form of mild winter is meh at best but if winter has to be mild at least have say anti cyclonic southerlies rather than zonal westerlies/southwesterlies. Feb has potential to be a lovely month under anti cyclonic southerlies (Feb 2019) and even if it turns into a cloudy high in say Dec at least the weather will be usable if not good for snow lovers

August 2014 I can see getting a bad rap for being cold (I don't see it often mentioned though it doesnt really seem to stand out good or bad) and it wasn't exactly a amazing August like last years but at least sunshine levels are pretty decent average to a lil above average going by this map. Basically me being so desperate for sunshine that Aug 2014 looks outstanding.

Better than this pathetic excuse of a July at least.

Ill gladly take something like a drier and sunnier August 2014 at this point. I recall it being cold but still fairly sunny and settled. Plus the following September was lovely around those parts.

This month is the summer version of March 2023. Endless cyclonic weather bringing endless cloud and rain.

The Midlands feels like that ignored middle child both weather talk wise and in terms of debating Englands north vs south. Being the middle child sucks :P.

I have tended to interpret NW in weather forecasting as NW England, western Scotland, NI and far North Wales. As for SE I tend to interpret that as England south and east of Oxford. I shall let the meteorologists decide that though :P.

After seeing talk of a NW/SE split in the model thread I was just thinking how it would be for here. I find that if the split is more empathized on the S vs N we do pretty well here but if its more focused on W vs E it can get pretty dicey here albelt not as bad as the NW most of the time. Sometimes though its the other way around where the NW does better than the SE (typically if a high is to the north of the UK or under a easterly) and here we tend to do pretty well out of those splits although a few times North Sea clag has made it here in those spells.

And that's just post 2010 years I am sure if I went back to when records first started from the Met I could create a year even more vile and sickening than this lol

So out of boredom and sheer morbid curiosity I decided to collect Met Office data for Cardiff (The nearest to my location) using my bogeyman months and this abomination from the deep pits of hell came up. (I switched Nov 19 to Nov 15 seems memory isnt as objective as data :P). No sunshine data for Cardiff but I would estimate 1100-1200 at the very most and likely triple digits.

This July has been so poor that today a bang on average day with a high of 22 and partly sunny feels like a tropical paradise.

July 2023 in a nutshell

Id kill for a standard westerly summer at this point. Id rather a Atlantic driven westerly summer over a troughfest at least Atlantic summers can deliver some warm sunny days between fronts/lows and gunk tends to move on rather than stagnate. Thats really saying something as Atlantic driven summers tend to be pretty meh unless overwhelmly Azores/anticyclonic driven. By the way what would you folks estimate the high/low would be for those two synoptic set ups? (Forgive me I am a nosy lil devil he he he) 1.Euro High and long fetch southerly plume from Africa in Jan? I would guess something like 18/8 for the south and 16/6 for the north with 20 being possible for the south with a warming world. 2. A strong northerly all the way from the Arctic on Halloween. I'm gonna say 7/-1 for the south and 5/-3 for the north.

I just want a nice normal summer with highs in the low 20s and sunny spells with some rainy days thrown in. I don't ask for weeks of 30+ highs and wall to wall sunshine but seriously it feels like a Bergen style July here with highs under 20, wind and wet weather. I cant find any exact data but I would estimate the average July high here these days (1990-2020) is probably around 22c and we are easily 2-3 degrees below average. Probably slightly colder than a average Bergen July to be honest they average 19c highs now those days going by Wikipedia.

I just wondered something what are some examples of synoptic set ups that are liked certain parts of the year and disliked other parts of the year? The Bartlett high comes to mind. It would be very popular in say April/late Oct I would imagine with warm anticyclonic southerlies but in winter its a death knell for any wintery weather (Id rather a Bartlett than wet cyclonic zonal W/SW patterns though even in mid winter). Greenland highs and northern blocking is more welcome in the winter as it can bring cold snowy weather while it tends to be a summer killer. Julys 2013 and 2018 come to mind for summer Bartletts. (A Bartlett to my understanding is a southerly anticyclone over Europe)

This year has been the year of blocking patterns it seems. I miss the traditional high/low/high/low pattern variety is the spice of life and all :P.