Calrissian

From a grand view of 'lets be hopeful', would not the best thing to happen, be a collapse of one of these mega ice sheets, with a sea level rise of a few feet in a short time? That would wake up the masses, I can't imagine anything else would. Most people are too stupid to ever look at the gradual changes. Is it feasible for sea level to rise that by a few feet if an ice sheet of the huge variety disintegrated over a few years?

Hi all, with yet another little story in the news about Global warming, I thought I might be daring enough to start off a specific post on something that occured me long ago. -- The climate is currently changing (yes, I realise thats ALWAYS been the case), even so we're now in a decidedly warming phase, that much is fact. The key issue I think is generally being overlooked - especially by the media (no surprise there), is that the warming is uneven. Oh, and yes, I realise some areas are arguably cooler lately - south Antarctic, right ? A few questions? 1. Is the average temp diff. between the poles and equator the same over the last decade or so, or has it changed? 2. If the temperate zone and tropics warm slower than the poles, we can assume less active storms/weather, since the very reason we have ALL weather is that of imbalance between different places. A stray thought of course, is that even if the differential is not as much, there is a lot more heat/energy in the global system - since more is being held by the planet, and so that might still allow for stronger/greater number of storms in the longer term. Am I right in thinking then that the absolute worse case scenario is that not only might we have a warmer climate, but that the pole/equatorial differential will be higher and individual weather events will thus become more intense? ----- I am highly interested in what all of you think about this, and whether any of you have any basic numbers about the differential temps, I'm very curious to know. Calrissian: holding at DEFCON 2

I see Isaac and Joyce appearing within the next 3-5 days. Two new storms to end September. With October likely to be as active, that'll take us to Nadine. So, Sandy and Tony look quite possible for the season. After a dead start to the year, things really ticking along now. Calrissian: Awating Kirk...in October.

I never did much like Birmingham anyway. Interesting image...Birmingham, with a giant 100 mile wide scythe. Yes, we can hope...if only for another day. --- Gordon, hmm, its all in the name really. Calrissian: not on the farm.

Yet another quirk to add for the relentless warming trend. September has been great, how some can even doubt that this month will not be a record, I find astounding. Calrissian: awaiting hurricanes Gordon and Helene to hit London

Sounds menacing, but I have little doubt it'll just be a cloudy day with a somewhat stiff breeze. Sure, the far SW and tip of Ireland 'might' get gust of 50-75mph, but thats barely worthy of note. Meanwhile, the media fantacism is already starting to note the oncoming 'hurricane'. Calrissian: will lose his roof to the Cat'3 in t-100 hours ?

Hmm.. Well, the weather until the next weekend looks like 70f+, so that is only dragging the average up towards 18/19. I think a record is almost a given. Yes the nights are cooling off, but still, September is such a good month for great weather. Calrissian: enjoying this somewhat extended summer

Not for this year, maybe the 2007 season though.

Hmm, well, its mid-september.... 8 names, and looks like Isacc is a likely storm within 5-7 days. Anyone with ideas on how far we'll get into the alphabet this year? I'm thinking at least Rafael, and probably William - but most of the storms will miss land. Calrissian: Behold, Isacc soon to be born !

A magnificent last report of the day. 110mph and inevitably going to hit 140mph sometime Wednesday. Not the most perfect of conditions out there - sea could certainly be a little hotter, but still, it will suffice for a Cat'4-to-be. Finally, Gordon giving storm freaks something to get interested in. I can only hope Kirk offers as much potencial as I have foreseen. Calrissian: Ahh yes...Kirk...awaits.

Masterful, what a wondrous sight it is. Cat'2 by next sunrise, and major cane by the weekend perhaps. Finally, we have a cane' that actually looks like one! A shame it will remain in never never land, but still, its something. *I can't help but hear the laughs of Ming the Merciless as I look into the mighty eye of Gordon. Calrissian: Hot hail anyone ?

Hmm, well everything is linked. Of course, the most basic issue is that any storm - in its wake, the waters will be churned up, with lower sea temps, and thus less chance of the next wave becoming a storm. So, as Helene-to-be increases in strength, its using up more of the energy in that area, and thus everything in the infamous 'African wave train' has less to work with. Calrissian: Waving at the tropical beasts

Please remember, the Americans are incompetent.....at spelling. It'll be Helene, not Helen. Calrissian: Eyes on the Growing Beast

Helene-to-be looks mighty impressive at this early stage, way better than Florence or Flash did. Even though there would be around 12-14 days until a potencial usa landfall, it does look very well defined. Look at it, its almost got an evil eye about it. There is something of the night about it. You see it too, right? Calrissian: time for lunch

Well hello there Helene-to-be ! Now this indeed looks far far better for some entertainment. I think the storm freaks can get a little big excited about what this one might do. Forget about Gordon... Helene is the one to watch Calrissian: eyes on ISS

Woah... http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv.jpg Florence being destroyed by massive chunk of dry air. Calrissian: eyes on sts-115

The Chancellor of course. Everything is the fault of this government, didn't you know? ---- Seriously though, yeah, I've always been amazed at how for days, even a week or so, a storm will just wander around, and then almost jump to lightspeed and crash into land. I think I remember correctly that Hurricane Wilma (or was it Rita) last year did that. oh yeah, Wilma is a good example. see: http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlant...WILMA/track.gif --- I do think this year, we just have to reflect that 2005 may well have been a one-off super special season. A few last year did note that we'd never see anything like it again, and I think its probably true. All those storm freaks - myself included, can justifiably feel depressed for the rest of this year, and the next. It'll take a few years to truly see 2005 in its full grand historical perspective. Calrissian: 2006, the summer of dull storms

'Gordon's Alive???????' ----------------------------- Well, as expected we've got name 7'. I suppose there is potencial, but I can't see much coming from this, and even if it does, the track seems Florance bound. Calrissian: DIVEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE !

Gordon-to-be, looks even more dull than Florence turned out to be. Okay, maybe if you're in Bermuda right now you'd disagree, but still, we all know the relatively weakness of Florence. -- Gordon looks weak, I'm sure it'll get named, by Tuesday, but can't see it going anywhere other than where Florence is headed. Calrissian: September days...ahh

Well, we are now moving into mid-september - which should be the 'height' of activity, but no, its quiet. Florence has been dull, despite its huge size, it was still a dull affair. -- I've been re-reading some of the earlier posts in this thread, it certainly makes for some interesting reading. So, virtually everyone got the season wrong, okay, nevermind that though. Who couldn't be forecasting 25+ names after last years madness? Even the overly paid experts have been way out. What is still ahead of us ? We've really only got, what, maybe 4 or 5 weeks when there is a reasonable chance of a mighty decent storm forming. Seems unlikely though, doesn't it? *Is this one of those quiet years, where we'll get an Andrew, which otherwise would be a relatively dull as hell season? My inclination...says 'watch for Kirk'. Calrissian: watching STS-115

Farewell Florence. Dull dull, and mostly dull. --- Calrissian: could never be called dull.

Thats going to be Flash...I mean... Gordon. ---- http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/avn-l.jpg A stunning picture, Florance looking so mighty, with likely 'gordon' to the south east. Compared to Ernesto, Florance looks to be many times bigger. Calrissian: ...he saved every one of us...

Its about time. The sixth name....by September 5'th ...Florence. Seems steadily crusing for a east coast Florida hit, but then....so long until then 10 days? Calrissian: awaiting Hurricane Kirk

I love fire cam. This rules, almost as much as a good Cat'3+ --- Meanwhile, Ernesto is still spinning up, and drifting NE - not particulary inland yet ! Calrissian: Forget the storm, we got a fire here !

Hmm, well, I wouldn't know much about Tv, since I don't have one. --- http://cbs4.com/ - live webcast link, far more interesting right now (works only with exploror, not firefox!). --- meanwhile, Ernesto is surely Cat'1, and striving for '2. Calrissian: loves a good fire.