Calrissian

Well, they are just listening to the NHC guidance. IF you look at the Water-vap' loop, that shows distinct southerly movement of the overall storm. The lowest pressure may indeed be still a little more NE/N, but the overall storm is a little south of what it was earlier. Of course, at a speed of 3mph or less, its kinda hard to say. Dare I say, anyone in the Carolinas or Georgia can rest easy now.

Contrary to the NHC, Fay is moving SSE. It is pleasing to see a storm that won't do as models insist upon.

LIVE streaming from a roaming pickup truck tv news crew in Florida... http://www.floridatoday.com/apps/pbcs.dll/frontpage -- There is a lot of flooded homes and roads. Sure, the winds were strong, but damage could be quite significant for a fair few. Calrissian: rained out.

Yes, its at times like this that indeed NASA would wish they were able to 'raise the shields' on their VAB and 2 main launch pads. -- Fay is certainly a particularly interesting storm, and a great example that not all storms go the same old boring route. Its been a while since we've seen something like this, and its fascinating to see how the models and NHC are trying to forecast it. - On the water vapour loop, looks like Fay is just about as far east as she is going to get. Most of the tracks seem to be shifting the core ever further south, and it does look likely that if Fay exits Florida, it'll be back over water and then heading due west. A VERY interesting weekend is ahead of us.

ohh, there is also 'WESH tv'. The direct wmp cut/paste link is: http://mfile.akamai.com/12890/live/reflector:57420.asx Quite a good show too. --- Calrissian: sleepy.

see: http://cbs4.com/ The first link is 'tracking fay', thats the tv stream. --- Hurricane city will have a live show tonight at 2am. That is worth seeing, if you can stay up that late. -- As for this rumoured pressure reading of 970ish, hmm, it'd not be too unexpected. The water there is 30/31C, very toasty indeed. Calrissian: would like a pet raccoon

Fay looking really magnificent as it gets off that awful island. *I've seen a few charts whacking Fay up to a Cat3/4 by Tuesday. Yes, that seems unlikely, but even the latest NHC discussion makes mention of it, and notes we should watching this one closely. Of course, its now Saturday, and if Florida has a major cane offshore within 3 days, that doesn't leave much time for evac. Calrissian: awaiting another gold medal B)

Possibly a bit better than July, but doubtful. Calrissian: 15.1

We're lurking in the shadows...wearing extra layers -- Another fine Sunday, a good day for London city. How anyone could whine about days like this, ahhh Calrissian: time for Cadburies

.... Calrissian: 18.0 please. !

Calrissian: 16.1 (probably an under-estimate) :lol:

I still think the media are just being 'weird' about this. I refer people to the Sat' pics of the area posted earlier. An area that had - according to the best data, around 5-6 million people, various large chunks - primarily the populated areas, are missing. A million dead? 1 out of 10 make it out of there alive ? 5 million? The numbers are somewhat unfathomable, but the Sat' pics do not lie, and they show gaping holes in the delta region. Do these speculations sound too wildly incorrect? To anyone who disagrees, how can you say so? The sat' pics are totally conclusive. Imagine if London was missing off a map. Assuming no one could 'move out' ahead of a storm, forming a fair guess at the real number isn't really that hard. It indeed does seem that this is the worse human devastating storm in recorded history ? It would seem there is little doubt the name Nargis will become infamous in history. -- Indeed, I think its clear to many now that 'warnings' are irrelevant anyway, in areas where people are simply too poor to evac' outta there.

Even if they were warned with a 'total destruction is coming' warning from their beloved military generals, do you think more than 1% of the locals would have left? How would they leave ? They're poor, they have no means to go anywhere. --- Looking at this: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs...sat_myanmar.pdf and again considering the Sat' pics which clearly show large land areas now missing, how many do you think are still there? This is worse than the Tsunami.

The media is still not quite grasping what happened in Myanmar. Before.... http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets...08113.terra.721 After.... http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/subsets...08126.terra.721 *you can select a much more detailed 250m resolution at the top of each page. Now, if you load up google earth, and have a perusal around that southern area, you'll notice pretty sizeable urban areas. Most notably the area just south of Pyapon and Bogale. There is no land there now. Its water. Large chunks of the coastline are seemingly gone. A number of areas in the size of 20 x 15 miles are missing. People are talking of 20,000 or so dead. Stick a zero on that, and you'll get what is possibly even worse a nightmare than the 2004 Tsunami was.

Lets be clear, none of the 'experts' have any more idea than John Mc'Cain does about fiscal policy. -- After the insanely active and fun 05' season, almost all experts were predicting doom and destruction for 06. We didn't get it. Despite that totally embaressing failure in prediction, the same experts gunned high for '07. We all know what last year was like. Now, they preach high again for 08'. -- All these predictions are meaningless. The science is still too primitive. Pointless to hope anyone has the slightest clue what is ahead this summer. Calrissian: 100/200/300 (yeah, go figure those numbers out)

A nice April, but of course, won't be like last year. Calrissian: 8.5

Yahoo: Wilkins ice shelf collapse ? Hmm, what ya think of this Grey Wolf. Maybe I've not read enough on here lately, but this seems like a new story. Wilkins is a land based ice-shelf, the size of Northern Island, and they subtly suggest it might all go ? You're all doomed, I tells ya

oh well, how can it so late. sigh. 6.7 hmm

well, thats it for me I think. An interesting experience, although an all out 1960s style blizzard would be more pleasing. Goodnight all.

The only people I feel even a little sympathy for are those in tall tower blocks. I've read a few people online report how they were really freaking out as the towers noticably swayed during the quake. As for the rest of ya. ha. Its just a little quake, nothing to be worried about. Then again, I'm in London, so I guess it was less strong. I wonder how much it was here though, compared to the epicentre. -- Brit' Geo people now quote a quake of 5.3 Thats not bad. Calrissian: tired.

Hmm, a British Geo' representive on radio 5, says the UK monitoring are calling it a 5.1 ...and of course a 5.1 is MUCH bigger than a 4.7 -- Calrissian: sitting on the stable Eurasian plate.

ahh, here I am ! You mods, always making us move around. Much like the techtonic plates are moving beneath us right now. I am hoping for more ! Calrissian: still holding at defcon 3

Exactly ! Its worth staying up for an extra hour or two. If only for a little chance at catching another 4 pointer. --- You know who I blame for this ? Yeah, the government. Calrissian: standing by.

As I say, the thing is, at first I thought it was just a heavy haulage truck. Where I live, literally yards from a main urban motorway, the apartment will often 'jolt' for a second, but thats it. This was different. Some of the comments across the many boards are highly entertaining. Best one yet, someone noting that they thought the new 'call of duty 4' effects are truly impressive at times. Calrissian: was about to play Battlefield 2142...but then the quake struck.

So, err...the Rapture starts in Hull ? First floods, then the quakes, fire next ? --- No one else noted yet, do you not think something else 'perceivable' might happen as a follow-up within the next hour ? We're almost a whole since since the 0.58 first quake...time for another ? Calrissian: holding at Defcon 3