Calrissian

Oh I really liked this. I've often said to the 'lets wait and see' people, why take the risk ? Why not take the careful approach, take precautions, since we only have one homeworld. Calrissian: column A

hmm, 10.55 is a very fair estimate. I always like to be more daring, and I'd think even 10.7 would be a fair change. As 2007 showed, the first 4 months were no indicator as to the summer that was to come. Its going to indeed be a very long year for us weather fanatics, regardless, its fun to guess. Calrissian: stuck with 11.1 (too late now !)

omg, you people currently viewing this thread are so hardcore (snowmaiden, kold weather, Stratos Ferric, Roger J Smith) Happy New Years, you crazy CET fanatics I think my 4.5 is a 'fair' number, given the cold blast we might get early this month, and probably a bit more near the end. It'll make last years 7+ look very icy indeed. Calrissian: better online, than amongst the dirty masses in Trafalger Square

2007 was a significant disapointment after the great summer of 2006. I'm hopeful of better things in 2008. I continue to await a 'Jump year', and I still predict & expect it within the next 3-5 years, and I see no reason why it can't be 2008. Many factors are most likely going to contribute towards another new record for the NW European climate. After much consideration I've finalised my prediction for the year ahead. In collaboration with a visionary from the distant future - Dr. Lexus, I am sure this year my prediction will be more accurate. Specifically, after a relatively cool spring...things may well Jump this summer to a new level of prolonged warmth. It will make for some great summer evenings, and much hysteria on this board with regards to the overall argument on warming vs the denialists. Autumn and winter will likely be mostly 'normal', but the contrast to the predicted long hot summer will be stark. January: 4.5 February: 5.9 March: 6.7 April: 8.5 May: 12.1 June: 16.1 July: 20.1 August: 18.4 September: 14.7 October: 12.2 November: 7.8 December: 6.1 -- More than anything for 2008, I am gunning for a month where the monthly CET is 20.0+ We've come close a few times over the last decade or so, but with the overall warming trend, why might it not be this year ? Calrissian: wishful thinking..for a year that will probably suck

Calrissian: 4.5

Unless someone can invent an FTL capable starship, jump 4.5 billion light years away. Then use a really good exo-solar telescope, and look back towards Earth. That would clarify the history of early Earth. ---- Calrissian: time for another viewing of BSG Razor

I will indeed clarify that based on all available data, most of you are all frakked. Just enjoy what little time you have left in your coastal/city homes. Calrissian: clarification is his middle name.

Everything after late April 2007 sucked. For a few months everything was going so well. Sunny and warm afternoons in London city, but then...the change. Hell, in late April even the cold rampers were starting to believe that my CET prediction might come true. Ohh...how things change. Anyone with an unbiased mind should have realised that by June, the year was essentially to be written off as a wet and rubbish mess. Calrissian: on the leading edge.

Give me a call when Mt. Toba erupts. -- I willl share the wisdom nearer the time, but seriously...to see numbers below 10.0, :smiliz64: Calrissian: Having a woodland critters christmas

So err, is this the official 2008 prediction thread then ? Why no prizes ? I want prizes. Good things, like chocolate, gold coins, and holidays on remote beaches. Calrissian: considering 2008

The graph says it all. We're all frakked. Once the next El nino cycle changes...and another 5-6 years during the next solar cycle (2012)... a CET of 12 in the UK will be the case. Even a blind man would find it hard to dispute that graph's overwhelming trend for global warming.

noticed this little story... "Heat Wave in Antarctica - Hut Point Peninsula, near Scott Base, Antarctica, is in an unsual heatwave of 3 degrees Celsius" see: http://www.earthfiles.com/ (currently lead story as at 17/12/07) -- I did a little browsing, and noticed this... Scott Base LIVE weather updates: http://www.antarcticanz.govt.nz/weather/SB.../sbweather.html looks like the max temp they seem to get is around 6c, and lately its been up to 3.2c last Thursday. -- Regardless of anything else, interesting that the UK night temps are almost as cold as Antarctica. Calrissian: at the midnight hour

It is not the responsibility of Government to ensure 'the masses', or YOU, or anyone of us, are 'informed'. Hell, if I had that attitude, I'd still believe that the world currency systems are 'stable' and that the dollar isn't about to become worthless by 2010. Unlike the ignorant masses, I 'think' about an issue, rather than just blindly believing whatever the Daily Mail happens to tout. -- I hold to my view that soon enough, once we get a reasonably cold winter (and this time there will be significant nationwide power cuts as the grid will no longer be able to cope), the masses - lead by the hysterical media, will really get into slating those suggesting the climate is moving to a drastically warmer state. The 'groundswell' is indeed growing, but like in many other issues, no point in hoping the ignorant masses will ever think for themselves. Calrissian: his arrogance comes from a sense of knowing he is....correct.

I'd be quite happy to 'take my chances' against this mostly media-overhyped virus. Statistically speaking, I think most people have little to stress about. Sure, plenty of old, the ill, and the young will have a bad ending, but Mr Average will ride it out, even if its a real nasty situation (I cite the Spanish Flu outbreak). There are inumerable benefits to seeing both the UK and Global population be whacked downwards by a billion or so. *ohh, and don't get on my case about 'the ethical implications' of what I say. Although for the record, I'd suggest there are too many people (outside of western society - where population is largely stable), so the fewer of 'them', the better. -- Just think, all those spare houses. :lol: 2007: average house price £250,000 (or so) 2010: £50,000 <_< Calrissian: ready and waiting for the little wrigglies.

Yes, there is a growing % of the masses who now believe that GW is not going to happen. ALL it will take for the mainstream to quit the whole 'global warming' issue will be one really cold long winter (something that is statistically still likely at some point). Never forget just how dumb and outright ignorant the typical person is, and especially so in terms of the nations 'collective memory'. The average UK resident lacks even the basic grounding science, why are people still treating the populace like they are intelligent ? So, all we need is just one cold winter, and anyone touting a warming climate will be laughed at and slated. Hell, there are even signs of that attitude on this forum at times (despite the fact that even the naysayers concede an overall warming trend). The opinion of the masses is largely irrelevent, since such views are based on ignorance and what newspaper they happen to read. Calrissian: back to black

Mr Jevons was indeed right. The current drives to reduce energy consumption are relatively minor in effect, the typical person will continue to drive when they 'need', and consume as much as they always did. The only issue is when the price of a product/service becomes so high that Mr Average can no longer afford to keep purchasing it.

4.13 is the official 'low'... see: http://newsvote.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/7006640.stm -- So, 4.13, very impressive reduction, and by such a massive margin against the previous record, that even an ardent anti-climate change naysayer might even notice. Calrissian: 2019: 0.0

News Story http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2007...4/climatechange Summary: currently we're now at 4.4 million (the old low being 5.3). As I - and a few others have been saying for a long while now, its way too late. Within 10-15 years.. it'll be 0.0 Humanity en masse never deserved to continue anyway. -- Calrissian: frak the human menace.

Calrissian: September - 14.5 :huh:

I can assure you, that having energy efficient light bulbs does nothing for ones sex life. I've installed a few dozen, and things have not changed, either way

I think if you stick with the Jim Williams feed for the night, you'll get all the coverage you can want. A great evening ahead, from a distant observers point of view. For the locals, its a night to remember too, but from the other end of the scale of Fun>Terror ! Calrissian: eyes on Dean

Man alive, this is really a close run thing now. The next hour will be critical, will Dean slip a bit west, or might Kingston still be in trouble? The Jim Williams show is now up and running from his hurricane bunker (although he seems to be content to not talk right now) - http://www.hurricanecity.com/live1.htm Calrissian: in awe of the monster

Aye, I think many are Well, If the eye of Dean is going to hit Kingston town direct, its going to have to go directly NW from now on. That seems unlikely of course, so the capital will be spared a direct hit. However, it does look like the western half of the island might get seriously whacked by 150mph winds. Calrissian: awaiting the next flyby

Yes, we have another ISS pass -this one to the west, around 7.10pm UK. Well worth seeing. -- Meanwhile, Dean - according to some, has a 'stadium effect' eye. Hmm. I really don't know myself, except that it does seem the eye wall will clip at least part of the western quarter of Jamaica. So many variables, but looking pretty dire for the island. Calrissian: back for the next pass.

Superb ISS/Shuttle coverage of Dean coming right up. --- A glimpse of the eye would be great, and it'll be even more up to date than anywhere else in the world will have ! Calrissian: can't wait for the pics/video