Supercell

Snap. Just measured the same level in my back garden.

I am a little concerned we may see some sleet / rain for a brief period. The air just a little further east is quite a bit colder, closer to -1C. Here we are at 0.2C. We'll soon find out.

Yeah... that really annoyed me. I drove to stratford (about 40 mins away) and went from seeing a dusting to a foot of snow.

It's heavy now and starting to accumulate more readily. Temp at 0.2C

Shouldn't be too long. Members just to the west of us are seeing the heavier snow.

Just in answer to all the "will it be a snow to rain event?" and "How much snow can I expect ?" questions... Nobody is sure on the details. It'll be a case of watching the radar tomorrow evening and looking at what locations further west are reporting. It was always going to be a nowcast with the forecast just giving us a rough idea.

I know how you feel. After watching years of these type of set ups fail to deliver in this area, it's hard to believe in the current model output. I remember the classic "Winter Storm" warning highlighted on a BBC forecast (may have been last year). Widespread blizzards and chaos, but not a grain of snow actually fell. It'll be a nowcast as always. Good to see signs of snow at last though

The models are always uncertain in these instances and disagree even as close as T6hrs. They are rarely spot on which is very important as there is such a fine line between: a snowfest, a rainfest or no precipitation at all.

My bedroom heater is broken and the temperature has dropped to 10.8C inside and I am FREEZING. -3.5C outside.

There were a few snow grains this morning falling from the low cloud.

Something good in Nebraska :blink:

Some of the ramps in the model discussion thread talking up snow depths, last night, were very unrealistic. The pressure is just too high to have any organised or intense precip. In this type of set up, I am more interested in establishing the cold and then seeing what we could get from a battleground scenario at a later date. If we can get deep cold established it's unlikely that the Westerlies will just blast through the block without giving us some fun. I know it's not Dec 2010, and I know we didn't get the massive battleground dumping, but entrenched cold held off numerous attempts by the Atlantic to break through and we had snow from other sources. Cold first, snow later

The showers usually make it well inland too (even to parts of Wales I recall and eastern Ireland benefits from the Irish Sea) as there are no hills to block and drain away the precip. The easterly of Feb 2005, although a big let down with it's modified air source, managed to produce 14 consecutive days of falling snow here

I am still waiting for a few dents to appear in my tin hat. Got the nine iron ready too. http://cdn.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/wink.png

I am not sure how rare these instances of mid-late morning outbreaks are (maybe Mr. Sherman can shed some light), but there are occasions when the conditions are right. On a much less impressive scale, I had my first severe morning storm about 5 years ago. It was bizarre. The lightning strike rates were scary and the rainfall really intense. This was all happening at around 8 am.

I'm hoping they remain steady at between £450-500. I booked around christmas last year, but it will be a late decision this year with work / college exams and assignments etc. Scrap the above. Closer to £600 now lol.

I just received an offer from Reading University for the three year degree subject to completion of an Access to HE course. I made a right mess of my a-levels (failed 3 out of 4). because I was lazy and didn't care at the time. And having worked for 4 years in a job I wasn't really interested in and then going on to experience the netweather storm chase, I decided to refocus on a potential career in meteorology. I attended a Reading University open day last summer and spoke to the admissions tutor and found that I could get on the course via a one year access to higher education course. I am currently halfway through it and really enjoying it. So there are other options.

You dealt with it better than me. I felt like all the ingredients for an epic supercell were coming together in my head. Thanks for looking out for me. Lesson learned (probably). Congrats to Dave. Enjoy the responsibility !

If I can sort something out to get me on this years tour remind me not to get hammered and then spend a 400 mile journey sparked out in the back of a car in 100F heat. Grim.

2.8C with a dew point of 2C. Need heavier ppn to start to lower this temp more rapidly.

Going to have to leave it late this year. Left my job to go back in to education so money is a bit of an issue but i'm trying to save. If I get to a point where i'm able to book it'll most likely be sold out as places are rapidly going ! May have to go on tour 6 by myself :lol:

Oh I dunno about Rugby. I had to drive to stratford last December to see near enough a foot of snow in places where we had nothing. Leamington, Coventry and Warwick had a decent amount too.

Certainly one to save. Not impossible, but highly unlikely. Central pressure equalling the lowest value ever recorded in the UK. Wind increasing hurricane force 12 in many shipping areas and, locally, inland too.

First storm since tour one storm chase USA lol. Some very heavy rain 7mm at 110 mm/hr ! And a small hail core too.

Where are you looking for the temperature readings ? Most sites will round up (or down) to the nearest degree. Only the met office obs are going to be used for record purposes.