Supercell

Those videos are immense. Looking forward to the BBQ meet up to see more fantastic footage.

Awesome...that is the stuff of dreams. I can't wait to book. I'm 21 years old, just got myself a pay rise, have no commitments...perfect time, eh ? Are you heading out again next year, Dogs ?

Hi Guys, Long time no see. I have been working hard to get some cash together for a while now and i've finally made the decision to get myself on this tour ! Just a shame it's Sunday and nobody is about to take my booking lol. My aim is to frequent this forum more often and get to know everyone again and meet the newer members. I am so excited ! This is going to be epic. I will book as soon as I can. Looking forward to it and it's months away ! I don't think i'll be able to calm down until my name is on the place list. I'll call again tomorrow

Thunder to my west. Could be two storms n two days.

I have nothing to compare these figures to as this is my first full season of a frost recordings. But i'll be very interested to see if future years come close. Dec 09: 16 Jan 10: 17 Feb 10: 12 Mar 10: 9 Apr 10: 1 May 10: 1 Total: 56

Station location - Lat: 52.18Deg N Long: 1.12Deg W Elev: 119m. Feb 2010 Mean Max: 5,3C Mean Min: 0.3C Mean Temp: 2.6C Month Max: 9.7C (24th) Month Min: -2.8C (20th) Month Low Max: 1.7C (18th) Month High Min: 5.4C (25th) Monthly Precipitation: 42.6mm Max Precipitation: 7.8mm (19th) 12 air frosts observed in Jan. I'll update with the whole winter 09/10 statistics later.

I think a sub 3C month should be pretty much nailed. I am currently at 2.6C and my station is usually very close to the eventual CET figure, if not exactly on the money.

I last recorded double digit temp on the 9th Dec. A max of 10.0C. This week has seen some close calls. A 9.7C on the 24th and 9.4C on the 25th.

I think that the main concern will be the rainfall. Particularly if an inch or so falls on already saturated ground. The wind will be much less of an issue. Just a bit of breeze.

It's a ridiculous correction, and more in line with the NAE this morning. That's the trouble with these set ups, no model / forecaster has a clue until the event is a nowcast.

That is quite a colossal shift southwards of the PPN band in such a short space of time. And we're not too far away from T0 now. More in line with this morning's NAE model (or even moreso).

The snow's that bad that there is not a single functioning observation station left in the midlands. They're all buried.

I've seen this before... Precip intensity can be overdone and / or the LP center, along with the associated mild sector, shunted northerwards. Hard not to be excited because the GFS 18Z is a snowfest for some, but northward movement could scupper things. It's precariously poised at this early stage and massive changes can still take place.

It all depends on initial positioning of the first low come T0. It will likely set the pattern for the others. I doubt the models can accurately predict what will follow. The first low is the one to look at for now with final positioning far from certain. Complex patterns can and will cause chaos further on in the medium-to-long term output.

Best covering here all winter. A good 4 inches in the garden.

Absolute nightmare trying to get home from work. Gridlock. Took me 10 minutes to attempt to exit one road. Just been in to my garden and there is widely 4 inches on the grass and generally a couple of inches on the concrete. Makes up for the relatively little snow in January. Will get some pics.

Absolutely chucked it down with a mix of hail/sleet, leaving a temporary slushy covering, in the last hour. Quite exciting driving through it.

Oh so very close to my monthly mean statistics: ...Perhaps, next time, i'll release the CET figures bang on time so the met-office can't keep us waiting

Station location - Lat: 52.18Deg N Long: 1.12Deg W Elev: 119m. Jan 2010 Mean Max: 3.8C Mean Min: -0.9C Mean Temp: 1.4C Month Max: 8.6C (18th) Month Min: -7.7C (7th) Month Low Max: -0.3C (9th) Month High Min: 4.6C (22nd) Monthly Precipitation: 38.8mm Max Precipitation: 12.19mm (22nd) 17 air frosts observed in Jan. And 1 Ice day with a number of close calls.

Exciting news. Would love to see some figures i.e. monthly means against previous years / records. I imagine the met office will publish something as this is rather remarkable.

It's the calm before the storm... everyone is waiting for the tentative signs of a cold spell to become the reality again. The anticipation is building.

Yes, I think that perception comes from the recent run (four of the last five years) of milder Januarys. Just to add that my monthly mean recordings are usually similar to that of the eventual Hadley CET figure. 0.8C is the current Jan 2010 mean for my location. Hadley CET for December was 3.1C and my mean was 3.0C.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cetml1659on.dat - Monthly CET from the earliest record to the present. http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/mly_cet_mean_sort.txt - Monthly CET rankings.

No ppn here at all, but i'm actually glad. I told everyone at work not to worry becuase we will get nothing. Damn right...not a drop.

Mean Max: 1.4C Mean Min: -3.5C Mean Temp: -1.0C