Supercell

Justt before I attempt to drive to work... Surprisingly snowy ! Probably have a good couple of inches on top of what we had, particularly in the areas that haven't seen the thaw. Good stuff. Enjoy all !

Whatever turns you on... Still a good couple of hours away from me I would have thought.

Absolutely. Naysayers take note on current synoptics. Painfully slow progess of the ppn, but hopefully worse still progress as it takes hold of the midlands.

Cheers mate. I think the projected pivot over the midlands, with the ppn band taking more of a northerly track, could help out a good portion of us a great deal. It'll be sad to see it all go, but at least we now know that prolonged cold still exists in the dreaded "christmas pudding" *shudder*. Ha ha...LOVE how m***** era has been added to the swear filter. Awesome stuff.

Go home...no really lol. Still, it's been good to experience the longest cold spell of my life. Maybe not as snowy as some, but exceptional in terms of prolonged cold nonetheless.

I think there's reason to be optimistic. An inch or two in places just on the longevity.

Blimey...ultra-intense PPN heading in to the midlands

I don't think many models portray precip and accumulation that accurately. If you take some charts and put them against the eventual radar distribution, there's always discrepancies. Particularly in overdoing the spread. I very much doubt that distribution will be to the extent that those charts show.

Not so sure on that one. If you have a look at the precip accumulation charts there is very little for the majority of the midlands. Mainly remnants of what was.

First post of the day, just got back from work. Last night was a nice surprise. Woke up to around 6/7 cms on the grass and the roads were completely covered. One road with a fairly steep gradient was impassable with people abandoning their cars. Certainly caused more problems and was deeper than I expected :lol: As for tomorrow and in to Wednesday... I am very surprised to see the models going for some progression of the frontal ppn further inland. Still not totally convinced by the eastern extent, but places like devon / dorset / wales and parts of the west country look like getting a pasting. Might even see some remnants here.

Some decent snowfall now. Repairing the damage that was done by the earlier thaw...not long left though.

You are right these events are often eventual nowcasts, no certainities until T0. Just a gut feeling I have.

Although it is getting a bit of a march on. Soon be over for me. Would be intresting to see how the Leics/Notts contingent are getting on as the eastern extent is heavier.

2 and a half weeks off because of the snow...blimey. I can understand. Hope you have a safe journey tomorrow. No matter how much it snowed I'd be expcted to walk to work. Only about three miles away

South West, Wales and a small portion of the west midlands look like getting a bit of a pasting. Shame it hasn't got any chance at all of reaching this far. On to the next battleground...

0.4C and the previously melted areas of snow are now disappearing as a new dusting takes over

Yes, it's quite exciting to see. An elongated scandi high attached to the siberian high bringing in some serious cold from THE coldest place in the northern hemisphere.

...and a nice lingering front from the west that collides with the cold air over the midlands and just gets stuck. Slowly fizzling out, but only after hours of thundersnow !

Had to chcukle to myself. Today has been feeling noticeably warmer. And there is evidence to suggest this with a bit of a thaw... So I checked today's max and it was a barmy 1.3C lol. When we do eventually get back in to double figures, we'll all be out in shorts and t-shirt basking in the warmth.

That is something rather special. Let's trace our air source all the way back to the deep cold of Verkhoyansk ! I honestly can't see the return of the Atlantic any time soon. Just a number of failed attempts. A less cold period perhaps, but this cold spell is something we're not used to in recent times. And, because of this, the models will continue to have difficulty in nailing anything at even medium range.

The return of the Atlantic is not nailed. It's a week away !

I would definitely take the GFS 12Z for the tues/weds event. Looks good.

Tues/Weds event looks good for the Midlands. Favourable conditions for a mainly snow event. The mild uppers have gone. And with a front battling to make it across the country, there could be some major falls of snow in parts. This could be the near perfect event for us. A quasi-stationary front.

Welcome back, Glenn. Tues / Weds looks better. The frontal PPN comes through (almost quasi-stationary), without the really mild uppers we've seen on previous runs. The west country has favourable conditions for a mainly snow event.

Bugger...I chose today of all days to go out and take photos across the moors and canal. Shame the soddin' thaw has started.