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StormChaseUK

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Everything posted by StormChaseUK

  1. The pressure build over Russia does seem to cause low pressure to get stuck over us in summer months Very unlucky to be stuck between the 2 areas of high pressure
  2. Stunned how models can go from 26C to 9C in space of a day. Don't think I've seen such a big change before.
  3. The 06z might improve,.. ah down to single figures in east. oh dear. Amazing how the models can change so much in 12 hours
  4. Models flip flopping again, still fail to believe high pressure won't build from SW.
  5. Yes we are heading to peak heating time of year now, the high pressure from SW will be too strong for those northerlies I did a have a feeling a few days ago the models were overdoing low pressure.
  6. Hmm I dunno, I'm still not convinced at this stage yet - I still think pressure will build in from SW.
  7. Cloud cover can be overestimated this time of year. My app yesterday had 15, 16c and overcast today it's 18, 19c sunny and very warm. 2nd-5th june period is long way off to be accurate and it's a much better situation than having atlatic fronts come in with wash out. *06z is flipflopping all over the place- warmth is back
  8. Could end up as Belgium MCS , I will keep an eye on the streams though good luck
  9. Can confirm just had a thunderstorm here in ludlow, shropshire. Few bright flashes and loud thunder
  10. 12z has moved cold back for Wales, could be snow on hills of Wales, Boxing day
  11. i would say elevated lightning shows for South Coast, Somerset midnight onwards. Heavy rain Sat morning for elsewhere. Unless it's going to be 1990s standards huge MCS
  12. I bet the weather turns around, on 28th September... lol
  13. Yes I suspect the nocturnal cooling is now coming into play. Expect to hear a few reports of "I just saw a flicker of lightning" in Midlands, southern England shortly.
  14. Very warm humid evening out there now in Herefordshire, Gloucester, down to Somerset area. feels ripe for elevated later in the night
  15. Starting to see some nice clumps of cloud behind that blob in the south east, southern flank of that blob being most active.
  16. Yes Poole I would expect to see the first of the flashes in night time darkness, Salisbury by about 1am my estimation
  17. For overnight storms you need a rash on radar not a whopping great clump of thundery rain/cloud pancake. If you look west of Guernsey it has more of a thundery shower appearance on the radar.
  18. The west could see elevated storms later in the night I reckon, even up to Midlands. The SE TS at the moment are channel homegrowns popping off.
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