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StormChaseUK

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Everything posted by StormChaseUK

  1. StormChaseUK
    Yes I'm not far south of Church Stretton, some nice humidity here at the moment/ Very tropical. As I type.. big tropical raindrops are falling. 20200810_142015_1.mp4
  2. StormChaseUK
    I'd say the attached is close to the mark. The moisture out to the west meeting the heat to the east, perfect battleground
  3. StormChaseUK
    I'm just south of you Ludlow area, 25C sunny very oppressive here.
  4. StormChaseUK
    Mid level instability creating occasional flickers of lightning through the night. Very Singapore!
  5. StormChaseUK
    That's just computer projections though, which people are taking as gospel. Over 100 miles you will get a much more balanced temperature gradient. I'd say 22C to 32C will be the on the day values.
  6. StormChaseUK
    I'm taking the models with a pinch of salt at the moment, after today autumnal weather and rain and i'm in the West midlands not Scotland. Looks good for next week though. I think the max for tomorrow will be 35C for south east.
  7. StormChaseUK
    Might be worth a bet on the UK record being broken this year.
  8. StormChaseUK
    Yes the clock is ticking down, but we had a great march, april, may, june. Have to pay,
  9. StormChaseUK
    GFS 06Z blowing a raspberry
  10. StormChaseUK
    Oh my the 18z has ended the run on a warm note
  11. StormChaseUK
    Reached 30C xcweather report. Wonder if 32C will be squeezed out somewhere, yesterday in Wales |(west coast) showers popped off even with a capping in place, but only due to 30+ being reached.
  12. StormChaseUK
    I can see lightning over Brecon which is a good 40 miles or so from here, but only from the nearest hill.
  13. StormChaseUK
    ouch cornwall 13C, SW Wales 15C currently big drop, the fresher air is now rushing in from the SW. So any storms that do form will need to in that warm air east of it otherwise chances are 0%
  14. StormChaseUK
    Yes running the radar there is a definite eastwards shift now rather than the south to north of yesterday.
  15. StormChaseUK
    Hmm all the heat is down south at moment though, I'd be looking at places like Worcester, Oxford to build up storms rather than 18C temps up north, unless I'm wrong. I know if I was a thunderstorm i'd much prefer 28C to 17C or 18C
  16. StormChaseUK
    So you think the areas that do have that solar heating this morning (east wales, west midlands, central england, southern england) will have storms this afternoon?
  17. StormChaseUK
    It is always a bad sign for the Midlands, CS England is Western Scotland has storms previous day, it means the storms will skip across during 24 hour period of following day that unstable airmass ends up over the North sea.
  18. StormChaseUK
    Destabilising has just started to occur Barnstaple, up to Swansea , almost popcorn like rash of activity. Night cooling now coming to play.
  19. StormChaseUK
    Swansea about to cop it shortly..
  20. StormChaseUK
    Excellent, sounds like mid level to me. They are difficult to pickup on lightning detectors they don't always pick it up.
  21. StormChaseUK
    Perfect time for it, humidity has risen from 40% to 55% here in last hour. now things are starting to cool aloft the atmosphere should get more juicy.
  22. StormChaseUK
    That's more like it, people are getting too over excited with the current homegrown showers. The frequent lightning from mid levels needs the cooling night air to pop off.
  23. StormChaseUK
    First shower in Wales just south of Aberystwyth
  24. StormChaseUK
    Looks like a classic case of SW England, Bath Somerset, then Swansea/Cardiff north 11pm-4am medium level cloud lightning. My favourite type
  25. StormChaseUK
    18z That will be amazing if it comes off It reloads the heat in a second round
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