Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

StormChaseUK

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    898

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by StormChaseUK

  1. StormChaseUK
    Good sign, generally this type of elevated summer storm doesn't get going until the late evening, early hours. There is something about 11pm - 4am time period that forces the eletricial actviity to increase. If I had to hazard a guess I would say 9pm, 10pm Swansea/Cardiff 12am-2am Hereford 4am Shrewsbury. My guess for tonight.
  2. StormChaseUK
    06z GFS looks pretty fierce with the heat, even for my tastes. Not sure if model glitch, or we get 4 or 5 days of 30+s certainly an incredible upgrade from the 00z
  3. StormChaseUK
    Does look like the first real plume of the summer will occur, but proper Atlantic weather will come in directly behind it , something we have not seen for a long long time.
  4. StormChaseUK
    Second half of July might be a bit, but I think August will go back to Atlantic weather for a while
  5. StormChaseUK
    BBC are basically just using an App lol rather than Met Office super computers.
  6. StormChaseUK
    The jet can also split when they encounter an upper low. Which is why this weekend is proving difficult to forecast, we don't know if the low will raise over the top of the UK into Europe or more across it allowing the warmer air to the SW to be shunted off.
  7. StormChaseUK
    Interesting 6z as noted above. I think the colder pools we had in May/early June are struggling to impact at this time of year they just can't make inroads. Looking like it will sink down into Eastern Europe/Black Sea instead
  8. StormChaseUK
    The Iceland low will be key to how the weekend will progress. Weaker it is the stronger the warmth for UK will be.
  9. StormChaseUK
    Good points raised there - I think everyone has different definitions of "summer" Personally I consider May 20th to around August 20th Summer. With Spring/Autumn either side. The warmth and "summer type elevated" storms tend to die after late August unless you are really lucky.
  10. StormChaseUK
    I think it is case of people wanting to see "any" High Pressure rather than endless HP.
  11. StormChaseUK
    Looks like the start of Autumn, would take about a month to shift that, so pretty much in time for Autumn to start officially. but so far out it would be impossible to be certain 2 weeks away.
  12. StormChaseUK
    Back to rubbish May/early June again. Although only subtle changes could turn hot again.
  13. StormChaseUK
    That is disappointing as it's patterns like this the UK need to take advantage of. Green crap from the North just sets us back weeks and weeks again. We don't often get the low over Iberia with SE flow and it can be weeks or month before it appears again. Unless that green area can just go down into Mid Europe, Russia allowing pressure build to the west like a rollercoaster movement.
  14. StormChaseUK
    Those charts look like we are swapping our May/June conditions with cen Europe/Russia.
  15. StormChaseUK
    GFS 00z is good , if the next runs keep building the temperatures then this will be great July. (Blooming needs to be)
  16. StormChaseUK
    Thunderstorm menu 2019 1. Dover 2. Outer Space
  17. StormChaseUK
    Most of the rain is not reaching the ground. Just higher level stuff. What impressed me the most is how high the temps are so early.
  18. StormChaseUK
    Huge spots of rain falling from mid level cloud now.
  19. StormChaseUK
    lovely skies over Brecon. Heading south
  20. StormChaseUK
    Beautiful Accas
  21. StormChaseUK
    Yes lot of mid level torrents around this morning. It is already destabilizing
  22. StormChaseUK
    Wow that wasnt forecast was it
  23. StormChaseUK
    Maybe I'm too low with my prediction but I will stick with 32/33C max no higher. Will give you full credit if it does reach 35C
  24. StormChaseUK
    No, but we can combine upper temperatures, GFS predictions from today with actual results and apply something similar to tomorrow. Yes the wind will be more southerly but at least we can predict more accurately based on today.
  25. StormChaseUK
    Yes it does, read earlier posts.
×
×
  • Create New...