StormChaseUK
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Posts posted by StormChaseUK
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I'd say the attached is close to the mark. The moisture out to the west meeting the heat to the east, perfect battleground
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6 minutes ago, AMeltedFlake said:
Still grey on the welsh border, sun trying to get through, doesn't feel like we're near 30° yet!
I'm just south of you Ludlow area, 25C sunny very oppressive here.
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Mid level instability creating occasional flickers of lightning through the night. Very Singapore!
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25 minutes ago, Steel City Skies said:
That is odd to see southern parts of Northern England at 23/24 while 100-150 miles further SE it's 36C Not sure I quite believe/get that chart tbh!
Or maybe I'm just butthurt that chart doesn't show 30C here for Monday
That's just computer projections though, which people are taking as gospel. Over 100 miles you will get a much more balanced temperature gradient. I'd say 22C to 32C will be the on the day values.
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I'm taking the models with a pinch of salt at the moment, after today autumnal weather and rain and i'm in the West midlands not Scotland.
Looks good for next week though. I think the max for tomorrow will be 35C for south east.
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Might be worth a bet on the UK record being broken this year.
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36 minutes ago, damianslaw said:
We are losing precious weeks in high summer to very lacklustre conditions.
Yes the clock is ticking down, but we had a great march, april, may, june. Have to pay,
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GFS 06Z blowing a raspberry
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Oh my the 18z has ended the run on a warm note
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Reached 30C xcweather report. Wonder if 32C will be squeezed out somewhere, yesterday in Wales |(west coast) showers popped off even with a capping in place, but only due to 30+ being reached.
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17 minutes ago, SummerShower said:
Does any one know.. how far is lightning actually visible at night? I am in Basingstoke, a good 25m inland and 2am today saw distant lightning to the s/se, even heard the faintest of thunder. However lightning was nowhere near on the sferic maps..the closest was about 10m of the w Sussex coast at this point. Just wondering if anyone can clarify? Thanks
I can see lightning over Brecon which is a good 40 miles or so from here, but only from the nearest hill.
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ouch cornwall 13C, SW Wales 15C currently big drop, the fresher air is now rushing in from the SW. So any storms that do form will need to in that warm air east of it otherwise chances are 0%
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Yes running the radar there is a definite eastwards shift now rather than the south to north of yesterday.
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Hmm all the heat is down south at moment though, I'd be looking at places like Worcester, Oxford to build up storms rather than 18C temps up north, unless I'm wrong.
I know if I was a thunderstorm i'd much prefer 28C to 17C or 18C
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1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:
For the Moderate Risk area this Image should make you smile away, a lovely area for solar heating and no trouble with cloudy skies putting a dampener on anything.
The Stage is Set as they say
So you think the areas that do have that solar heating this morning (east wales, west midlands, central england, southern england) will have storms this afternoon?
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It is always a bad sign for the Midlands, CS England is Western Scotland has storms previous day, it means the storms will skip across during 24 hour period of following day that unstable airmass ends up over the North sea.
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Destabilising has just started to occur Barnstaple, up to Swansea , almost popcorn like rash of activity. Night cooling now coming to play.
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Swansea about to cop it shortly..
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7 minutes ago, Luke Best said:
Relocated to Southbourne.
Forks coming down sporadically over a large distance on the horizon.
These are NOT being picked up by Blitzortung!
Excellent, sounds like mid level to me. They are difficult to pickup on lightning detectors they don't always pick it up.
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2 minutes ago, Christchurch storm nut said:
Some nice bolts visible now, especially as the light is starting to fade!
Perfect time for it, humidity has risen from 40% to 55% here in last hour. now things are starting to cool aloft the atmosphere should get more juicy.
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1 minute ago, Cornishdave said:
That's more like it, people are getting too over excited with the current homegrown showers. The frequent lightning from mid levels needs the cooling night air to pop off.
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First shower in Wales just south of Aberystwyth
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Looks like a classic case of SW England, Bath Somerset, then Swansea/Cardiff north 11pm-4am medium level cloud lightning.
My favourite type
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18z That will be amazing if it comes off
It reloads the heat in a second round
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Storms and Convective discussion- 7th August onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Yes I'm not far south of Church Stretton, some nice humidity here at the moment/ Very tropical. As I type.. big tropical raindrops are falling.