Harry

Agreed, GFS appears very keen to break something out across the SE tomorrow afternoon/evening - favoured spots appear to be Cambs/Suffolk/Essex and perhaps E Kent. MetO pointing to risk of isolated heavy showers...in fact latest forecast suggests these are "likely to develop". The charts posted helpfully by Surrey point towards something more widespread geographically but still very isolated in nature. I'm off tomorrow so would be awesome timing if there is something - best bet to check out the charts later this evening/tomorrow morning.

LOVE IT - you've now inspired me Tuesday brought much needed thunder But now I start to think and wonder When a plume may come about To give us all a chance to shout But, there can be no denying Plumes are awesome, awe inspiring Hot and humid brings us the best Perhaps a 2 from Estofex Alas, for all so far this year A decent plume has not come near But when it does you can be sure Awesome storms will come ashore. An MCS brings joy for all Forked and sheet but maybe ball Torrential rains and maybe hail With gusty winds, perhaps a gale For now the charts may go nowhere It's only May so dont despair If July last year is now the norm We will be in for awesome storms!! Now to end this hopeful rhyme A word of warning, its el nino time I can't be any more specific Beyond there's change afoot in the Pacific

I would say chances for my neck of the woods for anything electrical are comfortably <10%...extensive cloud cover (after a glorious start earlier) making the sky a stratified mess, chilly feeling, just meh! Prospects thereafter pretty dire on the outlook, bar slim chances later this week for the SE. Outlook generally is NW'erly rubbish. As for a plume (or even generally warm/hot weather), nothing of any note on the horizon

Had a good feeling about today for a number of days and it didn't disappoint! Three pulse storms today including a close bolt with shotgun thunder - not bad To cap it off, gorgeous anvil to my East with some mammatus tickling the underside of it...got the whole anvil with my wide angle lens but will upload later. Here's a few of pics from my phone

That's the storm I had...looked like it was decaying then hail started as did the thunder and lightning. Looked increasingly more organised as it drifted East

Dinky little thunderstorm here just now - last one extremely close with almost instant gunshot thunder Edit - at home in Bexley now

This storm in London has kicked out a couple of bright flashes Lovin' it - here's a pic

Stunning skyline coming into London from the WNW - gorgeous deep blue core with a nice brilliant white fluffy anvil above.

I'm based at Cannon Street. I have a pretty much unrestricted view of the northern and eastern skylines from my desk, I can see the southern skyline if I walk round to the meeting rooms

YAHOO BROKEN MY DUCK! Awesome double fork just over S London :yahoo:

Agreed - beefy looking shower to the north of London. Been some fair to decent hearing from early sun too. Come 2-3pm should be some more robust downpours Edit - first strikes showing up across far SE Scotland/NE England and South of London

Can't wait for tomorrow - first real prospect of some convection, let alone a chance of maybe some thunder

Total non-event here, not even any heavy rain. There was barely a breeze to speak of. Let's hope for a rogue heavy shower/thunderstorm tomorrow...I can't recall the last time there was so little convective weather over such a long period.

Today may hold some treats, although there appears to be a fairly strong consensus that lightning activity will be at an extreme premium. Nevertheless, seems to be a good chance for a pretty active squall early this afternoon, which is always pleasing

Tuesday is looking pretty good and has now for several runs...widespread storm potential for once the SE in prime position what with the wind direction too

I don't know about that - a stunning day here today. Can't be far of 20C with a slight breeze. 30C in May is just too premature, even for me

Indeed on both counts - for us it looks pretty dire for the rest of May at this stage. Really starting to crave a good plume (except for the stage beetles and pterodactyl like moths that flourish on the first decent plume *shudders*)...or even a decent post frontal maritime swathe of convection) Across the pond, Fri/Sat looking good for the chase crews...perfect territory too

Must be driving you chaps nuts - action is shifting NE at a rate of knots though you're not a million miles away now Interestingly C/N TX gone MDT again

The orange/red warning boxes on the map are working...they are driving away from what looks like an orange box right now! Edit - box gone - presumably an error with the settings somewhere. MD issued for the target zone, although as Paul pointed out initiation is expected quite early (as early as late morning US time according to SPC). Fingers crossed they get there in time

Agreed...storm drought continues. Slim chance across C/S England Thursday, but then naff all. Thursday 21st (which is hardly worthy of much consideration at this stage) hints at brief plume but again barely making inroads. Roll on June

Awesome! When I was out there with you I didn't get the chance to chase in Nebraska (little lie, we strayed briefly into Nebraska before heading back to intercept an awesome line at Concordia, KS). Seems that Nebraska delivers stunning cells, with fantastic structure - not forgetting the twin wedges last year in Pilger, NE. As ever stay safe and good luck...hoping there'll be a flurry of pics and vids from yesterday's storms.

Cisco storm starting to look a bit more organised to me on radar Two storms to the north looking bit healthier too, especially the one West of Wichita Falls Edit - Cisco storm tornado warned again...strong rotation showing on velocity radar

Storms now firing near the OK panhandle by the looks of things...prob not too late for the team to backtrack

The storm east of Abilene TX, WSW of DFW is looking strong on radar...hook forming nicely and it's completely isolated from other cells...Has tornado warnings on it. Looks to be a solid right mover too!!

Only just realised SPC gone back to MDT in the DFW/North TX area...just where the team were this morning The reason for the increased risk is primarily for tornadoes - few strong tornadoes expected Fingers crossed the area they're heading for will produce!