Harry

:lol: Two car-loads by June 3rd...Blimey!!

Snap! In fact, not had a well good storm for quite some years! Yes, we have had some brilliant MCS', producing some really quite spectacular lightning displays - what I crave though at the moment are the storms that I remember from my childhood, like those which were on Nature's Fury last night. I'm not kidding myself, I know we don't get those supercellular storms, but there were a few shots of a storm at night (when at the hotel I think) when outside it was vertical sheets of intense precip, blinding strobe lightning and intense explosions of thunder, real loud booms which cause mini earthquakes ....I miss those!

According to GFS, numerous chances of thundery activity over the coming fortnight for a fair few areas, though can't see there being any widespread or severe events. GFS suggesting a potential plume event around the 16th June onwards - obviously far too far away to pay any attention to details, but potential for a plume exists at this stage nonetheless!

If anyone has a PS3, you can watch it through that I believe!

I've seen these types of clouds (or something similar) many times before - most notably I have observed them before or after heavy thunderstorms, either early morning or evening time. The two which really stick out are: 1. The morning after severe thunderstorms in Minnesota (WHICH I SLEPT THROUGH ARRRRGHH!!!) 2. Another occasion was before a severe thunderstorm here, I think in July 07! They are quite mystical looking, and all my recollections are very calm, warm and humid conditions at the time of seeing them!

It's got me on Youtube now - watching loads of vids and cranking the volume up! This one has happened to me on at least 3 occasions - fortunately, just given the frights - UNfortunately, no videos!

ABSOLUTELY BLOODY BRILLIANT!!!! I remember watching that Kearney storm on here a little while ago - awesome! Had the surround sound on full, heavy bass and just loud - it was like I was there! Now I have to fester for 10 months, unless of course we get something like that here in the mean time

There are 3 episodes in the series - tonight is obviously on tornado, next week is on hurricanes and the third is on firestorms! This will almost certainly be accessible on the ITV equivalent of iPlayer, which normally keeps programmes viewable for a month (though dont quote me on that!)

Hot sunny and humid followed by an active MCS running over - that would be playing ball IMO :blush:

Another boring day - can't see the convection up north producing much more than the rogue cells in the south yesterday, maybe the odd sferic or two. Might make for some good convective photos though!

I'm like you on this - not overly sure why some cold fronts during hot spells bring nasty storms, and some only light showers or even a bit of cloud. Considering temperatures tomorrow are expected to hit 27C (possibly higher) and Wednesday 19C, I'm not sure how its a weak front, but it is apparently. I think (I will have an uneducated wild stab here for fun ) its due to multiple reasons: 1. Lack of humidity/moisture in the air. Yes the warm air will still undoubtedly rise, especially so due to the front, but if there is naff all to condense within the air, it wont produce those Cb's we love! Yes it was more humid and uncomfortable today, but no where near as humid as Bank Holiday monday. The fact it was about 4-5C hotter today, made it feel more uncomfortable. 2. Lack of wind shear - I think as the wind direction is a gradual change as opposed to a dramatic change, any showers which do bubble up, as they are forecast to over northern areas tomorrow, won't sustain for long or be organised enough to reach the sizes required for T'storms. Like across most of the SE today, you'll get towering cumulus, which will collapse back on themselves after a short period of time. 3. CAPE - There will be little or no CAPE around tomorrow for most of the UK, excluding some northern areas. But, as for some of the reasons above, CAPE is only useful if other conditions are right. I suppose in my head I liken it to can of coke - you open it slowly, you'll get a pitiful fizz. You shake the can, you'll get a large woosh and loads of spray. You shake the can and freeze it quickly, you'll get an explosion. In each case the same volume of coke, same ingredients is present in the same kind of can, but under different conditions you get very different results. It's there, but if it isn't released in the right way, you get sod all. Just so happens this week, the CAPE isn't even there 4. High pressure - as we are being dominated by High pressure at the moment the atmosphere is more stable. About as much as I can explain on that really - as I said I am just testing my knowledge (or lack of) for fun I have many a time been annoyed at the fact a hot and uncomfortable few days is finished but a trail of cloud and cooler air, with no fireworks B)

Was a far more oppressive day here today! Very uncomfortable in the office Temperatures at 6:30pm were 25C - which is nice . The latest reading I got was about 30 mins ago and it was a healthy 20C. Tomorrow is looking similar, perhaps a notch up on today. According to the MetO, London was 26C today - according to ITN looking at possibly 27C tomorrow - another warm/hot one. The 'weak' cold front coming down from the north is supposed to see temperatures drop by a good 8C in the SE, struggling to hit 19C according to MetO, and only 15C by Friday :blink:

Right, don't think we are going to breed anything else today from around here - having said that a rather suspect looking sky to my SE!

New cell going up - again, ENE! You'll see it doesnt look that different to the previous ones I snapped

? This would be what I can see to my ENE - really is far larger than the previous cumulus' that have gone past. Currently darker overhead, with plenty of blue sky/cumulus surrounding. Today is by far the most oppressive day at work so far this year - really is increasingly uncomfortable - even the breeze which peps up now and again is warm. Just wait and watch what this big cumulus does! EDIT - Top of the cloud has come into view - looks as if it is gaining some decent height (see pic attached - view ENE of my office window) UPDATE - The second pic is the cell 5 mins later - the third pic is another cell just moved over, which looks as if its about to start dropping some fairly heavy precip.

A pretty beefy looking cumuls to be ENE at the moment - question of will they wont they!

Lots of dark bases around now - humidity feels as if it has gone up in the last few hours, quite significantly in fact. Not sure if there is anyone in the vicinity who can verify for sure? Would be very surprised looking at the sky now, and the feeling of the day, if there are no downpours (or more) around this afternoon.

Some big cumulus clouds going up here now! Think here though we are only the breeding ground - any initiation (if at all) will be further west me thinks.

Thanks very much for that Roger Though I am afraid I already beat you to the punch with one of your predicitons :o I already stated that as I am holiday during this period storms will be in vast quantities across the UK, particularly the SE

I notice estofex have blanketed all of the SE within their watch also :o Not expecting much though to be honest - feels a bit more humid than yesterday, but that's about it. Unless there is a surge in humidity within the next hour or two, I think at most we'll get is a light shower, if anything. It was blue skies earlier though a fair few fair weather cumulus have formed recently, one or two of them beginning to look 'ambitious'. Will keep an eye out. EDIT - Hmm, pardon my hastiness in posting - I didnt realise the CAPE and storm risk maps had changed to include the London area for mid afternoon time. Well definitely be keeping an eye in that case (though still not hopeful tbh)

Looking at the GFS runs, the next plume event looks possible around 11th June onwards - too long to wait lol

There's the Kesurex gap! Storms to W, S and far E - sunny, dry and humid here. Enjoy all should anything appear.

Very true PhilUK, 2006 despite the intense heatwave brought comparitively very little for my part of the SE. It is so frustrating when you see storms move past time after time and not hit you!? I go to Portugal for a week from 19th - 26th June - my area of the SE will get some great T'storms while I am in one of the sunniest (and stormless) parts of Europe..you heard it here first chaps!!

Superb photos and videos from everyone on the various tours - just so difficult to keep up with all the threads and posts. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Very true - I live in the western most area of Kent and due to the London UHI, snow is less frequent than further East in Kent. That said I do live on higher ground than E Kent so in some ways this compensates - this year, as has happened quite often over the years, literally one mile to my West it was raining, yet where I live it was snowing. Amazing to see how the UHI and a slight change in land affects the precip! However much I love this forum, there is nothing that beats face to face conversation - with written text you can seldom tell if something is in jest or grasp inflection...if anyone ever uses CAPITALS you get "why are you shouting at me?"...lol Any time I go abroad, or elsewhere in the UK, I always hope to see a thunderstorm. The only places away from the SE I've seen storms are Kuala Lumpur and Minneapolis (not bad places to witness storms to be fair). Its safe to say that whatever the SE get or the Midlands get...they won!