JRMcLeod

Currently... Temp 3.4oC Dew 1.3oC Wind Chill -6oC Rel Pressure 987.3mb Abs Pressure 953.1mb Wind Av 19.9mph Gusting 34.1mph Rain Last 24 Hours 14.7mm

Current Data Temp 3.1oC Dew 0.3oC Feels Like 3oC Rel Pressure 1015mb Ab Pressure 981mb Wind Gusting 10.7 mph Weather Sunny No sign of any snow, crystal clear blue skies with frost still in the shaded areas

Just been to the parents between Stonehaven and Banchory and they have about an inch of snow settled on the ground. Driven back to Portlethen to wet snow, quite heavy wet snow though. Temp 1.1oC Dew 1.1oC Feels Like -4.8oC Pressure 995.5mb Humidity 96% Wind Av 6.9mph, gusting 8.3mph Dew Point have steadily been rising whilst the temp slowly dropping throughout the day, now both steady (past 2 hours)

Can you maybe elaborate for me? What is different today compared to 83? How can 2 differnet years with very similar models outputs be so different? The charts look remarkably similar but i just can't see how its possible for January to be very snowy... This whole weather thing is a nightmare...

Heavy sleet here in Altens Aberdeen. Not expecting it at all...

A pleasant surpirsie this morning to a nice incho or two of snow here! Can't say i was expecting it

Maybe i'm not seeing or understanding the weather charts like some of the more knowledgable on here but it appears from the GFS and UKMO that we could have N/NW on or around 23rd, 26th and 27th. That too me, signifys a far larger possibility of cold polar air around Christmas and a far greater possibility of snow on the big day than what was being modelled this time last week. We seem to be forgetting that even at this range Christmas is still in FI but i am encouraged by the models from 23rd to 28th December. All we need now is timing... Why is everyone so downbeat about a possible good model run? Am i missing something?

Thanks for the response. Do you happen to have a link to a site where i can view the forecasted change of the Jet? Sorry its slightly off topic mods...

Hey All, Looking at the model output this morning (GFS), especially into FI as i'm praying "Santa can get some snow for his sleigh", the Azores high takes quite a strong hold over the UK. Looking at the animation through time, we see 3 pretty deep LP's basically bounce off of it and push north over Iceland and through to Scandi without touching the UK at all. Now i know its FI (cant stress that enough) but what is the main factor at play here that is preventing a pretty active Atlantic pushing these LP's over the UK? Is it a case of the Azores taking up the space left vacant from this Fridays LP which then becomes difficult for other LP's to displace? Can anyone explain in a bit more detail what would be required for the LP's to "barge" the Azores high out of the way?

Will evaporative cooling not have an effect in the heavier showers? Maybe this is why?

Thundersonw forecast? Quite precise wouldn't you say? http://www.eveningtimes.co.uk/news/now-scots-set-to-be-hit-by-thundersnow-1.1139336 http://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/scotsol/homepage/news/3993160/Thundersnow-and-lightningvery-very-frightening.html

A curious response to the model output especially given the MetO seem to think the SW will be hit worst...hmmm! I'm getting confused with all the differing opinions!

Can any of you explain further? I don't have a trained eye. Are you talking about the LP over Scandi swinging round or am i well off base?

Radar is looking quite good for a fair rash of showers over the NE later spreading in from the NW...Lets hope they pick up some moisture over the Moray Firth...Fingers crossed!!!

Whats with the MetO advanced warning for SW England on Tuesday? I would have thought that placing a warning 4 days out was open to a fair bit of change? Haven't most of the LP's tracked further north than models have suggested recently?

Does anyone have a source for the fastest wind speed at low level so far? I believe 101mph at Stornoway is the fastest but cant confirm. I know 165mph at Cairngorm but i cant seem to find that info either. Anyone able to help?

@Stormeh That looks like summer...some of those trees are in bloom in the background

Yeah, will need to update that...thanks for the reminder. Wonder if i should hold off til the 18th to see if the models verify on a 930mb LP??? hmmmm :huh:

Lets hope any family members out in the North Sea are safe tonight. I can see it being VERY rough out there. Especially for those on the smaller vessels.

Christmas lights on Aberdeen's Union Street have collapsed. http://news.stv.tv/scotland/north/286006-icy-conditions-cause-havoc-for-motorists/

Any chance of any live web cam feeds? Do you know any?

He seemed quite concerned about this....Never seen that before in a weather presenter

Can anyone show me a live time image of where this LP is right now? Cant find anything!

What about the second LP off of Greenland...that one looks worse than what were about to get...Any thoughts? Surely it'll hit us next week?

Hi All, Saw this video earlier and though I'd share it with you all. It looks like a giant smoke ring, the kind you can blow if you smoke cigarettes, only, it appears it has come from a volcano. This has to be one of the strangest things i have ever seen in the natural world. Enjoy! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-mRniwNphuM#!