crimsone

whereupon the ancient egyptians promptly changed it back at the earliest possible opportunity and tried to erase all record of him from history. lol http://www.vitamindcouncil.com/ ...incidentally, I wasn't joking when I said that too much vitamin D was known as rat poison... that particular method of rats is illegal now though... the mineral was being absorbed through the skin of the pest controllers and giving them terrible kidney and gall stones... almost exactly the same thing it did to the rats, except that the rats couldn't get treatment for it, and so died.

on the other hand.... too much vitamin D is known as rat poison lol

AL15 means the 15th atlantic tropical depression of the season. An invest is an area of disturbed weather that is under investigation for possible tropical development that has not (at least officially) reached tropical depression status.

L signifies that it's a system in the atlantic. 96 is the number of the system... the first system to form is 90, it counts to 99, and then goes back to 90 when a new system forms after it.

do you have the WMP link for that Coast? Real player can't play it for me without stuttering.

I seem to recall som talk at the time that Vice could have been picked northward by a passing front which would have accelerated it towards the UK with tropical status? Or I may be wrong... quite possibly the latter. lol

I'm often depressed (having depression, that's no big suprise)... I have huge issues with my sleep pattern too (if it can be called such), and so often go through periods where I don't see much daylight... maybe I suffer with SAD all year around. lol

Now TS Ingrid.

It's a rather convenient fact that species created from the breeding of two incompatible or barely compatible species don't have offspring... as someone said before me, Mules.

Even if they were developed past embryo stage, the chances of such an feotus being viable are negligable... the point though, is that they won't get past embryo stage. The reason they wan't the embryos is not for purposes of having a bet on what happens, but is in an effort to aquire stem-cells to further research in what is a very promising area of medicine. I'm not completely conviced that it's worth all that much though I must confess. It isn't ideal though, I must admit... It wouldn't be nessecary at all if there wasn't such controversy over "pure" human embryo's. I am interested though... what are people disgusted with exactly? that a mostly human embryo could be defiled with another animals DNA, or vice versa, or is it the idea of something so different, or ... well, anything really ("not natural" is a vague answer that doesn't really get to the root of the issue).

The reason that the storms are moving towards the west so much this year so far and not the north has been because of a particularly strong Azores High. A more suitable thread might have been 2007 Atlantic season; general discussion.

I just found this tool via wikipedia and it's amazing... really useful if you want to compare speeds tracks and intensities of atlantic storms... http://html.wesh.com/sh/idi/weather/hurric...anetracker.html

That's a record that won't be broken for a long time I think (and certainly hope!)... not 2 landfalling cat 5's in a single season, but 2 landfalling cat 5's within a month of each other... (now, I may be wrong, but wren't Dean and felix actually within 2 weeks of each other?). Truely amazing. I can't help but to imagine there being some fairly serious mudslides from it though... I hope they aren't near any towns or villages... What with the Pacific as well, it seems almost as though the entirety of Central America is getting a fairly serious soaking just lately.

I don't know about that... Felix still seems pretty unique to me! It's not every day that one like this comes along.

If I recall, Wilma got her eye down to just 2 miles at one point... Though the specifics are obviously different for felix, I would be very suprised if EWR damaged her catastrophically... It will still be very strong when it gets to land. Whether it gets there at Cat5 though depends on how long it takes, and/or whether it has another before it gets there in my opinion.... and now I'm going to go and find out where she actually is lol.

That's something I'm thinking as well Paranoid... either it's near maxed out under the conditions it's in (which I don't think is the case), or it simply can't make it's mind up at the moment!

yes. lol lol lol ...and Dean's core is a day closer to deciding what it's going to do.

To be honest JS, nothing much has really happened. There's been the end of an EWRC, there were some signs of a possible new cycle, and a trachoidal wobble to the south. That's about it really - very little is different from this morning. Yes. As facinating as it is to see pictures that I can't identify of a glorified airplane, it's not what I'm watching it for. lol Certainly we've missed the live pass... maybe the ISS cameras caught it and they'll show it when they can... or maybe not.

It's the space shuttl endeavour... the underside I think... hopefully we'll get some shots of dean soon! it'll be passed if we don't!

Yes, I've noticed that they are quite fond of doing that at times. lol

yep... once again I missed recording it... my software fouled up. lol... still I have direct links to the stream now... if it comes up again later I should be able to get it.

I just thought... is Kold Weather taking a day off today? Not that he's missed much so far today, though I have a feeling things may get interesting a little later.

It's possible that the pressure has not risen since the last advisory... the last vortex message states that they couldn't get a fix on the center, and so it's possible that they didn't record the lowest pressure. If in fact the pressure was rising though, the size of the storm would mean that the wind speeds would take some time to respond to it. If the inner eye is indeed constricting though, barring the eye being cloud-filled, some deepening may possibly be expected soon... I think I'll start trying to follow the recon HDObs again... though with two concurrent flights taking readings I'm finding it difficult to keep track.

That loop shows the earlier southward wobble quite nicely... a wobble back to the north is entirely possible. At the moment though, I'm most interested in the possibility of a new EWRC, but I can't find the data I want available ... I want another vortex message, and I'm going to sulk untill I get one. lol edit: Talk of the devil!!!! 000 URNT12 KNHC 191603 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007 A. 19/15:22:50Z B. 16 deg 56 min N 075 deg 15 min W C. NA mb 2455 m D. 110 kt E. 301 deg 012 nm F. 050 deg 132 kt G. 307 deg 021 nm H. 928 mb I. NA C/ 3015 m J. 16 C/ 3046 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. CO 10-40 N. 12345/7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF304 0904A DEAN OB 15 MAX FL WIND 145 KT NE QUAD 14:10:30 Z UNABLE TO FIX CENTER DUE TO UNDERCAST ...not quite sure whether undercast has any significance, but according to that, the inner eyewall is constricting, and the outer eyewall is expanding compared with the last message, which as far as I know is the very opposite of what would be happening if an EWCR was progressing (or in other words, it seems to be going backwards at the moment). 145 kt flight winds would support 125 kt/130 kt at the surface. the pressure has risen a little again, but it's possible that recon missed the center on this pass.

The advisory is with us (forcast discussion still isn't up... it will be in the next few minutes. They've based the pressure on this latest recon (just under an hour ago)... 000 URNT12 KNHC 191443 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007 A. 19/13:58:00Z B. 16 deg 49 min N 074 deg 49 min W C. 700 mb 2448 m D. 112 kt E. 220 deg 020 nm F. 324 deg 111 kt G. 221 deg 023 nm H. EXTRAP 926 mb I. NA C/ 3040 m J. 18 C/ 3045 m K. 13 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C16-32 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF304 0904A DEAN OB 08 MAX FL WIND 110 KT SE QUAD 12:15:20 Z MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND FROM CNTR 134KT AT 14:06:50Z SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB ...I'm not quite sure what they are trying to say about the eye though... CO16-32 I would understand, but C16-32 I'm not sure of. edit: oh, ok... it's a typo or something. Means the same as CO16-32. Surely not another EWRC underway!? on the strnghtening side though, flight winds of 142 kt were apparently found, which firmly supports a surface speed of 125 kt (145 mph) as reported.