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crimsone

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Posts posted by crimsone

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by crimsone

    That house I can't see through the spray and blockiness in the background is definitely in the process of losing its roof.

     

    edit: Or it might just be a flag. Unsure. We'll find out if this pole camera survives the fact it's going through the eastern eyewall but never making it into the eye.

     

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, The PIT said:

    When it gets going it isn't boring to watch.

    Occasional bits of debris floating past now. Some large, some small.

    Not exactly riveting, and a little bit sad really... but interesting to flick back and forth to.

    It'll probably be underwater soon though.
     

    john.humphress2.jpg

     

    • Like 1

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, The PIT said:

    Well the cams I'm watching seem to be showing rain more than anything. One storm chaser has gone drive about but apart from the rain not a lot happening yet.

    The grand isle one is, surprisingly, still going.

    Pretty boring to watch - there's only so much windy inundation you want to see... but it's still going.

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, The PIT said:

    Seems to have stopped strengthening so cat four at landfall.

    Yup.

    The Texan pilot and "The little plane that could" from Florida (Holy crap did that one do a lot of work) both seem to be bugging out now too.

    Another mission heading in from texas - it'll probably get one, maybe two passes before landfall.

    • Like 1

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Howie said:

    Did the pressure rise back up from 928? I wasn't expecting that, doesn't show any signs of weakening

    928 was an extrapolated pressure in HDOBs... it could well be called at 928, but on the other hand, 932 is what the sonde measured on that latest vortex, so is probably the most accurate thing to go on. 

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by crimsone
    Concentric and circular not the same thing. I know that, you know that. Let's pretend that never happened.

    The people of twitter seem to have a bit of a split going on. Some are saying "Pressure is down... but the wind speeds didn't seem quite as high - cour be an EWRC", while others suggest the winds might rise to match.

    A surprise unexpected EWRC wouldn't be a bad thing for LA right now. God knows it doesn't need it strengthening any more.

    Edit:
    VORTEX confirms pressure at 932 mb. Eye closed and circular, though it's expanded to 20 nautical miles from 15 earlier.

    Hurricane Ida

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Wiltshire_snow_lover said:
    going to make it to cat 5...

    Possible, but an extra 12 MpH in sustained winds in the time she has left is a big ask, especially as she approaches shallower waters. I stand ready to eat my hat on that, mind you. Stranger things have happened.

    In any case, unless there's a clear case for it (ie, it's obvious), I'm not sure it'd be worth calling it for cat 5 now, and perhaps they'd leave it for the post season review to decide anything marginal. All it'd do is scare the poor sods either stupid enough or unfortunate enough to no longer be able to get out of there.

    As is always the case, some people are about to experience hell, whether they let themselves in for it or simply didn't have a choice.

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