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crimsone

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Posts posted by crimsone

    Hurricane Laura

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

    Jeff Piotrowski is an absolute legend in this game, recorder of the infamous Blue Shed video from Hurricane Harvey in 2017.

    I'd rather be up on top of that parking garage than down below at the risk to storm surge!

    Honestly, I see no sense in being anywhere near this one.... but hey, that's just my opinion.

    Hurricane Laura

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    I just hope to hell that there's nobody left in the small town of Johnston Bayou, or similar.

    There's some small consolation that this thing is hitting the least populated areas the worst, but that'll be of little consolation to anybody that's, well... soon to be gone.

    That aside, Port Arthur really isn't all that far away, and is a levee'd area. with a relatively large neighborhood and a significant refinery beside a lake, just over the border into Texas. Hopefully they'll hold up to a Cat5 just around the corner?

    Kiwi Craziness

    in Weather Around The World

    Posted

    Does the Met Office still send forecasters in training down to New Zealand to cut their teeth on antipodal weather systems?

    Because the surface pressure chart forecasted for tomorrow is a bit nuts. I don't even know where to start.

     

    Screenshot 2020-06-20 at 5.50.02 PM.png

    • Like 1

    Hurricane Dorian

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by crimsone

    3 minutes ago, Robbie Garrett said:

    I'm curious does a stalling hurricane weaken due to lack of energy or if conditions are perfect. It will sit over that source all day long?

    It only "stalls" in that the steering currents don't move it...

    ... but a large hurricane is a giant heat engine sucking its way through the nuclear equivalent of megatons of energy every minute or two. As long as it can still suck on warm water surrounded by moist air, and there's insufficient sheer to weaken it, it'll keep going.

    • Like 3

    Hurricane Dorian

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by crimsone

    Been following this one off the forum, and thought I'd check in to see if it might make me less fearful for the islanders.

    It does not.

    I am dreading tomorrow's news (It's night time here in NZ).

    I am struggling to see any way in which the Bahamas are not significantly less populated after this hurricane. Even if fatalities are low (and god, I hope they are - but it'd be a miracle), the place is going to be utterly devastated. 
     

     

    Cyclone Oma

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted · Edited by crimsone
    wrong day

    Looks like it's forecast to do a really tight loop de loop, and head off back up towards Cairns or PNG.

    2019SH15_DIAGPLOT_201902220000.png

    That said, it's developed a decent trough stretching from just S.W of its center to a comparatively weak low center a bit NE of NZ's North Island, which is forecast to become fully occluded by 1am sunday (New Zealand Time), with a high building into the Tasman Sea... but with another nasty antarctic low trying to break through below it.

    Perhaps it'll just fall apart out at sea instead?

    surfacePressureImage?time=20190223-1200-

    Hurricane Michael

    in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide

    Posted

    1 minute ago, bazookabob said:

    Watching these feeds of the wind as it hits really makes you admire the Hurricane Hunters who actually fly straight into it! 

    I'm not saying it's not difficult or dangerous - it is...

    but flying through a cat4 hurricane is probably a lot safer for them that a mission to investigate an invest and check for a low level circulation. In a hurricane, they go high and can kind of see what they're aiming for (if only on radar)... for an invest they'll go low, and it's a hell of a lot more difficult to find the center. Add into that the potential effects of turbulence on aircraft altitude, and I'd imagine it to be a bit "seat of your pants".

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