Forgive me if I put a tad more credence into the thoughts of Matt and Ian than yourself... alas, it may not be a classic cold spell, but there is room for it to be more than you are suggesting. There will be countless more changes in tonight's and the rest of this week and weekends runs, some milder, some colder. And I will take the thoughts of those who have access to other models, and infinitely more knowledge and experience than most of us, any day.