Snooz

Dew Point here now 1.1C - and we finally have sleet What a difference a few miles is making! Temp 2.2C/1.1C DP couple hours behind you According to raintoday, the precip seems to be stalling/increasing right over the top of us all in Aberdeen/shire specially southwards, just need that cold to set in proper now .. more snow than rain in the ongoing shower right now..

Aye just seen tap o' Bennachie is white, not really any good at estimating snow line but mebbee 400m+? so perhaps not too far away if you're also getting the sleetiness Howham.. GL everyone - our Footie is in Aberdeen tomorrow so still might get it played before the fun starts

Morning All, sig updated ready for the fun an' games,, thanks for tip MK. 2.3C/1.7C here at present which is the low for the day so far, was freezing around 9pm last night but was 4C with rain when I took dog out at 12am... see BMW's been busy wi' the washing.. Not expecting too much today TBH too far E and N within the shire, but good to see Audrey posting the Banchory/Fettercairn updates.. quite a few Shire residents ready for lampost duty this weekend too, Lorenzo is also a man on the spot, hope you get stuck up here (in a nice way of course!!) - keep the updates a comin'

OOOOoooo.. now that's very close to a ramp Aye , ken it fine, am haudin' ya ta that ----------------- some of those charts are sna'mazin' - everything is now crossed and am thinking about what my sacrifice to Ullr should be

PS: talking about locations on avatars.. - Welcome onemanmows!! are we still in "cut down" mode as I still can't see locations after servers went down the other night...

Think Ally it's a case that yes they've taken 3 steps back, but the others (UKMO especially.. others please correct me if this not right) have also taken a step forward, more like they're about to meet. From what I see this still means cold and uncertain,, tames the easterley for this weekend.. and I've no idea what longer term implictions LOL!! but am avoiding the MT for a while til they get it oot their systems take care in there

jist popped in before work... am lovin' it Kerwin.. 'specially the bit aboot giein' that "fecherin and bawlin" lot a guid shoogle! there's ganna be a fair few folkies guy doon aboot the mou' fan the see the METO waarnin's, tho they shuldna fash themsel's OH n' jist watch yersel' wi' yer futrett, n it disnae tak a chunk oot o ye..they can be guy coorse made my day

Mornin' slept in!! but checking in here I see the jury is still out.. thanks for summaries, not gonna read all MT today, coming back this evening for 12z summaries, not sure if this link is on the Kilty page Cheggars? (apologies if it is) - thought I'd copy it in here in case.. - side by side comparison of model frames re:pong.. don't farmers usually spread muck when it's frosty or about to turn wintry? NL can u enlighten? you are our farmer forecast modele after all LOL! a balmy 5.2C this am (neighbours WS is fixed yee haa!) anyhoo have a guid day yi's a' PS: Lorenzo I think a Forecast in Doric would a richt guid plan! - dis yon Googly thing hae a translate tho'.. (for the southerners who read us!)

I just made it out alive - gl BFT actually I think i've become quite expert at scanning the left column before deciding which posts to read LOL, some are blocked already but me bloock list is 2 years old scanning is quicker.. have to laugh at the bickering though.. nae need... nae need iv a' ... will try to check in early to see if it's the red corner or blue corner that are anywhere closer to a KO and thanks to the lolo's (Lorenzo & Lomond) for keeping the summaries in here sane nite nite

looks like it's been a fun day! the link to Ian F.s views/forecast is it on the board or his site? much Toorping early doors in the MT when I checked on the 6z didn't have to read too much to get the jist - prefer reading the Scottish banter anyway, that Fax chart SS just posted for Sat is that showing a possible snowy front coming in over the east, or is likely to be rain/sleet have read so much different views have now forgotten which days we are supposed to looking for cold/rain/snow - #losttheplot those ECM charts look a bit tasty, too good to be true? LOL and as for "Shannon Entropy" BFT, it could be you.. the unpredictability of unpredictableness

Good Years them : - now 2475!! I have a something for them.. the answer to "Will it snow in.......?"

So from what I can gather.. this is a very lay person's view/summary of the MT with the snippets I found interesting... in case anyone else hasn't got time to wade through the 30-40 pages that appeared around tea-time The Models are now in agreement for some cold this weekend, this may not mean snaw for everyone.. but this apparently is just the beginning of what could be a prolonged spell. Chiono.. bless his socks I don't know how he has the patience... has been trying to say that while the effects of the SSW - Satrospheric warming - (that's the really high up bittie) possibly won't show themselves until day 20-30 he believes that a more immediate smaller side effect will show itself first - 5-14 days and that would what the models are now showing for this weekend? IF, Fergie gave a small update of the METO's immediate thoughts about the early evening runs and in it, or the twitter post that was linked, said the METO would not be immediately updating any forecasts as confidence in the Models was at an all time low.. (don't shoot the messenger OK!) TEITS, as he said earlier....repeated himself again Steve Murr gave the ultimate in booms and said "BOOMAGE" in reaction to the ECM last I looked there were 1 or 2 already starting to come in and say "but there's more to UK than just the SE/west [fill in blank]" as if blaming the, yet to nail, models for not putting the snow clouds/528 Dam/-8 Uppers over them.. so I gracefully exited the madhouse before they came off the happy pills and started "what if"s.." HTH & happy model watching Ian Brown, as you can see from my new signature, when pressed for a response to the ECM backtracking into line with the other models said WTF! and it is now, ALREADY, the highest liked post on NW (linked earlier in this thread too)

Well I ventured into the MT to try to keep up with the "will it, won't it, ECM" euphoria, and even with skimming for posters names and likes, I still couldn't do it!! skipped the last 6 pages.. but at least it's not TOORPing... yet all smiles and a new signature to boot hehe..

Ruzzi!! OMG those charts.. almost drooling material Also going for a 3rd time scheduled cup game on Sunday, but our lot've nae actually played for about 12+ weeks (lost count now) so fitness and pile-up issues will also be an issue at some point now too - anyway it's gonna be fun whatever happens eh! You may be luckier with the Saturday fixture I was kinda hoping that it would be later Sunday this 'excitement' would start however Ruzzi seems to think earlier in weekend now LOL.. we will see

Morning.. have been lurking intermittently and enjoying your summaries of the M(ad)T - haven't been in there the whole season so far this year haven't needed entertainment, it's great in here - thanks SS for the link to the Strat thread.. noo that's interesting Ravelin was it you who suggested the Football Forecast Model?... whoever it was it looks bang on to me - crap for the footie starting this Sunday but good for the caul' lovers, mebbeees anyway Interesting times ahead and SS would you stop with those charts that's just teasing!! -- j/k keep 'em coming right up to T+12 please! .. <OT> Congrats Catch, belated Happy Birthday BMW, enjoy your trip BFT...

howham ref: 1999 in these parts afaicr - it was an early "white" as in from 14th-26/27th it was fairly heavy - I had to make my own way (no ambulances running) to the maternity hospital, after that no-one could visit, at least without their snow-shoes!! Xmas day was still white, but not sure snow actually "officially" fell?

some flakes did make it over't hills.. emphasis on a few.. icing sugar coating here, and a lot "warmer" at +2deg

warmest it's been all day!! @ -1 still white ootside, mebbee, just mebbee a few flakes tonite if those clouds can make it over the mountains..

Yeah it caught a few of the snow showers yesterday! - there was a fleeting one reached Kemnay about 1pm, but there were many hanging over Mither Tap most of the morning nice and white, tho' slippy!

Cold and Black Ice are today's features.. Some snow cover has made it through the windy weekend, mostly on the grass, shaded parts of gardens and can see the park still has some Nowcast: tiny showers of rain/sleet/snow still passing through - so watch those roads peeps!

Scotser, I think you are quite close, if not 100% spot on with the Highland clearances part of your observations.. the sad fact is that that we will never know for sure Have been doing bit dabblin' with the Family history this last few years and even when you know, you don't know, if you know what I mean? LOL (3 glasses of wine!) in other words you can follow the stories but at some point you have to "take a romantic view" (bit like this snow myth thing ) easier?, sometimes times just got so tough they had to move their stills or their winters just got so bad they got flooded out and had to move..?? personally I like the hidden/illicit Stills stories best

haven't even got the end of vid yet Scotster, but lovin' it thank you for posting it "shorts n t-shirt weather" indeed!!

Here in Kemnay the rain is on, but we are still managing to hold onto a fairly decent covering, so far! - outside still looks like 85% cover, field still got coverage - here nearer homestead, Kennel roof still about 3-4in - will it see the weekend out? hope so as I too am a believer in it "sitting aboot waiting fir mair" my thermometer is broke and neighbours weather station not showing temps, but the phone app thing says 3C - technical huh!

now you've got us started.. I'm not a walker, but hubby and family are so we're now reminiscing, I just walk up it when I'm driven to to the starting points..LOL! Facts (shamelessly copy and pasted from Forestry Site (Gordon way trail) as I can't think of a better way to explain it) In other words it's kinda the central focal point for all the villages around here, My (Kemnay's) view looks over it to the West towards Alford/Monymusk/Lord's Throat, over the Suie, the Mither Tap summit is slightly to right as I view it (these are two main ones shown in my pictures) There are 4 main centres at which to start your walk up it, (all are detailed on that Gordon walk page) basically one on each main compass point, though there are many unpublished local entry points, i.e. forestry trails, where you could start so it's quite hard to say what your cousin's favourite may have been. The nearest Official Entry point to Kemnay is via Riverside Road to the Bennachie Centre and after a bit of googling and arguing with hubby we've settled on a distance about 5 and half miles..from Kemnay to Starting point of walk. As for local nickname, there isn't one as far as I know - though Bennachie itself comprises of a plateau and 5 summits, so perhaps there were local route names? Oxen Craig being another.. maybe you are thinking of the "Mither Tap" itself, which is the favourite one to climb for many as it's striking and not so tough.. extra info, Mither Tap is so named because of the shape of that particular summit, -- now think about your Mother's Tap >> i.e milk ermmm boobies.. the picture I posted this am didn't do it justice because it's hard to see the white on white depth so here's a pic that might help you get why it's named as it is either tilt your head to the left or imagine a girlie lying down HTH your memories!

well that's settled then, not going anywhere this evening, car is at bottom of hill after a eventful try to get up involving a hedge, a bit of backwards motion without reverse gear, sideways tilt, then a 270deg slide to make the decision of which way to go - there was a car waiting on this before attempting to come down, it went sliding into wall!! don't think I've seen it this bad so early on, with the sleet/rain/quick freezing & snow top up mix it is now officially an ice-rink, had on socks over me boots just to walk down it.. I actually want more snow rather than sleet/rain/frost - not being greedy - but that's the only thing that will help right now looks like mid/central's turn next - GL!! - and Embra and Fort SS!!