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Frosty.

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Everything posted by Frosty.

  1. It's looking really good again next week according to the Gfs 6z and the latest MO update with almost a repeat of the current wonderful conditions as high pressure builds in across the south from next Monday and as it migrates to the east / southeast of the UK, increasingly warm southerly winds develop and temperatures climb into the 70's F, becoming very warm again...lovely April weather.
  2. Fantastic Ecm 12z tonight with next week looking at least as glorious as this week with temperatures again heading for 70 F +..and the current warm/settled weather lasts until the end of Friday with lots more strong sunshine to come, it's great to see the euros both showing a summery outlook.
  3. You could also say the Gfs / Gefs is overdoing the Atlantic strength, it has been known. Hopefully the ecm will follow the ukmo trend this evening.
  4. The ukmo 12z would deliver a repeat of this weeks glorious weather, the Gfs 12z still brings a brief return to the current warmth around the middle of next week and there is more high pressure through low res but it's the ukmo I want to see verify as it would bring a longer warm and settled spell.
  5. The Gfs 6z shows high pressure returning to the south of the uk next week with increasing warmth and sunshine after the briefest of cooler unsettled blips with temps nearer 13/14c for a day or so but then rising into the low 70's F before turning unsettled later in the week with heavy rain but high pressure then returns once again.
  6. The Ecm 00z ensemble mean shows high pressure building in across southern Britain next week with warm and sunny conditions returning. In the meantime, the rest of this working week will be dry, warm and sunny, nothing worse than some fair weather clouds developing across central and eastern England during the afternoons and becoming very warm with low 20's celsius on Thursday and Friday, perhaps 22c in places. The weekend looks cooler and windier with Atlantic air coming in behind a cold front but there will still be some sunshine, especially on Saturday with most of the showers to the northwest but perhaps more general rain for a time on Sunday but from next Monday another fine and increasingly warm spell is on the way, at least for the southern half of the UK, for the most part, this is as good as it gets at this time of year...enjoy.
  7. Thanks for clearing that up, I thought you meant daytime temps..which would become progressively warmer next week. Aside from the mini cool blip this coming weekend, this looks as good as it gets for early to mid April, quite exceptional IMO.
  8. No it looks average at the start of next week but then turns warmer through the rest of next week, as well as being fine with lots of sunshine, much more settled than the Gfs 12z, even the north and west enjoys fine warm weather on the Ecm 12z.
  9. Really nice Ecm 12z this evening with high pressure dominant again next week and a good deal of dry, sunny and warm weather returning after the blink or miss it cooler unsettled blip. And for the rest of this working week it's dry, sunny and increasingly warm, becoming very warm on Thursday and Friday as we import warmer air from southern Europe, this is looking really good for the time of year.
  10. The Gfs 12z shows some warm, locally very warm dry and sunny weather next week for the south and east with the north and west looking much cooler and more unsettled, we all see rain on this run, some of it heavy and thundery at times but the south and east has a good deal of fine and warm weather too being to the southeast of the polar front jet for most of the time.
  11. The Gfs 6z is a stonker of a run for warmth and sunshine, following the mini cooler unsettled blip on saturday, the recovery starts on Sunday with high pressure building from the south, next week would become even warmer than this week and sunny with temperatures close to mid 70's F which would be fantastic for mid April. as I mentioned above, this run has stunning potential for another surge of warmth from the south with increasing humidity too and the chance of thundery showers later. In the meantime, the current fine spell is turning out better than expected with less cloud and a lot more sunshine, this continues with temps into the low 70's F on thurs / Fri..really exciting times for those of us dreaming of an early taste of summer.
  12. I think temperatures this week could become higher than the Gfs 00z shows, tomorrow afternoon favoured spots could reach 20c and then even higher on Thursday and Friday with 22 Celsius for parts of England, a cold front will be held at bay to the northwest of Scotland until Friday night, a cooler more unsettled blip for the weekend although the southeast still looks mild on saturday but then a rinse and repeat of the current fine warm spell, indeed, even warmer.
  13. The weather is great this week now, lots of sunshine once fog clears and temperatures rising higher each day according to the Gfs 00z with Friday being the warmest day with 20c in places as we import warmer air from southern Europe on Thursday and friday, it's not until Friday night and Saturday that a cold front pushes southeast introducing cooler fresher air for the weekend with showery rain in places but still with sunny spells, especially further south. High pressure builds north and east again next week with a repeat of this week, it's even warmer than this week with temperatures into the low 70's F later next week...hopefully something like this run will verify.
  14. The GEFS 12z mean shows a northwest / southeast split next week with the northwest of the UK generally unsettled and cool but further south and east looks like becoming fine and pleasantly warm again after the unsettled cooler blip next weekend, looking further ahead, the south continues to have the most pleasant weather.
  15. I think the Gfs 6z looks pretty good for the south and east, this week will be pleasantly warm in many areas with sunny spells and becoming very warm for a time later this week, it turns cooler and more unsettled at the weekend but high pressure soon builds north and east again next week with the warmth and sunshine returning to the south and east, compared to the latest met office update, the 6z op run looks very good.
  16. I don't know why anyone would be happy about a return to cool and unsettled, haven't we seen enough of that for the last 6 months? I'm not buying into the unsettled outlook since it was only this afternoon the met office mentioned a fine and very warm outlook for the southeast of the UK, I still believe the south and east are on course for a much warmer and sunnier outlook.
  17. The Gfs 06z turns into a superb run for the south and southeast of the UK with a gradual change to very warm conditions and lots of spring sunshine and temperatures eventually into the low 70's F. We are looking at a northwest / southeast split with the north and especially the northwest of the uk predominantly cooler and more unsettled with temps near or a little below average but for most of England and Wales it's increasing warmth and sunshine.
  18. The GEFS 12z mean shows a prolonged settled outlook for the south and east with temperatures rising to pleasantly warm levels by day, especially once we start seeing more widespread sunshine from Tuesday onwards. I think we are on course for a very nice spell, particularly the further south by southeast you are once our high migrates to the east / southeast of the UK enabling a warmer airmass sourced from southern Europe to reach the uk by the end of next week onwards.
  19. The Gfs 12z shows an extended settled outlook for the south and east and becoming very warm by the end of next week and early following week with maxima close to 70F but later in FI there is a dramatic change to much colder and wintry weather for northern Britain with heavy snow pushing south through Scotland.
  20. Temperatures go up and up later next week into next weekend, becoming very warm across England and wales with temperatures into the mid to high 60's F according to the Gfs 6z as our UK based high pressure becomes centred to the southeast of the UK allowing a warmer southerly flow to bathe the UK but as time goes on, an increasing risk of heavy showers breaking out as pressure starts to fall. In summary, an Atlantic high is currently pushing east into the UK and our weather will slowly become brighter and milder, from Tuesday it turns warmer with longer sunny spells but with a risk of overnight frost and fog, however, the risk of cold nights diminishes as we import warmer air from southern Europe by next Friday. The only exception to the above is the far northwest of the UK where weak fronts and cooler Atlantic air brush around the top of the high but for most of us its going to become very pleasant indeed for the time of year.
  21. The way I see it, why worry about the Ecm 12z breaking down the fine warm spell at T+200 plus when next week is looking so good? and it is looking very good with a strong anticyclone bringing pleasant warmth and long sunny spells with light winds and chilly nights with a risk of patchy fog and frost. All the models look good next week, longer term, I hope the Gfs is right but let's just enjoy next weeks pleasant weather while it lasts.
  22. I think favoured spots could hit 22c 72f if the 6z verifies. Amazing charts. BBQ weather, great to see the 12z heading the same way.
  23. Just had a look at the 6z op and there is a fantastic spell of weather from later next week into the following week with temperatures soaring towards the magic 70F, really great charts, well worth showing before the 12z rolls out, summery weather in April would be a nice bonus.
  24. The Ecm 00z ensemble mean looks very pleasant all the way to T+240 hours with high pressure in charge. Looking at the next few days, it's going to slowly brighten up with more in the way of sunshine, especially by Easter Monday and it will feel pleasantly warm where the sun pops out. Looking further ahead, gradually less cloud with longer sunny spells and pleasantly warm but a risk of overnight fog patches and a touch of frost where skies clear, it's only the far northwest which could have weak fronts brushing around the top of the anticyclone, for many it's a fine outlook until around mid month.
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