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Everything posted by Troubleatmill
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Weather here has been atrocious today, so thought I would cheer myself up by looking at the long range CFS for some late spring sun and warmth. Think I'm going to bed -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Race to Tromso? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I thought it was because if you turned it upside down the PV looks a bit like Dumbo sat down? Dam,blast...i'll get there -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You can pay to see them quicker -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
See what you are saying TSNWK, there are lower heights over greenland on the 06z to the 12z. But , there is more energy flowing beneath Greenland on the 12z which may go on to flatten everything out with little fuss -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Could you provide workings for that? -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sometimes I guess, yes, but sometimes...most of the time, it's just looking for hope & possibilities rather than fact -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Xmas far from determined, but looking the period between Xmas and New year, thats starting to grab my attention looking at ecm clusters. Although they are clusters 3 & 4, maybe clue to what is just out of sight. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Welcome to Northern life -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
They are on wetter? And yes, some pretty decent charts if you take off the 'looking for nirvana 1090hpa Greenland high glasses -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes that seemingly perennial nemesis-the Canadian trop PV, is at least on the move on the EC 12z later frames -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Although hardly a fantastic chart, I think this GFS average for Xmas eve would be pretty chilly with 850's not far off the -5s. Plenty of showers feeding in on cold(ish) polar maritime, inland with a bit of height could do ok -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Troubleatmill replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 15th March onwards
Troubleatmill replied to Cambrian's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Chuffin Eck! That is some wind storm for July if it came off, with leaves still in limpet mode on the trees there will be some leaning going on! -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Troubleatmill replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Although true, seasonal lag of the ocean temps can mean that polar maritime air flows in March can be less marginal for snow than in December, even taking the stronger sun into account (mostly useless though as the sun will make sure it doesn't hang about long) -
Winter 2022/23 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
Troubleatmill replied to cyclonic happiness's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's not the south east of England so never happend -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Troubleatmill replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Actually think it can feel less cold with lower DPs even if the air temp is lower. Less moisture tends to feel less cold, even when it's colder on a thermometer -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
Troubleatmill replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
65 million people looking for Airbnb's in Fort William -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas week and beyond
Troubleatmill replied to nick sussex's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But isn't a nor'easter an antlantic born system? i.e bringing north east winds to coastal us states? -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
Troubleatmill replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's akin to the south east being hot and sunny in the summer. It's not always that way but it gets the lion share of nice summery weather. There are occasions where Scotland has the warmest and sunniest weather but default is the SE