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Troubleatmill

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Everything posted by Troubleatmill

  1. Troubleatmill
    850-1000s (roughly ground to cloud level) looks fine, dew points look fine, and wet bulb temp look ok for snow
  2. Troubleatmill
    Wonder if anyone knows...I'd we had a high pressure over us throughout summer starting at 0° , what would be the highest temp the UK could get to at our latitude eventually? That is without any influence from the south or north?
  3. Troubleatmill
    Looking at the short ensembles for the initial period after this heat blast, the 12z from last night had the trough to our north dropping down over the UK, this on the 06z has been dropped (for now at least) thankfully. 138hrs 06z ens postage stamps:
  4. Troubleatmill
    Looking at the EC accumulated rainfall, think I'll buy a dinghy and paddle out into the Irish sea next week
  5. Troubleatmill
    Problem is the icon is cooler and showery, it stops the high having a small ridge over the UK after the inevitable cool down.
  6. Troubleatmill
    Still so much scatter from Friday lunch time that anything after that is a 'look what happens if' scenario. Further south this split happens Saturday Using Preston as its central in the UK so clearly not showing any 20+ 850s
  7. Troubleatmill
    Yeah, looking at the EC clusters, cluster one is unsurprisingly similar to the Op (naff) , cluster 2 looks similar to the GEFS (NW airflow, but not awful) and cluster 3 is similar the GFS ops we have seen the last couple of days (azores ridge building in-best case scenario ) No real dominant cluster
  8. Troubleatmill
    Possibly good, means blocking i.e high pressure in the North Atlantic . High pressure in the correct part of the Atlantic would bring cold air to us
  9. Troubleatmill
    Indeed, there are always the 'boom' posters or its 'nailed' posters but after 15 years on here I've also learned. Not to ignore them but think of it as Facebook and some just going for likes rather than what is actually showing across the suite. The likes of Blue army, snowking and singularity are the more realistic & knowledgeable posters i look out for.
  10. Troubleatmill
    Using ensembles for my home town purely because it's pretty central in the UK, I'm not sure how you can say the ensembles are not interested? looking at these nothing is decided. Normally when a signal gets dropped, the ensembles flip quickly but a real split showing.
  11. Troubleatmill
    Its a bit weird this winter, we always expect the best synoptics in late Feb march for clear reasons we all know about but this year the whole winter has been great for watching, hoping for one last shot before spring! Take care guys
  12. Troubleatmill
    Well if nothing more this winter has given us interest when we have been at our most bored/concerned/struggled so thank you mother nature for giving us something
  13. Troubleatmill
    Can anyone else remember dew points being so low? No wonder the front fizzles so quickly the air is amazingly dry! Think in 2018 the lowest I saw -8
  14. Troubleatmill
    Crikey I expected to log on to see a few saying they were getting decent snow, pfft gimme spring
  15. Troubleatmill
    Sounds amazing!! In some ways it makes sense why March is the most likely month doesn't it, the Irish sea is at at its coldest & the polar vortex starts to breakup (hopefully). Just a shame the sun has more strength so it's hard to stick around.
  16. Troubleatmill
    Me too! Never rely on GPS, do have it as I believe you can't have too much, compass only let me down once at ore gap on Bowfell spinning like I was at North pole . yep knees are bit knackered, but still got it in us hey! Who knows Borris might let us out before this season is done and we can enjoy some. For where we live, pffft can't be many places worse!
  17. Troubleatmill
    Yeah managed one walk from Hartsop to Thornthwaite crag and High street before Xmas and that's been it this winter...really missing it and not getting any younger PXL_20201229_120431269.mp4
  18. Troubleatmill
    That's so true, I guess here in the NW we are just hopeful of a snowy breakdown as we tend to be left a bit green with envy of those in the east in these set ups. Apart from more sun than I expected this easterly has gone to plan, certainly for the low western parts....at least some of the copious amounts of rain water has been 'sucked up' by the dry air. Hope next week isn't one of them weeks where fronts just sit over us for days and the east stays dry. Salt in the wounds if they do
  19. Troubleatmill
    Good example of what happens after they leave higher ground wasn't it, especially now the wind has gone
  20. Troubleatmill
    And that was over you too mate!
  21. Troubleatmill
    Raging blizzard incoming! Bound to get a the single flake in my eye taking the dog out
  22. Troubleatmill
    Exactly what I expected Spah1, more sunshine though which is good thing
  23. Troubleatmill
    GFS12z Para going for a period of decent snow on Sunday Eve/night. Not perfect setup as milder air gets in but stays as snow for a good period, if not until it fizzles out
  24. Troubleatmill
    Yeah 96 was the best since the 70s, remember going to the flicks to watch I think se7en and it just started snowing, came out and had to walk home, crazy stuff in West lancs/ Merseyside. That's why I was kind of hopeful in this setup but it not working out that way at the moment is it pal...
  25. Troubleatmill
    My mood is dwindling by the second Preston : Dec 2009 & 2010 about 6cm each ....the end Amazed how many fronts move up from the south and stop at Southport before slipping away. Nothing in 2018...nadda
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