Paul_1978

Check out the other tweets in James Warner’s thread - interesting stuff.

Interesting, as 2002, 2004 and 2008 didn’t give us particularly memorable winters?

With all due respect that’s rubbish - Tweets are in the public domain and anyone can look. Just post a link and let us decide. Not sure why you’re so worried about it.

True. New thread title should be “The Hunt for Snow”!

Another “upgrade”!

You must be looking at a different 06z run to me - the Atlantic is in until next week (as expected for a while now), but from about T+177 onwards (Thurs 20th Dec, hardly the depths of FI) we start to move into a slack easterly drift which is in place until the end of high res (T+240). Only in low res do we get an Atlantic conveyor belt and we all know T+240 onwards is hardly worth the paper it's written on.

I think you’d be better off in the short range models thread then mate.

Sounds like it’s happening!!

To be honest I think everyone is cool with that. We are all looking at post-SSW territory now in the "hunt for cold".

Perhaps.....

Thanks mate. That's good to hear, as we've been having T+384 strat charts posted for weeks now, and there seems little point in posting them as they never seem to get any closer. However, an intriguing month ahead....

Yet another T+384 strat chart!

If I had £1 for everytime I saw a T+384 warm strat chart on here I’d have taken early retirement by now.

The above update from Knocker in the other thread suggests that the EC46 isn't as good as was suggested in here yesterday evening. However I suspect we are talking about different timescales within the 46? (Ignore the last sentence - I think he's feeling lonely).

Good job we're only 6 days into Winter then!

Indeed mate, and the first signs of an update for January suggesting a less-likely occurrence of Atlantic-driven weather. Yesterday said, "temperatures likely to recover above average", and today's "signs that weather patterns may become slow moving again, possibly bringing a period of colder and at times more settled weather".

Is it just me or do you always put a downer on everything?!?!

You always have a very cautious outlook...

Consecutive posts completely at odds with one another. Which is it then chaps?!!

I get different wording: UK Outlook for Monday 17 Dec 2018 to Monday 31 Dec 2018: For the middle part of December there are signs that there will be more frequent periods of dry and colder weather, bringing a greater chance of overnight frost and fog. However, for the weeks immediately before and after Christmas, wetter and milder weather will become more likely, with the potential for some windy or even stormy spells, and above average temperatures. Any snow associated with these wet spells is likely to be confined to hills in the north. Updated: 15:08 on Sun 2 Dec 2018 GMT

Every time we see a decent strat chart on here it’s 384 hours away.

The lows on the overnight GFS and ECM do seem to be tracking a little more southerly than normal, but not quite southerly enough....

Completely different from 6 hours previously then when we were advised of the complete opposite! So much inconsistency I don’t know what to think. Best to take a step back and look at the bigger picture methinks. Personally I’m keeping an eye on all the strat warming talk as that would be a game changer.

Most definitely - as the Tweeter is based in Maryland, USA.

It's not for the bin if it's right, which it could well be.