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Paul_1978

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Everything posted by Paul_1978

  1. Paul_1978
    These ^^^ ?? Nail on head. There’s far too much doom and gloom in here from some people. Downgrade this, downgrade that. It’s an evolving situation! You’re always going to get inter-run variances. The bigger picture is stil the same. Some people just need to chill out and enjoy the charts for what they are.
  2. Paul_1978
    Not with you?
  3. Paul_1978
    Is Warren’s post contradicting the other two here? Seems a bit confusing.
  4. Paul_1978
    Isn’t anyone worried about ECM T+168? Not a million miles away and not a good chart on the face of it.
  5. Paul_1978
    It’s funny isn’t it - everyone bashing the bishop over the ECM, then the GFS 18z comes out and we all go limp .
  6. Paul_1978
    To be honest, and this is meant as constructive feedback, I think more people would have a clue what you’re talking about if you wrote in constructive sentences and paragraphs instead of poetic riddles.
  7. Paul_1978
    Thanks Summer Sun, on the ball as ever for letting us all know what we all want to hear! (Not!) (edit - I’m just teasing by the way).
  8. Paul_1978
    Surprised at the downbeat post Nick. Yes it's not as mouthwatering as the previous run, but taking the general theme overall without the inter-run dissection, then overall things are looking pretty good IMO. This chart is at T+180 for example. I'm not suggesting it's snow laden, but this time last year we'd have been jumping up and down with excitement seeing a chart like this at that time range.
  9. Paul_1978
    I thought the GFS 12z was pretty good - it’s hardly a raging Atlantic is it!
  10. Paul_1978
    It was Chris Fawkes on Twitter who said 15/20cm. He actually said 20/30cm!
  11. Paul_1978
    Do models really struggle over Christmas? And if so, why?
  12. Paul_1978
    Wow, that would be some fall!
  13. Paul_1978
    T+384 charts never verify. Ain’t gonna happen! When we start seeing these within T+200 then there will be much more interest.
  14. Paul_1978
    By the way, whilst you’re learning, if anyone mentions “missing data” on the Christmas Day runs, scroll straight past and ignore .
  15. Paul_1978
    Any charts then?
  16. Paul_1978
    Sounds like she wants you to be aroused in something other than the model output!
  17. Paul_1978
    Fair play - thank you for explaining, and at least you post the graphics with a robust explanation. Not knocking the other posters who mention these EPS, but sometimes we do seem to get conflicting messages that change day by day, difficult to decipher from two or three lines. Cheers!
  18. Paul_1978
    The bearer of good news as ever Summer Sun .
  19. Paul_1978
    These "extended eps" (whatever they are - never seen them) seem to change every single day. Are they meant to be taken seriously as an indicator? Seems to be more ups and downs with them than a fiddlers elbow.
  20. Paul_1978
    384 hours away. I think we'd be more interested when it's <200 hours away.
  21. Paul_1978
    Alleluia! Winter's not over then!
  22. Paul_1978
    Good spot regarding north of Scandinavia. What's the outcome on that for us?
  23. Paul_1978
    I've seen plenty of reference to "Sceuro" and "Scrussion" on here, but this is the first time I've seen an "Iceweigian"
  24. Paul_1978
    He surely just neede to rate the post as a Like or Thanks?! Anyway, I'm sure we'll see our next named storm on the 27th!
  25. Paul_1978
    It's actually not that different to the last update. Cold and snow not ruled out but milder weather more likely on balance. I'll take that if we get another Feb 1991!
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