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Paul_1978

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Everything posted by Paul_1978

  1. Paul_1978
    A number of posts on page 182 of today’s MOD thread are randomly displaying . Any ideas?
  2. Paul_1978
    Thanks, yes I am aware the forecast is for the whole of the UK!
  3. Paul_1978
    I keep reading the Met Office guidance that the more significant snow is more likley in "Southern, Central and Eastern" areas. That's a bit ambiguous... Is Leeds/Bradford/Wakefield etc classed as "Central" or by "Central" do they actually mean more like the Midlands? Either way a repeat of Feb 1991 would be fantastic!
  4. Paul_1978
    Maybe his battery finally ran out. Or he passed out after seeing the 06z.
  5. Paul_1978
    This is a fair point - there is nothing particularly unusual in today's weather pattern for example. The models are clearly struggling to work it out - take a look at this morning's ECM and GFS for example. Chalk and cheese at T+120 with major divergence starting at T+96. ECM then goes onto have a full on easterly by T+144 whereas the GFS has us in south-westerlies!
  6. Paul_1978
    Yes I agree, max temps much more telling than min temps in this scenario. However there are bound to be some potentially very cold night time minimum temperatures. The times scales quoted by @Deep Snow please are T+300 plus. The max temps are in the range 0-2C for my neck of the woods (West Yorks). Attached is an example from Wetter for 12 noon on 26th Feb. Mind you it’s 2C here right now and raining. A bit grim.
  7. Paul_1978
    We’ve had Paul Hudson and Liam Dutton both suggest recently that the 06z/18z GFS runs are not the best runs (described as “intermediate” runs), so the fact that the latest GFS 00z run is ‘good for cold lovers’ is excellent news (as presumably the 00z/12z are held in better regard). Half expecting the 06z to be not as good this morning, but then improved on the 12’s.
  8. Paul_1978
    That’s from 09:17 Thurs morning not “tonight”.
  9. Paul_1978
    It's only out to T+144. Not expecting any eye candy til at least T+240 as per @chionomaniac 's message earlier. Obviously in the coming days the eye candy charts will hopefully be getting a lot closer .
  10. Paul_1978
    And remember you can collapse a long quoted post by clicking the little down arrow at the top of the quoted post - saves an awful lot of scrolling.
  11. Paul_1978
    Ha ha, that's a bit strong! I don't actually think it's an awful lot different to the old app (not least on an iPhone anyway).
  12. Paul_1978
    Noticed on Weather For The Week last night that they didn’t go beyond into the 10 day trend as they usually do.
  13. Paul_1978
    Nice to be seeing those kind of charts at T+186 instead of numerous T+384 postings over the last few months!
  14. Paul_1978
    Brill, thanks mate.
  15. Paul_1978
    When is the SSW likely to be reflected in the NWP/model output? So far nothing is happening this side of T+240.
  16. Paul_1978
  17. Paul_1978
    Aha, QTR not ‘qtr’! I was thinking something to do with a quarter! Anyway, this morning’s output not great at face value, so it’s a case of waiting for the SSW to start having an effect on the NWP. Looks like the models will be volatile for a few days yet until they suss out what’s going on.
  18. Paul_1978
    It went the same way as the “feet of snow” we were getting. Seriously though yes you’re right - whilst next weeks cold spell has been watered down somewhat in terms of snow prospects, winter is far from over. Some of the charts in the latter stages of the 12z GFS did remind me of Feb 1991.
  19. Paul_1978
    That’s good to hear, as the cold spell next week is rapidly getting watered down run by run. Time to start looking for strat influences in the output! ps Don’t forget the Model Tweets thread.
  20. Paul_1978
    Yes I edited my post @Ian Francis :o)
  21. Paul_1978
    Delete - T+120 on this run not as different as I thought to T+126 on the 06z.
  22. Paul_1978
    Aye, no "mild" air until at least T+216 on the 00z GFS run. I have to say the models have turned around somewhat since yesterday - I was very sceptial after the 12z's yesterday, but things seem to be improving if it's cold you're after. What a turnaround!
  23. Paul_1978
    Yes I did thank you. I can no longer edit my post. However point till stands - nothing particularly noteworthy <240. Would be delighted to be proven wrong.
  24. Paul_1978
    It's hardly "whining". And to be honest I agree with @Optimus Prime - on face value I can't see anything noteworthy in low res, but I will bow to those with better knowledge!
  25. Paul_1978
    Serious question - am I missing something obvious? Looks like we're back in westerlies/WNW by T+171?
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