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rdt123

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Posts posted by rdt123

  1. I am not steve, but i say one thing me and him have had some bloody good friendly bets on snow and depth estimations! and i will say i have won my fair share hehe. All steve has to do is think a little and he will know who i am. Only one thing i am not better at than him and thats playing a game that involves " chips " ;)

    As for the snow, yes i think you will get some, best chance around 3-6pm onwards before it fizzles out, I am from east yorkshire, I have a little bit better of a chance due to the way the band is pushing.

    Saturday looks wicked for both of us though ;) These southerns can have the frontal snow from the west, we will have our beast from the east :lol:

    Thanks

    must have a chance at a covering in south yorkshire then. I hope our friends in the south get a right pasting! Don't forget there are people who have children that have never seen any real snow. Kids i teach are 16 and they dont believe snow depths measured in feet from my childhood in the 70's and 80's are even possible, poor buggers!

  2. Hopefully this won't be like other frontal events. Huge amounts of Snow forecast and the front either fizzles out into a few flakes and then drizzle or the mild air piles in quicker than expected and you get half n hour of snow then steady rain.

    It's a very long time since we've had proper Frontal Snow possibly 9 years or more.

    Hi PIT,

    Don't know about you but am not really expecting anything for us, seems like the front will fizzle out before it gets this far north. Could have predicted it. Over the years its either northerly (coasts only) NW (north west only) SW (changes to rain before arriving) Seems like we will miss out this time as well. Recently there has been snow south of us, on the coast east of us, on the moors north of us and on the pennines west of us!!!

  3. trouble is is tatwe are so close to an event and nothing can be given 100% assurity. so the weekend may still be a suprise for all. this is why i asked where people are setting their FI marker

    Given the ongoing changes to the pass of the low and how that effects the outlook for a more prolonged spell, together with and linked to the confusion about the building of the high around scandi, i set it at T+24, seriously!

  4. yep, i feel so happy that we should get the best for once or certainly one of the Best!

    6 inches is about:

    About that much i think! Perhaps a little less.

    According to Charlie on Central weather i should get my snow at 6am and tom f123 you should get yours at about 7/8am and then we will have snow for most of the day! Better not turn to rain at the very end of the day!

    Your graphical representation isnt resolution independant. Next time i suggest a series of them matched to the varying members screen resolutions

  5. Julian said wow so it must be true :whistling:

    FAX looks great. I'm sorry but im not sure why the GFS is being branded as 'incorrect' As far as I see it, in the short term it seems the most likely - some models follow the GFS idea, so if the GFS is wrong then perhaps there no point in trusting any model past 12 hours?

    I think not, I;m siding with the GFS model out to 60-72 hours, but things could still change - don't want to get to 48 hours and there is a big disappointment.

    What fax charts? as far as i can see only the first one has updated, am i wrong

    Rob

  6. I agree with you there nick. I have felt all along as this situation has developed that all the models meto included have wanted to push everything to far east and north too fast. Present day models may be much better than their counterparts from 20 years ago but then they have never had to model a 1970' or 80's type weather event. So its no wonder they are having so much trouble. This is in reality uncharted territory for them.

    I find that an interesting statement. I have been a big fan of extreme weather as long as i can remember but have only discovered this site in the last few years. how many times have charts shown promise like this in say the last 10 years? Is it so unusual in dare i say it 'the even larger teapot' to have prospects like this?

  7. Exactly, it's starting to look like a possible scenario is that the fronts are stalled to such an extent that they hardly get over England to any great extent, until of course the milder air actually does win, so what we end up with is dry cold air hanging around for longer , but any proper precipitation only arrives with the milder air, later.

    Well yes, but at T+138 the high draws a bit of an easterly but brings -10 850's just off the coast. The fisrt front just gets chewed up on this run. Sooooo interesting compared to the dross of recent years!

  8. Basically things are great at the moment expect the little shortwave that moves in during Wednesday ruins things abit by pushing the cold air out before the actual weather systems try and meet against the building Scandy high. Still very nice for east UK

    Isnt it amazing how that scandi high has appeared over the past 24 hours. A 1030 high is now centred over norway at T+114

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