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Southender

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Everything posted by Southender

  1. Southender
    As some have already mentioned, today is a perfect example of what happens when you underestimate a blocking pattern on the near continent. Up until the 10:30pm forecasts last night, the METO were calling for rain in our region from 6am this morning. It is not even near our region at the moment and is just decaying out West. It may get a kick later and pass through in the early hours tomorrow, but the point is valid. That is a huge fail by METO at less than 12 hours out. Another reason to take any forecasts and indeed the charts with a pinch of salt. Even at short timeframes!
  2. Southender
    Your Dad wasn't fibbing I can assure you. I wasn't old enough to remember it but my dad showed me the pics. Will see if I can dig them out.Extract from Southend timeline website:The Sea Freezes - Half a mile out to sea from the shore at Leigh-on-Sea on 22nd January 1963, the estuary turned to ice, boats were frozen solid and launches were held fast. The cockling industry suffered during greatly this winter period.Heres a pic I found online from Southend. You can see the old water flume at the Kursaal in the background.
  3. Southender
    Had a crack of thunder and hail storm here in Southend about 30mins ago. Left a slushy hail deposit of about 5mm on most surfaces. Closest thing to winter I have seen so far!
  4. Southender
    My thoughts as well TEITS. There is some sub 510 Dam air wrapped up in these LP systems. Couple that with 850's around -3/-4 and Dews 0c or below, then we could have a nice little snow event here. Even if it is temporary.
  5. Southender
    This winter was bound to be pants as soon as the Mail piped up with their "coldest winter in xxxx years" "uk will ground to a halt" rubbish in November. We have had about 3 frosts this "winter" and not a single flake of the white stuff. Very poor compared to recent years. I'm not going to write winter off just yet. But if we dont start seeing better charts in the next couple of weeks then I will be very close to getting my towel out!!
  6. Southender
    Loving that. Lets hope that nukes the PV once and for all and we have a decent shot at a cold February. Saying that though the 12z's from GFS and UKMO are not too shabby in the semi-reliable. Could we pull a rabbit?.....
  7. Southender
    My advice would be to avoid the MAD thread until after the weekend. There will be many toys in there. Next week's possible colder theme would just be a taster anyway IMO. More patience required. As I mentioned this morning, late Jan into Feb looks the best bet for proper winter to arrive. Hopefully helped by a nice warming in the Strat.
  8. Southender
    Morning Y'all. Loving the output drama at the moment. Classic jump on, jump off behavior from the models at present. Standard when a pattern change is trying to emerge. Especially with Easterlies. My gut feel is it will get progressively colder later next week, with a shot at some of the white stuff. BUT, we will need another slider later in the month to bring in Winter proper. In the mean time, expect the models to chop and change as they try and get a handle on the pattern. I think we will get our wish eventually, but think its another waiting game. Hopefully late Jan into Feb will deliver the goods....
  9. Southender
    I agree Nick. If we can get a continental drift to last long enough we usually get the odd disturbance paying us a visit from Germany/Holland way.That's not even including the potential for some nice beefy shower trains setting up, especially with a nice big thermal gradient courtesy of the N.Sea hot tub...Or some frontal excitement moving up through the Channel/France.Exciting times at last, but caution advised at this distance as always.
  10. Southender
    Nice to see the Jet taking a holiday to North Africa at last though.
  11. Southender
    I will take that for the last chart in High Res.
  12. Southender
    Woah. Take a chill pill people. Yes it is a downgrade from the 00z GFS run, but that is standard for the 06z GFS run. The overall pattern is similar, the 06z run will just take 2 bites to get the Easterly in that is all.
  13. Southender
    A slight breeze here at the Thames mouth....around 65mph. Hope the pier survives
  14. Southender
    Future Storm chaser?
  15. Southender
    Yep.That will bring the heaviest rain and strongest winds this morning. Probably in the next couple of hours. Will only be brief but will pack a punch!
  16. Southender
    Finally some eye candy for coldies in deepest FI. A split vortex, some WAA into the GIN corridor and some troughing into Europe.
  17. Southender
    With a +AO, strong PV and zero sign of HLB. I think it's time to put the model watching on hold till after Xmas. Very grim for coldies.
  18. Southender
    Not too bad in Southend. Max gust around 52mph so far. Few fences blown out. Normal Autumn gale really.
  19. Southender
    I wish I was tonight. I am a mile inland in Southchurch.
  20. Southender
    C2C is now cancelled until 9am. Looking quite interesting here on the Thames...
  21. Southender
    And so it begins again. Roll on winter!...
  22. Southender
    It was like a monsoon in Southend. Over 2" of rain in a matter of a couple of hours. Not seen flooding like it in many many years. Lots of videos on youtube.
  23. Southender
    Topped out at 23.1c here in sunny Southend today. Potentially the warmest spot?
  24. Southender
    Love the fact the North and even central parts of my county (Essex) is getting plenty of snow. Where as I have zilch. Talk about fine lines.
  25. Southender
    Snow?....what snow? Anyone else got nothing to report?
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