Southender

Sums it up...

Me personally I am giving it another 10 days. If no eye candy is showing consistently in the mid/long range models by then, then the towel is being thrown in by me on this pathetic "winter" and I will be taking NW hibernation until next November. Except for summer T-Storms etc. What another grim winter episode this has been down here and for most of us to be honest. How much is a nice house in Yakutsk anyone?!

Day 10....

Very interesting @ Day 9..... If we can get that split off lobe heading a touch further South, then we could be game on. Ridge needs a bit more oomph as well. Nice positive steps though.

Wont be surprised if this happens. Cold starts to spring seem the norm in recent years. Time to change the seasons?

Cheer up mate. It has been another poor "winter" for the majority of us. Me included. But.......there is still February. We will get another chance of cold/snow I am sure of that. Valentines Day snowstorm anyone?.......share the love!

Yuck, just looked at the models for the first time in a few days. Why did I bother. Average to mild for the rest of Jan. Then unless you live up a hill in Scotland a cooler spell from the W/NW is going to do naff all for us. Grim. Not hearing the fat lady just yet but she is clearing her throat I think.

Thanks! Those look better. That Wetter one looks dodgy.com to me.

Am I missing something here? The GFS OP drops to around -12 850's for London around Day 10 on the below chart. Yet this is not shown on the ensembles, unless I am looking at the wrong line?!....I thought the bright green line was the OP, or am I going colour blind?! There is also a break in the data for the OP line around day 10 and it then appears to follow another pb. Meanwhile the OP then re-appears and stays above the mean mostly. Confused.com?....looks dodge to me.

Good spot. GEM heading the same way as the GFS Op & P in bringing in an E/SE flow by the latter part of next week. I suspect the GFS Op will be one of, if not the coldest option amongst the ensemble pack. Let's hope it has some support in the mid-range. A long way off yet, nice to see, but we need to see this output still showing come the weekend before we get drawn in again....

Cold spell? 1 frost and zero snow. Pfffft. Next.........

I would love to know what Tom Shaferwotsit is seeing that we aren't? All I can see is HP mainly anchored to our S/SE for the rest of Jan, an angry PV riding over the top and all the cold locked in over Russia and the Black Sea countries. Whilst we remain mostly dry (the only positive) and above average to mild. The predicted Strat warming doesn't get me excited either as that is a long long long way out, with no concrete guarantee it will bring colder weather to our shores anyway. Hoping for a model turnaround and one of those rare last minute Easterly trains popping up within 5 days out, as that blasted slug could write off a good 2 weeks of winter opportunities, with time ticking away fast.... Obviously a long long way out this, but I do not want to be seeing charts like this for the start of Feb. If that verifies we are in big trouble and slumped against the ropes, waiting for a knockout blow to our winter...

I think the only thing we can be fairly certain of is, it looks pretty dry as a whole (bar some rain around this weekend) with lots of HP around our locale. Whether that moves into a more favourable orientation for another cold shot late Jan/Early Feb remains to be seen...

Bone dry here in Southend. Not a flake, no frost and not that cold at all really. Very poor, but its what I expected. Glad to see some of you got a dusting. About 3 years since we have seen a flake here!

Band decaying. Dry here. Night all.

Hi Jenny, good to hear from an ex Southender! Glad you have some snow. Nothing but bright lights and boy racers here on the front!

Standard!

We are indeed mate

Naff all but cloud here at the mouth of Mother Thames. To be expected, too far East. Hope some of you get a dusting of the white stuff.

Think we will miss out mate here in the east. Good luck to those further west though.

If the ARPEGE comes off and delivers 10-15cm of snow over our Region Mon into Tues, I will dive naked into the Thames off Southend Pier

I personally think any precip (rain or snow) wont be getting any further than a line from around S.Ireland/S.Wales down to Isle of Wight at best. Any of us further N & E of that can forget it, we will be left with the dregs as it breaks up and loses oomph. Seems to be common in these types of setup. I maybe mistaken, but I cannot remember of too many corrections East as we approach T+0 in similar setups?

Hmm. I think the chances of snow showers filtering down through the Cheshire Gap and into our region this eve/overnight intact must be quite remote. The odd place may catch a shower. Let's hope the Hirlam is correct and some wake to a dusting.

Hoping for a touch of transitionary snow as we go through mid-late next week, as we wave the colder weather goodbye for a while. Other than that mostly dry, cold nights and chilly days are the order of the day. Most welcome on the back of that awful December. The wait goes on though for a proper "snowy" taste of winter. Fingers crossed for some better action as we move into Feb. E or NE winds please rather than N/NW....

Looks good to me. A very cold high to see the week out with some clear frosty mornings and hopefully a little dusting of snow being preserved.