Southender

UKMO looks like it had the right idea. Toys incoming in 3-2-1...

True. But they were always going to water down from that Day after Tomorrow GFS 6z run this morning.

Because that was one of the coldest model runs ever seen in the history of the internet! If you have been watching the models for years, then you just know its only one way from there and thats a watered down version at best. At worst a complete flip to mild! Thats the UK weather for you. If something can spoil cold and snowy conditions here, 99 out of 100 times it will. -8/-10 850's and a couple of inches of snow laying for a week will do me. Problem is its nigh on impossible just to get that, down south anyway.

Lol. This GFS run will now go down as "That GFS" lovely to look at but of course it's only downgrades from there unfortunately. A watered down version would suffice.

And it's time for this again. One of those all too familiar winters I feel....

Mother Thames snow machine on standby Steve...

What I would give for this again. January 1987. Southend. When the Thames resembled the Arctic Circle. Sigh.

Just a shame we cannot nudge it a few hundred miles further NW. Still a more encouraging output at least. Baby steps and all that.

Well. Not a lot to say about the GFS 12z other than HP to our East/South, an angry PV, flat as a pancake, very dry particularly further South & East and temps average to slightly above at times, with the odd frost thrown in. If that pattern verifies that is December wiped out cold/snow wise. We really need a huge slice of luck. At least it looks dry I suppose, but festive it isn't.

Thanks for the update Matt, although not the sort of update most of us in here want to see unfortunately. Let's hope the ENS flip in our favour for once, although the form horse suggests otherwise. Far too early to be calling December a bust cold/snow wise, but we need to start seeing a lot more crumbs than we are now to salvage anything from this month...a model break in order I think and let's see where we are this time next week. At the moment we are just going to get mixed output for mid-long range so pointless trying to interpret it.

Yes, we have had PV lobes pay us a visit many times. It looks more dramatic than it actually is, as by the time it hits our shores it is massively watered down in terms of temperature profile. Still, gives us a shot at some colder and potentially snowy weather for some if it were to arrive.

Vile output cold/snow wise. May as well re-locate to the Canaries. Time for a week off model watching, hopefully by then we will be seeing better cold output for Xmas week.

Did someone say cold weather and maybe snow in the lead up to Xmas? Time to come out of hibernation! Greetings again one and all. Things look to get interesting as we near Xmas....

All warnings now removed by METO for Fri/Sat in our region with regards to poss snow/ice. Typical.

Cold windy day here, some rain this morn. Very poor. Lovely sunset on Southend seafront though! Roll on Spring...

Been waiting all winter for this chance. Although I must admit I am not confident. Too late in the season and not enough energy about. We shall see. HR GFS PPN @ 66hrs...hints that ppn may start firing at the mouth of old mother Thames and further up the Essex/Suffolk/Norfolk coastline.

Hi all, well at least it looks like more "seasonal" type weather is approaching as we go through the week. Does it look cold enough for snowfall?....I would say just about, especially later in the week. Will there be any snow?....At this range you cannot say, but right now it looks pretty dry for most of the week. But who knows what could crop up at short notice. Will snow settle?....perhaps temporarily, more likely after dark of course as the ground/sun impacts are a little high now. In summary, nice to see that temperatures will drop and snow chances may increase this week. Just a shame though we could not have this setup a month ago!....but right now I will take a temporary dusting to salvage something from yet another awful winter.

Very nice ECM indeed. Proper winter charts with proper cold and snow for most later next week. Can't help thinking this is another one of these though....

I wouldn't stay up if you are in the warning zone, let alone out of it! It will take a freak change of events for most of us to salvage some snow from this. Sorry if that sounds negative, but with everything I have looked at this will be a complete non-event for most in our region. All eyes on the next day 10 charts!!....

Hmmm, having looked at everything I will be very surprised if many of us have settling snow at any point between now and tomorrow lunch-time. Those further NW in the region and/or up a hill have the best chance I think. I will take some falling flakes at this stage to be honest, but looks like cold rain with a brief spell of wet snow on the back edge to me!...Let's hope not.

Looks like the ppn is skirting me here in Southend. Typical. Still waiting for a flake...

Let's hope so Elvis. I have forgotten what a snowflake looks like! Gut feel is we will get rain or it will remain dry, snow is the rank outsider at the moment as we just aren't cold enough.

Haha brilliant mate. Looking forward to depressing them more on Sat #OneteminEssex

Other than wind & rain and lots of it certainly over the next week or so, "winter" looks just about dead to me. Not that it even got going of course. There isn't even a whiff of excitement in the long-range. Just more of the same. PV in over-drive, wind/rain/cool/rinse/repeat. Total and utter crap. Anyone else throwing the towel in?

Serious question this. Anyone think that the seasons are now out of kilter and need re-adjustment? Jan/Feb/Mar = Winter Apr/May/June = Spring July/Aug/Sept = Summer Oct/Nov/Dec = Autumn Thoughts?