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Roadrunner

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Everything posted by Roadrunner

  1. Roadrunner
    Steve M am I right in thinking the 6z does have a tendency to move everything East and we can expect a westward correction from the 12s? Not that I want this of course but trying to not get too excited.
  2. Roadrunner
    Have to agree Matt. Very frustrating, especially seeing as 18z seems to have pushed everything west again. I know it's one run but have that feeling that this is gonna go t*ts up again. Was looking forward to some lamp post watching Friday evening.
  3. Roadrunner
    So I assume there are better chances of serious snow for south Essex later this week?
  4. Roadrunner
    Total damp squib so far for here really. Promised so much and people still saying UKMO output is great on the model output thread but when will we see any action? Is this fabled easterly ever going to appear? Please, someone tell me some good news...
  5. Roadrunner
    Think I've thrown in the towel re tomorrow. Rain? Really? So much promise yet delivers nowt.
  6. Roadrunner
    I'm usually the eternal optimist but I've a horrible feeling I'll get very little or no snow at all for my location. Latest NAE charts tend to back this up. I'll have a very upset little boy if this is the case as he's already got the carrot out to make the snowmans nose!
  7. Roadrunner
    Hopefully this will be some of us in a few days... http://195.196.36.242/view/view.shtml?id=106&imagePath=/mjpg/video.mjpg&size=1 The old favourite web cam from Sweden! Used to look at this through rubbish winters and dream.
  8. Roadrunner
    Can anyone remember a time where the GFS has been so wrong before at this time frame while mostly all the other models are against it? Worrying that it's runs today have jumped ship but encouraging that Ian and met seem to be indicating it could be game on next week. Surely we can't dismiss it just because it isn't playing the game? Just trying to play Devils advocate as believe me I want snow as much as the next man.
  9. Roadrunner
    Wow. Fantastic output so far today. Just waiting for a Steve Murr BOOM! and I'll be even more happy! Edit: Steve beat me to it!
  10. Roadrunner
    Cheers Nick. Like pulling teeth indeed!
  11. Roadrunner
    I wonder if someone can answer a question while it's quiet. Do other weather fans on forums at other locations in the world go through the same emotions run to run like we do? Would someone from Milwaukee for example, who lets say is a massive snow fan, see T240 showing blizzards and automatically know with a fair degree of certainty that this or that weather chart will come to fruition? obviously location is perhaps key here but I hope you get my drift. Basically do the models ever get things very accurate / spot trends better for certain locations around the globe?
  12. Roadrunner
    S@#t. Fcuk. Bol@#$ks. A&@e. Bum. Po#y models... Ah that's better. Back to model output discussion!
  13. Roadrunner
    Dave, I bow to your superior knowledge of easterly's but as another poster recently said, didn't the models do a similar backtrack for the 2010 snow event only to bring it back within a day or so of it actually happening? I may be wrong and the synoptics may have been different but I distinctly remember this place going into meltdown for a few runs before the models got a grasp on things.
  14. Roadrunner
    Have been a member here for nearly 7 years and, although I am no expert, I have never seen such a fantastic run as this. Usual caveats apply of course but wow wow wow. I've witnessed the big let downs and the good times. So many times it looks like well score a cracker only to realise it's Fernando Torres on the end of a great through ball and he puts it in row z. Well maybe, just maybe, this time the models will give us Messi on the end of the pass and the holy grail will appear. Here's hoping for a 1987 and 1991 re run. Lets hope the trend continues in the 18z and 0z.
  15. Roadrunner
    Totally agree John. As we discussed yesterday everything is gradually being pushed north run by run. Someone will cop it bad and i echo your thoughts on the timing of this.
  16. Roadrunner
    From a London and south perspective the rain looks to have pushed further north for Sunday and doesn't look so intense anyway: http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=63&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
  17. Roadrunner
    A small crumb of comfort if i may indulge. Rain was forecast for my area today from roughly mid afternoon until late evening. As of now, we are yet to see one single rain drop. I can also see chinks of blue sky to my north east. Temperature is still in my opinion suitable for shorts and tee shirt. What i am trying to say is that although Sunday does look at present rather moist, it may, and i stress may, not be as bad as is forecast. Let the weather get you down and you WILL have a miserable time. We are British and as such we maintain a stiff upper lip and take the weather on the chin whatever it brings. I've had some of the best BBQ's when it's been raining believe it or not! I'll be on a golf course on Sunday in Herts, come rain or shine, in waterproofs or shirt sleeves. Sod the weather, your day is what YOU make it and shouldn't be about what falls from the sky. Wishing everyone at netweather a HAPPY jubilee weekend whatever you are doing. Eat, drink and be merry whether you're camping, golfing, BBQing or partying and remember you haven't lived until you have danced naked in the rain (and for those with pictures of this i can confirm it was a cold day).
  18. Roadrunner
    Having viewed the precip charts for Sunday after the 12z i can now assume the games up as regards hoping for dry weather for the capital? Hoping someone will come up with a possible way the rain can avoid us if a certain thing happened.
  19. Roadrunner
    John Thanks for that. Most informative. Funnily enough i was comparing similar charts on the same website before i read your post. Using 12pm as a base time i stepped through rainfall predictions from the last 6 model runs on GFS. From my untrained eye, all have had consecutive bumps further north of the band of rain with the southern most extent of the band on 6z nearly reaching the south coast (using phone so can't post pics unfortunately). Will be interesting to see come the 12z if once again the heavier rain has once again been shunted north.
  20. Roadrunner
    John where in your expert opinion do you believe the northern extent of the band of rain will sit? Do these systems generally correct south or am i being a bit too optimistic?
  21. Roadrunner
    Good post TWS. In your opinion what will be the northern extent of the band of rain for Sunday? Modelled on the 0z GFS to be slap bang over London.
  22. Roadrunner
    Would this be too much to ask that this thing is shunted south then? Is there any chance at all of this happening? Experts help!
  23. Roadrunner
    Cruel is spot on Bottesford. So so depressing and you can only say "what do you expect, it's England" for so long before it becomes tedious. One blooming day you want it to be dry and it goes t*ts up. Just tweeted the metoffice to see what they think the % chance the system will be held out in the Atlantic but i hold out little hope for a reprieve.
  24. Roadrunner
    In the words of Ray Wilkins - my word. Just saw the BBC forecast for Sunday and it looks dire for London and the met office website doesn't look pretty either. Someone tell me this is not nailed on?
  25. Roadrunner
    It's almost a nowcast situation isn't it. Every time i look at a 5 dayer the symbols change! Earlier today, Saturday was looking better than Sunday. Over on TWO someone posted a good comment re temperature possibilities too (thou netweather is the best, of course!).
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